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Ralph De Haas

@ralphdehaas.bsky.social

EBRD’s Director of Research, CEPR Research Fellow, part-time Professor of Finance at KU Leuven. πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί. Views are my own.

374 Followers  |  377 Following  |  16 Posts  |  Joined: 23.02.2025  |  2.1462

Latest posts by ralphdehaas.bsky.social on Bluesky

Graph of the effect of geopolitical distance on FDI.

As geopolitical uncertainty rises – due to events ranging from Brexit and the increasing rivalry between major economies to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – firms are increasingly factoring political alignment into their investment decisions. This column uses detailed global data on greenfield projects, mergers and acquisitions, and affiliate stocks, and four measures of political alignment, to explore how foreign direct investment has become more sensitive to geopolitical distance. It reveals how friendshoring trends have accelerated since 2011, and how today’s investment flows reflect deepening geoeconomic fragmentation.

Graph of the effect of geopolitical distance on FDI. As geopolitical uncertainty rises – due to events ranging from Brexit and the increasing rivalry between major economies to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – firms are increasingly factoring political alignment into their investment decisions. This column uses detailed global data on greenfield projects, mergers and acquisitions, and affiliate stocks, and four measures of political alignment, to explore how foreign direct investment has become more sensitive to geopolitical distance. It reveals how friendshoring trends have accelerated since 2011, and how today’s investment flows reflect deepening geoeconomic fragmentation.

Arti Grover & Pierre-Louis Vezina find an increasing role for political alignment or differences in shaping companies' location decisions. Geopolitical differences have a larger negative impact on #FDI today than they did 10 years ago.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

04.07.2025 08:32 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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πŸ“’ Call for Papers!

Upcoming conference on "Accelerating Growth for Women Entrepreneurs in Developing Economies", by @ebrd.bsky.social, We-Fi, IDB, @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social

Keynote: Marianne Bertrand (Chicago Booth)

Submission deadline: 13 July 2025 πŸ‘‰

tinyurl.com/mvcu2drc

01.07.2025 09:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Congrats!!

01.07.2025 21:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ“’ Call for Papers!

Upcoming conference on "Accelerating Growth for Women Entrepreneurs in Developing Economies", by @ebrd.bsky.social, We-Fi, IDB, @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social

Keynote: Marianne Bertrand (Chicago Booth)

Submission deadline: 13 July 2025 πŸ‘‰

tinyurl.com/mvcu2drc

01.07.2025 09:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

❗And here's another RA position in @ebrd.bsky.social' Office of the Chief Economist, this one for a two-year period:

jobs.ebrd.com/job/London-A...

26.06.2025 09:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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🌟We're hiring! Join @ebrd.bsky.social's Office of the Chief Economist (OCE) in London as a Research Analyst and work with us on policy-relevant & cutting-edge research

Apply πŸ‘‰ tinyurl.com/pe3m458x

#econra @fraloi.bsky.social @helenaschweiger.bsky.social

24.06.2025 10:32 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2

πŸ’₯Join our team of economists to do research that matters!

24.06.2025 14:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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🌟We're hiring! Join @ebrd.bsky.social's Office of the Chief Economist (OCE) in London as a Research Analyst and work with us on policy-relevant & cutting-edge research

Apply πŸ‘‰ tinyurl.com/pe3m458x

#econra @fraloi.bsky.social @helenaschweiger.bsky.social

24.06.2025 10:32 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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πŸ“’The program for the 7th @ebrd.bsky.social and @cepr.org Research Symposium is now on-line!πŸ“’

Join us on June 2-3 in London to discuss β€œThe Economics of Demographic Change"

Keynotes: JesΓΊs FernΓ‘ndez-Villaverde (UPenn) and @mdoepke.bsky.social (LSE)

Program and registration: lnkd.in/e5aNypaf

22.05.2025 11:09 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ“’The program for the 7th @ebrd.bsky.social and @cepr.org Research Symposium is now on-line!πŸ“’

Join us on June 2-3 in London to discuss β€œThe Economics of Demographic Change"

Keynotes: JesΓΊs FernΓ‘ndez-Villaverde (UPenn) and @mdoepke.bsky.social (LSE)

Program and registration: lnkd.in/e5aNypaf

22.05.2025 11:09 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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☘️Very much enjoyed giving a seminar at the @centralbankireland.bsky.social ☘️ Great discussions with the research economists of the Research Collaboration Unit and connecting with the many colleagues they collaborate with across the Bank. Link to the paper: tinyurl.com/5xxsxw85

08.05.2025 08:56 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ“’Just published in @jintlecon.bsky.social πŸ“’

"Global Banking and Macroeconomic Stability. Liquidity, Control, and Monitoring"

w/ @raoulminetti.bsky.social , Elton Beqiraj, and Qingqing Cao

We examine how the organizational structure of global banks affects economic stability 🧡(1/n)

04.04.2025 11:05 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Global banks with a centralized business model (with loan officers hired centrally by the parent and an intense use of internal capital markets) help mitigate the impact of financial shocks on the host economy. However, they may become a destabilizing factor following real shocks

14.04.2025 18:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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New at JIE: "Global banking and macroeconomic stability. Liquidity, control, and monitoring", by Elton Beqiraj, Qingqing Cao, Ralph De Haas, Raoul Minetti (@raoul_minetti)

doi.org/10.1016/j.ji...

