Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks

Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas

Vancouver is good.
Dallas isn’t great.
Vancouver is home.
Vancouver wins #VWFC

St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake

St. Louis City is showing as favorites over RSL, even though RSL is in a playoff position battle and STLC is done for 2025.

However, based on resent form and their horrible road numbers, I can see RSL dropping this match. #ALLforCITY

SJ Earthquakes vs Austin FC

San Jose is down bad. Unluckily, there aren’t more games we can play against them.

Do I trust Austin? NO
Do I trust SJQ to play poorly? YES

#AustinFC

Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC

SDFC has a chance to win the west, and beating Portland on the road seems a likely possibility. Odds will dictate if this is a play, but I see it as a lock on my card. #SDFC

LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United

The model predicts that LA Galaxy won’t finish the season on a high note. With injuries, however, I’m not confident in Minnesota United, either. #LegionofLoons

Sporting KC vs Houston Dynamo

The Houston Dynamo are inexplicably road favorites against SKC. Not playing for much, so I’m not sure I’ll have any action on #HolditDown

Colorado Rapids vs LAFC

LAFC is going to come out hot against the Rapids. Can they overcome altitude and get a Decision Day win? I believe they will. #LAFC

Toronto FC vs Orlando City

Orlando City hasn’t scored more than 1 goal away in their last 3 road matches. While I don’t see Toronto as favorites, I do think this game could be chaotic and unpredictable. Draw territory? Maybe.

#TFCLive

NYCFC vs Seattle Sounders

I was surprised to see Seattle as favorites when they travel to New York. NYCFC could move up, while Seattle is kinda stuck in their current playoff position.

This data is skewed from when Seattle faced LAG, SKC, and ATL in a three game road trip. #Sounders

NE Revolution vs Chicago Fire

Not much to see here. Revs are slight favorites at home. The Fire could easily win this match, especially if the score stays low.

Nashville SC vs Inter Miami

Nashville could move into a better playoff spot. Recent form and home/away stats show Nashville as heavy favorite- a little bit of a surprise. #EveryoneN

Columbus Crew vs NY Red Bulls

Two teams that I thought would be much higher. Columbus could move up from the lowly 9th place. #Crew96

FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal

FC Cincinnati could move up in the playoff standings with a win. Weird how recent form affected home/away splits. Anomaly. I’m not falling for CF Montreal.
#AllForCincy

Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union

Charlotte has more to play for, and I think they rise to the occasion. Philly won the shield already, so I give advantage to Charlotte at home.

Atlanta United vs DC United

DC could get an away win, and the loser could end up with the Wooden Spoon.
#VamosUnited

MLS #DecisionDay odds are in. From my own predictions model, here is some raw data for each matchup.

In the thread, find win and draw % for each match, along with probability over/under 2.5 and 3.5 goals.

Then, tune in tonight as The Designated Pundits give our official picks- buff.ly/A7IXuzZ

Little bit of business for LAFC before decision day.

They re-sign in a player who had 5 goals and 3 assists this season in just about 15 90s.

At 21 he has a chance to still grow into an every week player. Good business locking him up long term.

Black & Gold through and through ⚫️🟡

📝 #LAFC and Nathan Ordaz have agreed to a multi-year contract extension through 2029 with an option for 2030.

Some interesting odds for MLS away teams this week. Going to need to decide which teams need to go full send on starters before we choose.

Anything that jumps out? #MLS #DecisionDay

MLS Decision day is almost here, and her have some sweet home odds to look at.

Is this the week we finally take Atlanta United seriously? #MLS #DecisionDay

Yea. But it’s Toronto.

Maybe draw time.

Some interesting odds for MLS away teams this week. Going to need to decide which teams need to go full send on starters before we choose.

Anything that jumps out? #MLS #DecisionDay

MLS Decision day is almost here, and her have some sweet home odds to look at.

Is this the week we finally take Atlanta United seriously? #MLS #DecisionDay

Besides the legal issues, they’re going to create an echo chamber worse than what we already have. Then the articles are going to get really stale.

You NEW need source content to keep the ball rolling, which means real writers.

Of all the shaming of #MLS over using AI to write articles (good work, guys), the thing I rarely seen brought up is that AI isn’t actually generating from scratch.

It’s learning from source material- articles written by real people who did not give consent.

Damn. Can we play Australia every week?

My RB room right now.

For all those wondering why I haven’t been on my own show in two weeks, here are some before and after photos.

Lots left to do, but making big steps on the new house.

This is the greatest advantage my algorithm has ever produced.