ChrisO_wiki

ChrisO_wiki

@chriso-wiki.bsky.social

Independent military history author and researcher. If you find my writings interesting or useful, any tips are appreciated: http://ko-fi.com/chrisowiki

39,898 Followers 23 Following 12,614 Posts Joined Nov 2024
6 hours ago
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Proposal

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9 hours ago

Pretty much, yes.

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Военный Осведомитель Когда мы говорим, что ВКС РФ не в состоянии завоевать господство в воздухе над Украиной, то у многих моментально появляются вопросы - как же так? Вот у нас есть Су-34 с УМПК, вот у нас есть Су-35С с Р...

17/ …becomes a truly independent branch of the armed forces, capable of solving independent tasks and breaking the enemy's back from the air." /end

Source:
t.me/milinfolive/...

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16/ "Until Russian aviation, instead of being an appendage of the Ground Forces, assisting their advance with airstrikes on positions along the front line,…

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15/ …lasting several days in several districts.

This is why all non-frontline military airfields in Ukraine will continue to operate, just like Starokostyantyniv.

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14/ "Add to this the seasonal annual war with Ukraine's power grid, which, over the past four years, has also failed to be completely dealt with, despite the colossal investment of manpower and resources in the strikes, the biggest impact of which was a power outage…

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13/ …while Ukrainian Su-24Ms still regularly take off from it and launch cruise missile strikes against the Russian rear, as they did yesterday in Bryansk. The airfield continues to operate as before.

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12/ "This is precisely why, for four years now, dozens of missiles and hundreds of drones have been fired at the Starokostyantyniv airfield [in western Ukraine] in an attempt to hit the aircraft based there and their shelters,…

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11/ "The Russian Aerospace Forces, however, due to their organisational backwardness, underdeveloped intelligence, and lack of specialised aviation, are unable to conduct a similar operation to conquer the enemy's skies.

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10/ "This is because an effective campaign to suppress and destroy enemy air defences was conducted beforehand.

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9/ "True air superiority looks like in Iran, where American and Israeli drones, along with aircraft, fly literally over the desired target, striking the necessary targets and conducting raids hundreds of kilometers into the country with impunity.

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8/ "So, we have exactly the same picture: flights exclusively over friendly territory, strikes with glide bombs across the front lines, and counter-drone warfare in the rear.

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7/ "In this regard, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are fundamentally no different from the Russian Aerospace Forces, but the latter are unable to engage Russian fighters in aerial combat due to the inferiority of their equipment and weapons.

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6/ "This is precisely why the range of the FAB [bomb] with the UMPK [glide kit] is regularly increased—to minimize the risk to the bomber, which is unable to strike rear-area targets behind the front line.

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5/ "And that's all true. There's just one problem: Russian aircraft can do all this only from above territory controlled by the Russian Armed Forces, or, even better, from several dozen kilometers away from the front line.

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4/ "Many immediately ask: how can this be? We have the Su-34 with the UMPK, we have the Su-35S with the R-37M, we have the Ka-52 with the LMUR, and so on. After all, they all fly, bomb, hit, and kill.

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3/ 'Military Informant' discusses why the Russian Aerospace Forces are still unable to achieve air superiority over Ukraine after over four years of full-scale war:

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2/ Ukraine's aviation situation is starkly different to that of Iran's, despite facing a theoretically more powerful opponent. The Ukrainian Air Force is not only still flying in substantial numbers but has expanded its capabilities with the addition of Western aircraft.

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1/ Russia simply isn't capable of doing in Ukraine what the US and Israeli air forces are doing in Iran, a prominent Russian warblogger admits. He blames the Russian air force's "organisational backwardness, underdeveloped intelligence, and lack of specialised aviation." ⬇️

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Trump's backup plan revealed

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17 hours ago

20/ Iran experts describe the system as being like "a hydra‑like structure: You cut off one head and new ones go grow back," as Middle East researcher Sébastien Boussois puts it. /end

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19/ The Shia see martyrdom as a conscious choice to sacrifice one's life to uphold justice and fight against oppression, converting political defeat into moral victory. In this context, demands for unconditional surrender may well be seen as religiously unacceptable.

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18/ Shi'ism traces its origins to the death of the Prophet Muhammad's grandson Husayn in the battle of Karbala in 680 CE, after he refused to pledge allegiance to what he perceived as a corrupt ruler.

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17/ The fact that Iran is a Shia state is also critical. Shia Islam is suffused with the idea of sacrifice and martyrdom, which it considers a form of "testimony" (Shahada) to one's faith. It is not considered a loss but a transfiguration to a form of sainthood.

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16/ Finally, the whole system is heavily influenced by religious and ideological principles that are absent from conventional dictatorships. Indoctrination is universal and compulsory for everyone in the system. For all its corruption, commitment is still deeply felt.

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15/ The elected government cannot implement policy that the IRGC, Guardian Council, or Supreme Leader actively opposes.

The system means that external players cannot simply rely on one actor turning against the others to overthrow the state.

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14/ All of this means that no single actor can impose its will on the others. Even the Supreme Leader operates through coalition-building, side payments, and strategic ambiguity rather than simple command. The IRGC cannot simply take over the state — it needs clerical legitimacy.

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13/ Economic power is also diffused across the system. Semi-state economic foundations known as bonyads control vast economic resources and are largely exempt from government oversight. They are connected to various factional interests.

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12/ Iran also has a system of separate courts and legal bodies that operate in parallel with the regular state judiciary, with a focus specifically on prosecuting perceived enemies of the revolution.

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11/ Although Iran does have elections, they are tightly controlled by the Guardian Council, which acts as the guarantor of the Iranian Revolution. It screens parliamentary candidates, excluding those deemed ideologically unreliable, and has the power to veto legislation.

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