Brady West

Tired: Dos a Cero

Wired: 13-10

😂

blog post:

probability sample = known nonzero probability

epsem = equal individual probabilities

SRS = equal entire-sample probabilities

OPINION TODAY featured podcast —
Dealing with Selection Bias in Surveys, with Rod Little, @randridge.bsky.social and @bradytwest.bsky.social
(@aapor.bsky.social)
opiniontoday.substack.com/i/180586526/...

come work with us! @bluelabs.bsky.social is hiring a survey scientist. we're looking for someone who loves working with survey data and wants to solve tricky problems facing the polling industry. please share widely!

job-boards.greenhouse.io/bluelabsanal...

Hard disagree. The official BLS jobs numbers are still the most reliable data we have, and it's not close. And there's no way the Administration has (yet) fiddled with its data. I promise to let you know at the first whiff of interference.

Public Opinion Podcast - AAPOR

I had fun hosting this podcast for @aapor.bsky.social with Rod Little and @randridge.bsky.social, where we discussed modern approaches to dealing with selection bias in surveys (and why weights may not work). I hope that AAPOR will continue to make the P.O.P. available!

aapor.org/media/public...

Yet another excellent example of why it is important to always think critically about from where (or whom!) exactly the data are coming.

For the avoidance of doubt: does svyglm() use robust standard errors? Yes!
notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/12/01/d...

An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment

Needed - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects:
-"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size"
-"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant"
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

Just a miserable failure by the Lions coaching staff today. Hasn’t been great for multiple games, but this is a nadir. And now the playoffs are in jeopardy.

Really bad time for one of your better defensive players to just glitch out…WTF?

a bald man is sitting at a desk making a funny face and pointing at the camera . ALT: a bald man is sitting at a desk making a funny face and pointing at the camera .

Lets get a live look-in with the Michigan bench

I’ve never seen anything like what Michigan basketball is doing right now. Bonkers. If they hit shots at this kind of clip, look out, because the D should be there every night. #HAIL

Our new #rstats package. This one implements and extends Lee et al. (2022) maximum entropy classification so you can automate your record linkage pipeline. Let us know what you think! cc @tslumley.bsky.social @vincentab.bsky.social @bradytwest.bsky.social @bschneidr.bsky.social

This was amazing…!

All the makings of a pretty special team. #HAIL

Hanyu Sun & Fred Conrad examine the differences in interviewer and respondent paralinguistic behaviors (such as “uh” and “um” or laughter) between video and in-person interviews and whether these difference influence respondents' answers myumi.ch/rAPZ7

PDHP workshop

Mark your calendar for the next, hybrid half-day PDHP Workshop with @d3center.bsky.social experts, covering Adaptive Interventions: Dec. 12! Register at pdhp.isr.umich.edu/workshops/ @leb112358.bsky.social

The Lions defense has been beyond awful all day. Like, what is this? You are letting Jameis Winston do whatever he wants. Just absolutely inexcusable.

Heads up! If you are interested in pursuing graduate studies in survey and data science (read: all things quantitative social science) at the University of Michigan, please check out these upcoming info sessions!

So great to see BLS back to work measuring and informing us about our large and dynamic economy.

It’s a great institution full of dedicated civil servants deeply committed their mission. They have had a tough year, and everyone is covering for someone who left. I thank them all for their service.

Hey authors! Check to see if Anthropic stole your book to train their slop generator on. You’re entitled to $1500 per stolen Work.

Look up your work, and if you’re in the database, file a claim
secure.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com/lookup/

How about these Pistons??? 😮‍💨😤💯

Webinar recording now available: myumi.ch/kPRXk

ICYMI: watch the #sbeccc webinar and view the presentation slides from @bradytwest.bsky.social on ICPSR's YouTube channel: myumi.ch/kPRXk

Meet Zachary Winograd, student at the Michigan Program for Survey and Data Science and research assistant at @d3center.bsky.social at the Survey Research Center (SRC)!

Learn more about the MPSDS and students here: surveydatascience.isr.umich.edu

#masters #research #datascience

Chat GPT tells me that what happened in the Michigan football game today has never happened before (Div. 1, playing on road, 5 turnovers, 2 missed field goals, still win):

interesting little "need to get your shit together asap" moment here for ol' Sherrone Moore's Michigan

OK, it’s clear to everyone and their brother that Michigan cannot trust Zvada. Like, enough. Sherrone needs to go for it on 4th and short, every time.

A road win is a road win, but man Michigan has got to fix the careless turnover problem. Been an issue for two straight years with completely different players…🤨

Survey Statistics: weights and MRP for voters
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/11/s...

Making connections at #GSA2025? The @umisr.bsky.social Institute for Social Research is an extraordinary hub for studying aging. Follow us all with starter pack tabs from @um-psc.bsky.social @um-src.bsky.social and @rcgd-isr.bsky.social, and comment to be added! go.bsky.app/JcQbemD