Bruno Castanho Silva's Avatar

Bruno Castanho Silva

@bcastanho.bsky.social

Ass. Prof. of Methods in Empirical Social Research at FU Berlin and EB member @methodsnet.bsky.social Politics, methods, and occasionally memes https://bcastanho.github.io/

3,716 Followers  |  907 Following  |  267 Posts  |  Joined: 19.09.2023  |  2.5327

Latest posts by bcastanho.bsky.social on Bluesky

Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here ๐Ÿ‘‡

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us

22.11.2025 19:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 83    ๐Ÿ” 21    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Slavoj ลฝiลพek meme image

Slavoj ลฝiลพek meme image

โ€œYou see, the endless renovation of the Stuttgart train station is a symbol of our late-capitalist condition: the project is always โ€˜in progress,โ€™ yet nothing ever progresses. The construction site itself becomes the true destination.โ€

19.11.2025 13:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 50    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Yeah, I also expected but I think people don't really see this as a democracy issue. The question right after is asking the yes people to check all the circumstances they think apply, from a list of 6. Will keep you posted

18.11.2025 21:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And the answer is... Agreement that under certain circumstances the government should be able to revoke people's citizenship

18.11.2025 17:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And the answer is... Agreement that under certain circumstances the government should be able to revoke people's citizenship

18.11.2025 17:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Not really a gendered issue but I like the direction you're going

18.11.2025 16:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Not at all

18.11.2025 16:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Not even close

18.11.2025 16:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nope

18.11.2025 15:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That had escaped my radar, getting a copy right now!

18.11.2025 14:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Good guess, but no

18.11.2025 14:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yes, exactly

18.11.2025 14:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Regression output from R showing a list of predictors for an outcome. Female has significant negative effect, left-right and income significant positive, and party dummies have no significant effect.

Regression output from R showing a list of predictors for an outcome. Female has significant negative effect, left-right and income significant positive, and party dummies have no significant effect.

Political attitude (on a pretty relevant topic and fairly salient) that has little to no correlation to partisanship in Germany. Guesses?

Survey from June/July 2025, online sample with quotas for relevant dems

Hint: outcome is binary, 56% of 1's

18.11.2025 13:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Post image

Iโ€™m so glad to see this paper โ€” my first solo-authored one and second from my dissertation โ€” finally published! If youโ€™ve heard me talk about my research in the last couple of years, you know this is the story that started it all for me, and Iโ€™m so happy to finally have it out there in the world.

17.11.2025 14:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 23    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Screenshot of scene from the game silent hill where a man stands at the entrance to a very foggy gray city

Screenshot of scene from the game silent hill where a man stands at the entrance to a very foggy gray city

Alemanha entre outubro e abril. Linda

17.11.2025 17:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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A new interesting article by @beckerbastian.bsky.social , @bcastanho.bsky.social and Hanna Lierse is now available on our FirstView page. It is entitled "Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation". Enjoy it here: tinyurl.com/2cc7x4jf

12.11.2025 15:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Happy to see this out with @beckerbastian.bsky.social and Hanna Lierse!

TL;DR: People believe that taxing the rich both reduces inequality AND promotes economic growth. Even those on the right! Check the thread for more! ๐Ÿ‘‡

11.11.2025 11:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Logo of the Journal of Public Policy with the text "#OpenAccess" beneath in white letters on a black background.

Logo of the Journal of Public Policy with the text "#OpenAccess" beneath in white letters on a black background.

#OpenAccess from @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social -

Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation - https://cup.org/4nUnO6v

- @beckerbastian.bsky.social, @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse

#FirstView

11.11.2025 10:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿšจ Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project

You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna!

โฑ๏ธ Apply by 15/12/2025

wratil.eu/files/MULTIR...

1/4 ๐Ÿงต

10.11.2025 06:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 64    ๐Ÿ” 69    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7

It's deeply worrying how few politicians, all around Europe, are willing to be like Ed and make the case for legal migrants

22.10.2025 08:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Screenshot of the start of the paper. Title (Political knowledge and perceptions of minority governments in Europe), authors (Jens Wรคckerle and Sven-Oliver Proksch) and journal (European Journal of Political Research)

Screenshot of the start of the paper. Title (Political knowledge and perceptions of minority governments in Europe), authors (Jens Wรคckerle and Sven-Oliver Proksch) and journal (European Journal of Political Research)

New from @erc.europa.eu project #MINORITYRULE with @sopro.bsky.social: We study votersโ€™ knowledge about and perceptions of minority governments in ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ, ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช and ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช.

Link: doi.org/10.1017/S147...

When survey researchers or politicians talk about minority governments, what do voters understand? โฌ‡๏ธ

17.10.2025 12:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 23    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Oh yay, since there's no open professorships due to budget cuts all around, a record number of ECRs have to gamble their hopes for future on getting one of the few lifelines still available! Fantastic!

16.10.2025 13:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 37    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Clรกssico do gรชnero ร“timo Livro Pรฉssimos Fรฃs

15.10.2025 08:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This whole thread is incredibly important for young scholars. We all get rejected. The very first line of the first review of the first ever paper I submitted to a journal read:

"I strongly oppose publication of this manuscript in [Journal name] and any other journal"

14.10.2025 10:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Happy to host you at our Institute!

09.10.2025 13:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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New paper ๐Ÿšจ โ€œVicarious denial: war crimes & online deliberation in Serbiaโ€ ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ with @denisakost.bsky.social

We scrape 4 news sites + reader comments and blend text-as-data (keywords; neg. binomial/logistic; BERTopic/SBERT) with critical discourse analysis to track on-topic debate & denial.

09.10.2025 01:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

I hear deportation is a great way of solving criminality oh no wait

09.10.2025 07:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I don't think it's cognitive dissonance. Europeans disapprove Trump for style not substance

09.10.2025 07:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is a fantastic public good for scholars working on parliaments and representation!

08.10.2025 15:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's finally out! All parliamentary committee assignments for 14 countries, 30+ years, harmonized with other MP and parties datasets

08.10.2025 13:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 30    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@bcastanho is following 20 prominent accounts