Jake Grumbach

Jake Grumbach

@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social

policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof (formerly: Princeton CSDP, UW)

33,943 Followers 753 Following 3,541 Posts Joined May 2023
4 hours ago
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This is a good lesson for journalists: Use plain language to state true things clearly.

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2 hours ago

Really starting to feel like some consultant pollster memo went out across the party saying that every candidate needs to have some kind of means tested tax cut. No other explanation makes sense.

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6 hours ago

I talk a lot about how Article I of the Constitution (Congress) is not in effect, but Articles III and VI as well as their explicit powers from Marbury v Madison (Judiciary) are also not in effect.

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6 hours ago

(Yes it was repressed in 2026 but I still found it)

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6 hours ago
YouTube
Pumphouse Gang – Welcome Back Into My Life YouTube video by Kindofblue12

Found a rare 1979 midtempo disco joint outta Ireland of all places

www.youtube.com/watch?v=HkIT...

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8 hours ago

Stop involving me in this bullshit

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1 day ago

A very good way to measure people's preferences is to look at what they're willing to pay for less car-dependent neighborhoods in the urban core versus completely car-dependent neighborhoods in the exurban fringe.

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13 hours ago

Can this be a solution?

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1 day ago

In our recent survey, 47% of men under 30 said legal sports betting is a *bad thing* for society, up from 22% who said that in 2022: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

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1 day ago
Preview
a cartoon of a girl standing in front of a door that says that sign can 't stop me because i can Alt: a cartoon of a girl standing in front of a door that says that sign can 't stop me because i can

Sadly I legit don’t know what it means

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1 day ago
Kaschuta describes the New Right as a sort of
"masculine cargo cult": Masculinity is in abeyance in the broader culture, but, the movement believes, if they all say the right things, adopt the right postures and politics, the manliness and status that are their birthright will return and life will be good again. Within this fantasy, Kaschuta says, misogyny has the structure of antisemitism.
Like the Jewish person, the modern woman is simultaneously wretched and all-powerful, feeble and defective and responsible for everything wrong in the world. "There is this feeling," she says, "that women are inferior and intellectually incapable, that they should be relegated to care work but, at the same time, that they have this horrible, total agency over the world and that they work in mysterious ways to warp the culture."

Astute

nymag.com/intelligence...

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1 day ago

They’re doing a lot of things besides protecting and serving

www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/35o94...

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1 day ago
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A Strategy to Heal America’s Rural-Urban Divide Suzanne Mettler has combined five decades of county-level analysis to understand why rural and urban America are so divided—and how we can heal.

In 1996 Clinton won 48% of rural counties. In 2024 Trump won 93%. "Rural Versus Urban: The Growing Divide That Threatens Democracy" explains why & what's to be done to heal the divide. I interviewed lead author @smettler.bsky.social for @barnraiser.bsky.social 1/
barnraisingmedia.com/a-strategy-t...

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1 day ago

WhY ArEn’t yOuNg pEoPlE PrOtEsTiNg? asks the university leader in 2026

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1 day ago

“Unconstitutional, abhorrent.” And done in collaboration with universities, who sold their students out for exercising their free speech and got them sent to detention centers

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2 days ago

(Yes that was more of a comment)

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2 days ago

i.e., @jrothst.bsky.social

My question, if I get the chance to ask, is that it's not clear that the people with negative real wages were more likely to switch to Trump. I do agree it's a reason for people to be pissed off about the economy, though

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2 days ago

.@jrothst.bsky.social is discussant, arguing that the bigger story is that wage gains during this time (which on average & at median pretty much kept up or even surpassed inflation) were unevenly distributed. It's messy: some workers get left behind by late or too small wage increases

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2 days ago

Helps to explain why people focus so much on grocery prices specifically rather than inflation overall (or real wages)

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2 days ago

Watching a @jaredb-econ.bsky.social here at Berkeley @ucberkeleyirle.bsky.social and he's showing a very intersting point on grocery prices: in the 2010s, grocery prices inflated way less than overall inflation. In the 2020s, grocery prices inflated similarly to the rest of goods.

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2 days ago

Worth noting that "AI reduces labor demand" and "AI increases labor demand" can both be pitched with negative valence.

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2 days ago

Smartphones with social media have been devastating for kids and teenagers. Also for journalists and pundits.

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2 days ago

This is stunning. @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social at one point looks like he’s thinking “it’s even worse than anyone could’ve expected.” Article I of the Constitution is not in effect.

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2 days ago
Preview
Immigrant says ICE invoked MAGA YouTuber Nick Shirley during arrest Mamdou Ndoye, who was ordered released by a judge in February, says he was rearrested by ICE later that month by agents who asked him why he was “aggressive to Nick Shirley.”

Ndoye reports from detention that Nick Shirley, himself, pointed at him during the Canal Street raid to tell them to arrest him

"ICE didn’t even try to talk to me, but then he pointed me out to ICE and they ran to me and arrested me."

A regime of influencers

www.courthousenews.com/immigrant-sa...

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2 days ago
Trump's war with Iran is driving up gas prices.
Americans shouldn't be stuck paying the bill for his bad decisions - we need to suspend the federal gas tax and bring relief at the pump NOW.
-Mark Kelly Calls to Suspend 18.4C Gas Tax After Prices Rise 35C in a Week

This one takes the cake

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2 days ago

For real wtf is going on with this ridiculous tax revolt stuff among Dems like Booker, Hochul, and Van Hollen? Makes no economic or political sense

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3 days ago

lol, of course the ADL is claiming that saying "Operation Epstein Fury" is antisemitic. What a joke of an organization.

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3 days ago
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Whistleblower claims ex-DOGE member says he took Social Security data to new job The Social Security inspector general’s office is investigating allegations that the former DOGE engineer took sensitive data on a thumb drive in a major potential security breach, said people familia...

He allegedly said "he needed help transferring data from a thumb drive “to his personal computer so that he could ‘sanitize’ the data before using it at [the company.] ... [and] that he expected to receive a presidential pardon ... ." www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

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3 days ago
Preview
What the Challenger Layoff Tracker Really Measures Why announced layoffs often diverge from the government’s layoff data.

I started a substack! First piece looks at the Challenger layoff data compared to JOLTS.

Why did Challenger, but not JOLTS, show an increase in layoffs the last three years?

besttrousers.substack.com/p/what-the-c...

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3 days ago

because they only know chuck berry, little Richard, and the other black inventors of rock that he took from right? :)

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