If #Iran’s military is “100% destroyed” and “totally defeated,” why call on half the world to send warships to keep the #StraitofHormuz open? This doesn’t sound like confidence from the world’s strongest military — it sounds a bit desperate. #IRGC
#Trump pushing for maximum pressure on #Iran fast — the war’s dragging on & is deeply unpopular, so the goal is forcing #Tehran to step back before he loses face. Israel, meanwhile, seems keen to inflict as much damage as possible while it can, wary of Trump’s unpredictability
#Trump’s attack on #Iran didn’t just target #missiles — it rattled allies, drained resources, and handed rivals leverage. Each reckless move accelerates the erosion of America’s global standing, leaving the world less stable and the U.S. weaker.
#Israel hit #Iranian banks. Iran struck back, hitting #Dubai’s financial centre.
Banks are closing offices, staff are leaving, rich expats are fleeing, and with oil exports under threat, the Gulf’s economy faces a perfect storm.
#Israel has reportedly accepted Trump’s #ceasefire proposal. If confirmed, it suggests #Iran’s horizontal escalation—through regional proxies and pressure points—had effects that surprised both the U.S. and Israel. The next question: does Tehran de-escalate or push its advantage?
#Iran mining the #StraitofHormuz and attacking tankers puts #Trump in a brutal spot: ignore it & global oil flows choke, act militarily & risk a wider war. Either way—oil prices spike, ships pile up & the world’s most important energy chokepoint becomes a geopolitical nightmare.
#Iran’s asymmetric warfare against the US & #Israel is about exploiting imbalance: when you can’t win a conventional war, you change the battlefield. Proxies, drones, missiles & chokepoints like the #StraitofHormuz raise the cost of conflict & create deterrence without direct war
#Iran seems to have concluded the 2025 12-Day War damaged its deterrence, since its retaliation then was largely symbolic. This time it hit back harder to re-establish credibility. Now w #Trump signaling war may end soon, #Tehran likely sees it as proof that its strategy works
#Oil just spiked ~25% in days as tensions around the #StraitofHormuz threaten a route that carries ~20% of global oil supply. Brent briefly pushed toward $120. If disruptions continue, this could become one of the biggest #energy shocks since 2022. Markets are watching closely.
If #Israel is targeting #Iranian #oil depots and water desalination plants, the goal is likely economic pressure and disruption. But under the Geneva Conventions, civilian infrastructure like water facilities is highly protected.
#Ukraine helping Gulf states counter #Iranian #drones says a lot about modern warfare. The U.S. still has the most powerful military, but cheap drone threats created gaps traditional air defenses werent built for. Experience on the battlefield now matters as much as advanced tech
#Mining in #Eritrea could be highly transformative relative to current levels. If Danakali and other projects succeed, the sector could double revenues and become a central part of the economy, with knock-on effects for employment, infrastructure, and foreign investment. #Asmara
Danakali (NSX:DNK) returns to #Eritrea 🇪🇷 after exiting Colluli, applying for the Ela Gedel licence. The company says ‘every #mining company that’s been there has had success.’ Likely to create jobs, FDI & boost exports if licenses & financing go smoothly. #Asmara
The U.S.– #Iran war is only days old and already costly: ~6 U.S. troops killed, billions spent, jets lost, and #Iranian strikes reportedly destroying or damaging multiple U.S. radar systems, including a #THAAD radar. If the war expands, costs could climb into the tens of billions.
Has Abiy overreached? As #ENDF moves north, Fano & OLA are gaining ground in the security vacuum. Tensions with #Eritrea & #Tigray are rising, Sudan warns it may strike over drones, and UAE backing may weaken if the Iran war escalates. That’s a lot of fronts to manage.
Russia may benefit from the #Iran war: higher oil prices boost #Kremlin revenue, Western focus & air defenses shift from Ukraine to the Middle East, and disrupted Iranian exports push buyers toward Russian crude. Long-term, a weakened Iran could hurt #Moscow.
If the UAE gets tied up in a war w/ Iran, Abiy’s position weakens. Emirati drones & funding have been key for Ethiopia. Now #Addis is also getting pulled into the Sudan war. With potentially less help & rising tensions w/ #Eritrea & #Tigray, any first strike becomes far riskier.
#Rutte backed the #Iran op on security grounds, warning #Tehran’s capabilities threaten Europe. But with energy prices surging and EU economies already strained, his support raises a tough question: how much economic pain is Europe willing to absorb for strategic alignment?
Reports say Donald #Trump is exploring support for #Kurdish forces to help spark regime change in #Iran — avoiding U.S. boots on the ground. But for the Kurds, the real question is whether American backing would last once the crisis passes.
Iran’s latest strikes didn’t invent new tech — #Tehran has long had #drones & missiles — but the scale, coordination & ability to hit high-value Gulf energy targets has surprised analysts. Precision vs. air defenses & simultaneous multi-state hits signal a more escalatory #Iran
#Iran’s attacks hit #Saudi’s Ras Tanura refinery, forcing a precautionary shutdown. QatarEnergy also halted LNG production at Ras Laffan & Mesaieed & oil output paused in Iraqi Kurdistan amid the strikes — adding supply risk & pushing prices sharply higher. 🌍⚠️ #Tehran
#Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah #Khamenei is confirmed dead after #Israeli bombings targeted his compound.
#Iran has effectively closed the Strait of #Hormuz, blocking ship passage after U.S.–Israeli strikes — a major blow to global energy flows. That kind of disruption would push #oil prices up, fuel inflation, rattle markets & spell a negative economic shock for the U.S. & the world
#Iran didn’t just retaliate — it demonstrated preparedness. By striking multiple targets across the region after absorbing US- #Israeli attacks, #Tehran signaled its deterrence strategy is broader and more coordinated than before. This risks redefining the rules of engagement.
#PalmJumeirah & #Kuwait intl. airport were both hit by #Iranian missiles. Escalation continues…
#Iran has managed to hit #Dubai with a projectile — Dubai’s reputation as a global financial hub is being tested. Even a single strike—intercepted or not—shakes confidence, raises risk premiums, and forces investors to rethink regional exposure. Stability isn’t just a slogan, it’s the currency. #UAE
Following its vow to hit all U.S. bases in the region, #Iran launched missile strikes across the #Gulf, sparing only Oman, in retaliation for today’s joint U.S.-#Israeli attack.
#Iran strikes US assets in #Bahrein
Explosions reported in #Kabul with anti-aircraft fire heard across parts of the city, as reports emerge of alleged #Pakistani strikes on Kabul amid escalating tensions between #Pakistan and Afghanistan. Claims of open war are circulating. Situation developing.
