Steve Peers

🇭🇺🗳️⚖️🇪🇺 Looming elections bring out new degrees of legal creativity from the Hungarian government.

a man in a suit and tie is sitting at a desk and says that 's my legal opinion Alt: Saul from Better Call Saul saying 'that 's my "legal" opinion'

That's one word for it!

"Unpatriotic" not to participate in Trump's war? What does he think the UK is - Airstrip One?

Days after Hungary hijacked a Ukrainian Oschadbank delivery, detaining the security team and seizing 10s of millions of dollars worth of cash and gold, the bank has come under a massive hacker attack that has forced the bank to shut down its servers, halting online operations.

a cartoon of a man talking to another man with the words i move for a bad court thingy Alt: Simpsons gif: "I move for a bad court thingy"

Literally the Hungarian government lawyers here

Summary of Hungarian arguments. Full text in the link.

New EU court case III

Rule of law/asylum law

Hungary sues EU court for damages, saying that the EU court breached EU law by fining Hungary for *its* breach of EU law eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-conten...

Summary of the plaintiff arguments. Full text in the link.

New EU court case II

External relations/human rights

Western Sahara group sues EU yet again for doing another dodgy deal with Morocco re Western Sahara eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-conten...

Summary of the arguments of the EU Commission. Full text in the link.

New EU court case I

EU criminal law

EU Commission sues Poland for alleged breach of EU law on European Arrest Warrant eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-conten...

67% of Britons describe themselves as anti-Trump, with Reform UK voters the only group more likely to be pro-Trump than anti

By 2024 vote
Lib Dem: 89% anti-Trump / 2% pro-Trump
Labour: 85% / 3%
Green: 82% / 4%
Conservative: 61% / 19%
Reform UK: 24% / 46%

yougov.com/en-gb/articl...

UK-EU SPS Agreement - Information for Businesses Businesses urged to take simple steps for smoother trade with the EU

Government publishes initial guidance for business on forthcoming UK-EU SPS Agreement, intended to take effect mid-2027 www.gov.uk/government/n...

Bit late for that, there's been years of grovelling

Donald Trump’s Presidency Is in Free Fall Republicans typically lead on the economy, national security, and immigration. Trump is squandering the GOP’s traditional strength on all three.

Trump is in serious trouble. His war is deeply unpopular. He's now in the toilet on the economy, immigration, and national security. His public standing is getting close to being broken in an irreparable way, akin to Bush after Iraq and Katrina:
newrepublic.com/article/2074...

FOR THE LOVE OF GOD…

Can we STOP with this ‘special relationship’ BS

And also…can we wake up to the treachery of our right wing press?!

It's partly about reflexive Atalantism and imperial nostalgia. But I think a big part of this is their sheer hatred of Starmer's focus on international law. Same as the reason Chagos has become such a big deal for them.

Trump told me that the Ayatollah was close to collecting all the infinity stones and had to be stopped.

Councillor Chris Large's departure from Reform a mystery Neither Reform UK or Chris Large have commented on why he is no longer a member of the party.

Apart from the face we exposed him as supporting racist supporters on his TikTok, and then he lied about being hacked…

Councillor's departure from Reform a mystery

Weaponise EU market against China or face manufacturing collapse: official think tank Beijing’s ‘weakness creates opportunities’ for bloc to use chokepoints and leverage for negotiations, researchers say.

New -

Europe warned: weaponise EU market against China or face manufacturing collapse

My report on new research from @ruehlig & @Aligarciaherrer that says:

1. China's economy is not as strong as Europe fears
2. Europe has leverage, use it or lose it

As a caveat, in 2 weeks Trump could just as well declare victory after the IRGC gets just enough to claim its own win so that prices go down enough for the core base of MAGA supporters to claim he was right all along

There is not going to be a sudden "aha" moment that makes 35% MAGA America go away

“HIELANMAN'S UMBRELLA” should be a new law of journalism, which states that if AI generated photos are used in a news article, all reporting from that publication should be instantly distrusted.

Really speedrunning everything from the Iraq War aren't we

The British general election of 2029, in which we are *really* going to stress test 'the governing bloc has, through both forces inside and outside its control, presided over a *really* miserable time for the country' versus 'the opposition bloc just can't stop itself picking up unpopular stances'.

X is a platform that enabled the mass production and distribution of CSAM.

Is this guy a serious analyst? Or is this MAGA fantasy?

So much winning

The British Right’s Permanent War Fantasy How the Telegraph, Mail and GB News turned a dangerous global conflict into another excuse to shout “weakness” and a supplicating audition for Trump’s approval.

Trump bombs.
The Telegraph screams humiliation.
The Mail screams betrayal.
GB News screams weakness.

And all of a sudden a complex global crisis becomes yet another loyalty test to American power.

The UK deserves better than this performative war hysteria.

🐻

The impact of Brexit on immigration to the UK A new analysis finds that Brexit raised the number of foreign-born workers in the UK by about 200,000, but resulted in a more dramatic shift in the countries of origin.

New research by me @jdportes.bsky.social: we find that the end of free movement and the new immigration regime rather modestly raised the number of foreign-born workers in Britain – by about 200,000 in 2024. Thread. www.cer.eu/insights/imp...

Kind of weird when you can watch the global market collectively go "oh shit he is that crazy".

But, rather than receiving a formal invite to meet Trump, Farage was in fact invited to Mar-a-Lago by a member of the club, according to multiple people briefed on the matter They said Farage had hoped he would be able to catch Trump for a conversation as the US president was scheduled to travel to Mar-a-Lago that evening. However, Trump had a change in his itinerary and decided to stay instead in Doral, about an hour`s drive away The Reform leader's failure to secure an audience with the US president underscores a weakening of ties between the two populist leaders who famously formed a close friendship in the vears before and after the 2016

Massive humiliation for Farage, who tipped off the UK press that he was flying to Florida to have dinner with Trump... only for Trump to decide he had more interesting things to do when Nigel arrived.

And when the marsh Arabs the US urged to rise up against Saddam got massacred