Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall

@joshtpm.bsky.social

Founder & reigning monarch at TPM. Lapsed historian. Hand tool woodworker. Jew.

265,658 Followers 383 Following 15,209 Posts Joined May 2023
5 hours ago
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www.pbs.org/newshour/pol...

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5 hours ago

this is almost beyond belief. I mean, not a matter of being an expert. all you really need is to have watched any CNN panel at any of the 20 times there was any crisis in the the Gulf for the last 35 years.

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5 hours ago
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5 hours ago
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Do Global Oil Markets Have Trump Derangement Syndrome? Donald Trump may have started his war with Iran with the aim...

Do Global Oil Markets Have Trump Derangement Syndrome? talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/do-gl...

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5 hours ago

kind of agree. it's a totally outside the box approach

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5 hours ago
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Clyburn’s Daughter Will Have to Wait As Her Dad Decides to Run for 18th Term ‘We’ll Just See How Things Go’ A few days ago, Rep. Jim...

Sort of captures the state of generational politics in America today. How long does Jim Clyburn's daughter have to wait to inherit his seat? talkingpointsmemo.com/where-things...

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5 hours ago

It took the White House about 8 days to get to: actually high gas prices are awesome.

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5 hours ago

New White House line: actually high gas prices are good for America*.

(If you're in the oil business.)

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4 days ago

Watch this video.

This is the start of the MAGA Nuremberg tribunals.

We will put Nathan Cavanaugh on trial for breaking the law, and we will put him in prison for a long time. It’s the only way to prevent this from happening again and restore rule of law.

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2 days ago

TPM is a strange, special place to work. We're small and scrappy and built around some big personalities. We have a ton of editorial freedom and independence. Staff stick around. And we're lucky to have close relationships with our readers, many of whom have been reading the site since the 2000s.

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6 hours ago

it really is amazing. if you've been a steady watcher of CNN for the last few decades you know all about this. even the most meager knowledge of the regional and the sea lanes and you know this

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6 hours ago

Yeah. Even beyond simulations. Basically every crisis in the Gulf for the last 40 years has had a big starring role for the effect of one war to a conflict cutting off the gulf oil tanker transit at the strait of hormuz.

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6 hours ago

The idea that the White House didn't figure Iran might try to cut off oil out of the Gulf is comical. They didn't figure for what has now become the fulcrum point of the whole conflict. Iran's leaders are now showing that regime change can work in both directions.

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6 hours ago

2/ One cld go further to note that if yu're worried Iran wld use a nuclear weapon you should certainly worry that they'd use an infinitely less dangerous (to them) cudgel to apply pain to Washington, Europe, Asia which they can't hope to do with weapons.

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6 hours ago
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First this is a good piece. But this is hardly a "worst case scenario". Once you start a war with the goal of overthrowing the regime, it's almost a certainty. This is their best leverage. www.cnn.com/2026/03/12/p...

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7 hours ago
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Trump Removes Sanctions on Russia to Help Oil Flow Amid Iran Conflict

Wow huge break for russia. so weird. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/12/u...

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8 hours ago
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Trump administration underestimated Iran war’s impact on Strait of Hormuz | CNN Politics The Pentagon and National Security Council significantly underestimated Iran’s willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to US military strikes while planning the ongoing operation, accord...

"Top Trump officials acknowledged to lawmakers during recent classified briefings that they did not plan for the possibility of Iran closing the strait in response to strikes, according to three sources familiar with the closed-door session."

How is this real life? AYFKM

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7 hours ago

Yeah, my sense on the evidence they've made public was they have to know they're going to lose here, but that guidance from above must say they have to see it thru. There are ICE cases they've lost where in a narrowly factual sense the charge was fairly strong andthey still lost. This seems weaker.

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13 hours ago
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Do Global Oil Markets Have Trump Derangement Syndrome? Donald Trump may have started his war with Iran with the aim...

Do Global Oil Markets Have Trump Derangement Syndrome? talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/do-gl...

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8 hours ago

It at least seemed from those earlier revelations that the case is pretty thin and I feel like it will be very hard to impanel a jury symp to the govt/ICE. Is there any consensus among court watchers how likely this case is to go to trial?

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9 hours ago

Interesting. Yes, I saw those earlier disclosures and what the govt said. I didn’t realize that there was a consensus that the case was weakest agst those two. So I went to the other still being active electorally.

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9 hours ago

2/ what stands out is that the others are all politicians or have active campaigns whereas the one woman is a performer and the other dropped her campaign over this. Am I missing something?

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9 hours ago

Have all your tweets and the piece and others. Is there any clarity on why the charges were dropped in the case of these two? None of the reporting I’ve seen gives any sense that the evidence for these two made their cases weaker.

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12 hours ago

bsky.app/profile/404m...
Wow

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12 hours ago

Kate Riga bobblehead too, pls

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12 hours ago

I’ve wondered the same. A lot of these inputs are very hard to evaluate in traditional terms. How do you favor Trump saying war is over as often as tomorrow and saying it yesterday?

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12 hours ago

TPM is one of my favorite subscriptions. Def recommend

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12 hours ago

I’ve been a reader since the very hand coded html beginning. Worth it for the hilarious scandals uncovered over the years.

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12 hours ago

Okay we may add that

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13 hours ago
Preview
Do Global Oil Markets Have Trump Derangement Syndrome? Donald Trump may have started his war with Iran with the aim...

Do Global Oil Markets Have Trump Derangement Syndrome? talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/do-gl...

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