@kstrump.bsky.social
Political scientist at Johns Hopkins University: democracy, inequality, political psychology, public opinion, behavioral everything. No relation. American by way of Estonia, Sweden, and England.
Yes, would be happy to chat! I am Estonian, though it's been a long while since I lived in Estonia, so I will be more useful for general cultural context and less for "what happened in parliament last year".
Because I am a survey researcher, I usually take most surveys that I am asked to participate in. But I am reaching saturation on surveys about AI use in academia... how many teams are out there working on this? Everyone?
New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social.
Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other.
This has potentially big issues for conclusions.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The pace at which US wealth concentration is rising is simply staggering
The concentration of AI wealth into the hands of a few tech barons + plutocratic capture ==> unchartered territory
Doing my share to reduce the bias of the published research record by file drawering a study with significant results
I once showed my sister that people show up in Google Scholar even if they are acknowledged, not only if they are authors. She told her boyfriend's mom, who had been an administrator in a research lab for years. It brought up dozens of theses where she was acknowledged. There were tears.
You let a public opinion scholar design a yard sign
I’m so sorry Thomas. I’ve been thinking of you as the news has kept coming. And it keeps occurring to me that what we are seeing from regular people there is exactly what I would expect if most Minnesotans are like you.
Reminder: All it would take to end the murder of American citizens by an untrained government goon squad is 16 Republicans in Congress voting with Dems to defund ICE (or 23 to impeach and remove Trump — 3 in House & 20 in Senate). That’s it. 23 Americans can vote for the public and end all of this.
This law group led by @rickpildes.bsky.social had me write for their 100 Ideas series on US democracy
My idea: the rule of law cannot coexist with this level of wealth concentration. Once Musk, Bezos, Zuck, & a few others bend the knee, the authoritarian consolidates too much power
A country that blows up foreign fishing boats for no reason is one that will shoot its own citizens for no reason.
For the second year in a row, the wealth gains for the 100 richest Americans exceeded what ALL American households spent on groceries combined.
~$995B for billionaires vs ~$775B in total grocery spending.
We have an oligarchy and inequality problem masquerading as an affordability crisis.
In our research on socioeconomic background in academia, we ran a survey. Over 2,000 faculty members responded (thanks if you were one!)
Social & cultural capital showed up time and again as key issues.
A few findings you might be interested in...🧵
Those claiming Dems should retreat on racial justice aren't hard-headed realists, they're pushing against the electoral tide rather than leaning into it. The story of Gen Z isn't about racist backlash or red-pilled young men. It's the most racially progressive generation in American history. 🧵
🚨Elites often warn: taxing the rich hurts everyone.
🤔But do citizens buy that story?
With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm
So much more informative than the maddeningly common "Arrived yesterday, looks great, can't wait to give it to the child."
“Deciding to Win' also displays little awareness of what winning elections is for. There is an obvious reason why the Democratic Party ought not abandon its commitment to preventing the climate crisis," writes @davekarpf.bsky.social. Excellent piece. newrepublic.com/article/2023...
A guy I used to work with was a tenured psych/CS professor as well as on an elite amateur crew team.
He said "you're never going to make learning easier, just like you're never going to make rowing easier."
I think about that a lot.
I had some coffee and remembered this is a dog. Day is going well.
I need the “this is fine” mouse but with popcorn looking out the window at a different burning house.
"Wealthy, mostly/largely democratic countries" seems to be front-runner for new summary.
Here is a very niche sign of how far the US has fallen.
If you attend a political science conference today, you will hear scholars stumbling over how to introduce datasets that until last year were known as describing "wealthy industrialized democracies".
Wow, wow, wow. This has always been legally possible but the law has virtually never been enforced — and now this is the SECOND case I've heard of in the last month (first involving a person with a green card) of a noncitizen being charged for failure to carry their papers.
What a treat, in every sense of the word, to be in Munich for the #isiwealthconference2025 @isi-munich.bsky.social
“Portland‘s protest frogs are multiplying”
I laughed. But also, completely seriously, can anyone point me to things written on Duverger vs. recent polls out of the UK?
@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!
Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:
🧵⬇️
Really excited that after several years of working on it, revising, and getting lots of rejections, our paper (w/ Rune Stubager & Mads Thau) on citizens’ responses to group appeals is *finally* out @ejprjournal.bsky.social
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
A 🧵 on our findings...
This one neat trick can help you teach US politics during an institutional collapse:
Tell the truth.
That's it. Just tell it like it is. Be radical.
You know what's quaint? Walking into a classroom of 20-yr olds, who have known nothing but the Trump era in politics, and explaining to them that ten years ago we Elders had a Big Debate™ about whether Trump support was *really* about racial attitudes.