14.04.2025 18:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Associate Economist Associate Economist

πŸ—£οΈWe're hiring! @ebrd.bsky.social 's Office of the Chief Economist is hiring an Associate Economist

Apply πŸ‘‰ tinyurl.com/59c49hxv

@fraloi.bsky.social @helenaschweiger.bsky.social @eliaben.bsky.social #EconSky #EconJob

07.04.2025 12:17 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Associate Economist Associate Economist

πŸ—£οΈWe're hiring! @ebrd.bsky.social 's Office of the Chief Economist is hiring an Associate Economist

Apply πŸ‘‰ tinyurl.com/59c49hxv

@fraloi.bsky.social @helenaschweiger.bsky.social @eliaben.bsky.social #EconSky #EconJob

07.04.2025 12:17 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Tomorrow, EBRD OCE's research seminar series features Oxford's @muhammadmeki.bsky.social

πŸ‘‰Link to Muhammad's paper: mmeki.com/wp-content/u...

⭐️OCE honor host of a great list of researchers - for more: loiaconofrancesco.com/oce-research...

@ralphdehaas.bsky.social

07.04.2025 11:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A big thank you also to #NicolaLimodio, #KimFeKramer, @giorgiabarboni.bsky.social and #SeanHiggins for putting together such a great program!

@ebrd.bsky.social

06.04.2025 12:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Very much enjoyed presenting our paper "Violent Conflicts and Cross-Border Lending" (w/ @alexanderpopov.bsky.social , #IlirianaShala , #MikhailMamonov) at the LSE's #WEFIDEV Finance & Development conference. Many thanks to #JanisSkrastins for a fantastic discussion!

Full paper πŸ‘‰ lnkd.in/edidEdxj

06.04.2025 12:42 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ—£οΈ Now forthcoming in the Journal of Corporate Finance (joint w/ @sguriev , Alex Stepanov):

"State Ownership and Corporate Leverage Around the World"

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

@ebrd.bsky.social

30.03.2025 13:05 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Full paper πŸ‘‡

authors.elsevier.com/c/1knq55330m...

(5/5)

04.04.2025 11:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

In contrast, liquidity centralization, while easing liquidity transfers within global bank conglomerates, tends to dilute the response of global banks’ monitoring. Empirical evidence from the BEPS survey broadly aligns with the model predictions (4/n)

04.04.2025 11:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Key insight: Centralization has an ambiguous effect on the (de)stabilizing role of global banks, with distinct roles for liquidity and monitoring centralization. Monitoring centralization amplifies the response of global banks’ monitoring following shocks (3/n)

04.04.2025 11:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We first develop a dynamic equilibrium model where global banks can delegate or centralize loan monitoring and, second, can also transfer liquidity between parent banks and local affiliates (2/n)

04.04.2025 11:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ“’Just published in @jintlecon.bsky.social πŸ“’

"Global Banking and Macroeconomic Stability. Liquidity, Control, and Monitoring"

w/ @raoulminetti.bsky.social , Elton Beqiraj, and Qingqing Cao

We examine how the organizational structure of global banks affects economic stability 🧡(1/n)

04.04.2025 11:05 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

πŸ—£οΈ Now forthcoming in the Journal of Corporate Finance (joint w/ @sguriev , Alex Stepanov):

"State Ownership and Corporate Leverage Around the World"

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

@ebrd.bsky.social

30.03.2025 13:05 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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It was an honor to contribute a chapter on "Sustainable Banking" to the 4th edition of The Oxford Handbook of Banking. I review the role of banks in financing the transition to a low-carbon economy, the impact of climate risks on credit supply & challenges such as greenwashing and carbon arbitrage πŸ‘‡

21.03.2025 12:00 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Women tend to live longer than men in every country in the world.

But the size of this life expectancy gap varies a lot.

From @scientificdiscovery.dev's data insight today: ourworldindata.org/data-insight...

20.03.2025 06:23 β€” πŸ‘ 105    πŸ” 26    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/dmck...

26.11.2024 05:54 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
America’s Oligarchs Are Trump’s Achilles’ Heel | by Gabriel Zucman - Project Syndicate Gabriel Zucman proposes that countries targeted by US tariffs retaliate with taxes on Elon Musk and his peers.

Honorable and commendable of Zelensky to hold his ground against Trump. What a contrast with Macron and Starmer.

And now, please.

Time for Tariffs. On. Oligarchs

www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/o...

28.02.2025 19:33 β€” πŸ‘ 194    πŸ” 56    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

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