Amund Vik

Ny spalte ute i @altinget.bsky.social !

www.altinget.no/artikkel/sto...

A Theory of Political capital A key question for private sector leaders is why the quality of political decision-making seems to be declining.

New piece out now! Looking at political capital and how it is influenced by spcial media and hyper active news cycles

open.substack.com/pub/amundvik...

#EU #coal prices have plunged to around $90/t, the lowest level since May'21 amid a shift to #cleanpower & #renewables. Coal's power share in the EU has plunged from 40% in 1985 to just over 10%. It'll take some time to feed through, but lower fuel import reliance will bring down power costs too.

The combination of high inflation, low growth and relatively feeble centrist political response has been devastating for politics in many places. Cause for optimism with Carneys win in Canada and Jonas in Norway though.

#Oil intensity is falling in big economies (incl #China). It explains why oil demand growth is flatlining. Though there's a big outlier in #SouthKorea, which has taken on petrochemical/refining capacity as others have cut back, overal oil intensity has been declining for 20 years in big economies.

Bolivia! Moldova! Podkastepisode · PoliTickr · 04.09.2025 · 39 min

Ny pod ute nå med @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social! Spennende valg i Bolivia og Moldova. podcasts.apple.com/no/podcast/p...

Very likely. Trying desperately to make him stop believing it when it gets out of hand will probably be much harder.

It also highlights how nuclear heavy systems might struggle in a world of intermittent and unregulated renewable energy.

The global share of combustion engines has plunged from 90% in 2019 to not much more than 50% in 2025.

With #EV sales (incl. hybrids) to hit 20+ mln in 2025 we’ve reached levels forecast by the IEA’s most bullish scenario for 2030 in 2019-which was largely dismissed esp by the #oil industry.

One reason why #Europe's growth has lagged is that the #EU is the most trade-reliant of all major economies - which is tricky given #trade as share of global GDP is in decline, not least amid Trump's #tariff sprees.

Ping me if you'd like to receive my daily #energy, #resources & #industry briefing.

Americans with no access to healthcare and social safety net must look at this news with some bewilderment about the nations priorities.

EU #gas stocks will be 90% full by 1 Nov - assuming similar daily injections btw 1Jul-1Aug & btw 1Jun-1Jul and then half current avg daily injection btw 1 Sep-1 Nov. That would support EU move to allow loosening of pre-winter storage mandates and instead let normal market conditions ensure supply.

What a timeline this is!

‼️ First official exit polls from 🇵🇱 presidential election

Rafal Trzaskowski (Tusk's candidate, PO): 50.3%
Karol Nawrocki (Law and Justice, PiS): 49.7%

Europe’s far right is hammering at the door of power Moderate parties are running out of time to find ways to satisfy voters’ concerns

This is a timely piece by the @financialtimes.com editorial board. If centrist governments do not deliver, it will be very hard to stop the rise of the far right. And «Moderate parties need bolder policymaking, visible delivery and more compelling personalities to counter them.»

on.ft.com/44VsvHq

Rolig helg? Trenger noe å lytte til? Hør meg og @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social diskutere valgene i Romania, Albania, Portugal og Polen i denne podcasten!

The internet is a strange and fun place. I’m having a coffee and reading what at first glance appears to be two dogs discussing a tv show. @abbeythelab.bsky.social

I think the lessons of recent campaigns is that facing populist messaging on economics and immigration with moral accusations is the political equivalent of showing up with a knife to a gunfight.

Never know if it’s the final straw..

Romania, Polen, Albania and Portugal! PoliTickr · Episode

Vil høyrepopulistene vinne presidentvalg i Polen 1.juni? Hva var dramatikken valgkvelden i Romania? Hvordan gikk det 3 valget på 3 år i Portugal? Og hva var dynamikken i valget i Albania?

Finn ut ved høre på podkast!

open.spotify.com/episode/6xNZ...

Interested in energy policy, climate and resources? You absolutely should follow my good friend and colleague @hgloy.bsky.social. He runs @eurasiagroup.net global energy, climate and resources practice!

@amundvik.bsky.social and I hosted the 1st informal #SvalbardRetreat this week, discussing all things #energy, #climate & #security with gvt officials, business leaders, and friends. What an amazing place, and inspiring discussions. Look out for the 2nd retreat in 2026!

Svaret er vel ikke så komplisert. Om du tar velgerne for gitt, så går de andre steder.

How To Vote | Liberal Party of Canada Voting is fast and easy. Find out more about the ways to vote in this election.

Election Day is Monday.

This is the most consequential election in our lifetimes — and Mark Carney is ready to lead.

Make your plan to vote #CanadaStrong: how2vote.ca

Very exiting to be in Ottawa for the last stretch of a very important campaign!

@gmbutts.bsky.social maybe has some good suggestions?

I’m looking for book recommendations for Easter! Naturally, crime novels would be a hit, but open to any suggestions!

Oh Canada PoliTickr · Episode

Hva skjer med de kommende valg i Polen, Canada og Australia? Og hvordan går det med regjeringsbygging i Tyskland og Østerrike? Dette og mer i podkast med @amundvik.bsky.social.

open.spotify.com/episode/4eia...

Mike Myers has entered the Mark Carney chat.

bsky.app/profile/mark...

Laila Goody og Anders Baasmo spiller Erna Solberg og Sindre Finnes i ny film Rett før valget kommer en ny film inspirert av Sindre Finnes' aksjehandel på kino. Nå er det klart at Laila Goody og Anders Baasmo får hovedrollene.

Tenker stemningen er god på Høyres hus nå. www.nettavisen.no/erna-solberg...