Ryan P. Kellogg

YouTube video by Pyotr Kurzin | Geopolitics Why Russia’s Slow Collapse Is More Dangerous Than You Realise

In which Pyotr Kurzin and I have a pleasant chat on a gloomy subject -- sanctions, economic warfare, and Russia's war on Ukraine www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfjX...

@warwickecon.bsky.social @cagewarwick.bsky.social @britishacademy.bsky.social @cepr.org

Fellow podcast host of Kellogg's Global Politics, @arkellogg.bsky.social quoted recently by TND about US-China trade deal progress and the August 12th deadline. We discuss more in next week's episode. bit.ly/3TYqIuk

This seems highly unlikely given Trump’s stated goal of $50/bbl oil. Plus keeping Russian crude off the market means going after big buyers like China and India. Lower energy prices is the only thing keeping US inflation under control since ‘Liberation Day’

China Is Spending Billions to Become an A.I. Superpower Beijing is taking an industrial policy approach to help its A.I. companies close the gap with those in the United States.

Nice piece on China's AI push in @nytimes.com. I wonder if the Chinese model can compete with US public-private innovation hubs like Silicon Valley, Austin, RTP etc--I think Hangzhou's Dream Town is the only equivalent. Beijing's $8.5B for AI start-ups seems like chump change though. bit.ly/40xUY2U

In China, the master’s degree is the new bachelor’s degree College graduates are earning master’s degrees just to have a chance in a job market marred by China’s shaky post-pandemic recovery.

Nice article by @joshuaqyang.bsky.social on the degree creep in China for new grads. A tough labor market and lower pay back home has been one of the main reasons why Chinese PhDs in the US have high stay rates (>80%). All the more reason not push them out with hostile visa policies. bit.ly/3Uaav5d

Why China Is Building a Thorium Molten-Salt Reactor China’s demo reactor could breed nuclear fuel from rare earth waste

That's interesting-I wasn't aware that China had some small pilot plants using thorium. My understanding is that thorium produces less radioactive waste and is easier to mine. Looks like China has an advantage on supply since it's a waste product of rare earth mining. bit.ly/3IHv2eV

Talking Drones, Robotics, and the Future of Warfare | The 12-Day War (Israel-Iran Conflict) - Kellogg's Global Politics In this episode, Anita speaks with Lt. Col. Alex Montgomery and Lt. Col. Shannon Waller about the Autonomous Systems and Robotics Industry and how these technologies are changing how wars are fought. ...

@arkellogg.bsky.social talks with Lt. Col. Alex C. Montgomery & Lt. Col. Shannon Waller about drones, robotics, and the future of warfare on the latest episode of Kellogg's Global Politics. Interesting insights into how the US & South Korea approach innovation in the defense industry. bit.ly/4eYCGOt

6/From a climate perspective, Chinese solar has been a big positive. Can't think of a national security threat that cheap solar panels pose to the US. Biden's subsidies to support US companies on silicon-based panels never made sense--support R&D to leapfrog to next gen tech instead.

5/Good luck to the Chinese if they can make nuclear economically sustainable. Again seems like a low margin business that US and other allies have ignored until recently. Would be concerned if Chinese were leading in next gen reactors, but think they are still using GE light-water reactor designs

4/Loss of battery research and manufacturing lead to China seems the most concerning for US interests. Given the changes in warfare emerging from Ukraine/Israel conflicts--battery-powered drones and autonomous systems on a massive scale are needed for national security purposes.

3/What's the difference in geopolitical power/leverage between a 30-year US Natural gas contract and Chinese solar exports? Is there less concern from developing countries in purchasing solar panels (modular, control of electrical output) vs LNG (dependent on US for future fuel)?

2/How sustainable is this for Chinese firms? I get that state-backed firms don't have to operate under the same profitability hurdles for investment that US energy firms do, but what are China's renewable energy margins vs US oil and gas? How is this not massive overcapacity and market inefficiency?

There’s a Race to Power the Future. China Is Pulling Away. Beijing is selling clean energy to the world, Washington is pushing oil and gas. Both are driven by national security.

Thought provoking piece by @bradplumer.bsky.social @sominisengupta.bsky.social & the rest of the NY Times team. The stark differences in strategic energy choices driven by the US and China will have wide geopolitical consequences. A few questions popped up as I read through🧵1/ bit.ly/4nDODNq

China’s Communist Party Now Has 100 Million Members. Many Are in It for the Paycheck. In a sluggish economy, membership is seen as a path to a stable state-sector income.

Great reporting by @chunhanwong.bsky.social in the WSJ. CCP membership is a poor screening tool for shaping U.S. student visa policy — often more about securing gov't jobs in a stagnating economy than ideological fervor.
bit.ly/40wIQz3

Opinion | China Revoked My Visa and Came to Regret It

Great @nytimes.com op-ed: Cutting off academic ties with China won’t make us safer- it risks isolating future reformers & blinding us to what’s happening inside the country.

We need smarter policies that preserve academic freedom & shield Chinese students in the U.S. from the CCP.

bit.ly/40r4dBJ

Chinese students can be an intellectual asset While mitigating risk, we should be encouraging the best and brightest to put down UK roots

Great article looking at the Chinese student visa issue from the UK perspective in @thetimes.com. Yu's idea on targeting students that receive Chinese state-funding (around 7% of the 277k in the US) for extra scrutiny is a surgical approach to mitigate national security risks. bit.ly/3FKbAxg

Talking India-Pakistan Conflict with Daniel Markey | Trump’s Middle East Trip - Kellogg's Global Politics In this episode, Anita speaks with Daniel Markey, who is an expert on South Asia. They cover a host of issues, ranging from the India-Pakistan conflict, Pakistan’s relations with the U.S. and China, I...

Great conversation on Kellogg's Global Politics between @arkellogg.bsky.social & Daniel Markey (from USIP and @stimsoncenter.bsky.social) on the India and Pakistan conflict. Also check out Anita's latest game obsession: @sandfallgames.bsky.social's Clair Obscur: Expedition 33!
bit.ly/4dYLbIE

Chinese Students Reconsider the U.S. as Republicans Threaten Their Visas

Chinese Students Reconsider the U.S. as Republicans Threaten Their Visas www.nytimes.com/2025/06/07/u...

@economist.com featured a recent study from Harvard's Belfer Center on global leadership in critical technologies. The U.S. still leads, but China is closing fast--especially in Biotech, semiconductors, and quantum.

Now is not the time to choke off international talent.

bit.ly/3Zkzje0

Kicking off here on Bluesky.

My op-ed in U.S. News & World Report argues that the Trump admin's visa crackdown on Chinese students risks harming U.S. science more than it helps national security.
🔗 tinyurl.com/4rsuxp2c

Thanks to @scholars.org for the support!

#ChinaPolicy #AI #USVisas