Amund Vik

Amund Vik

@amundvik.bsky.social

Energy policy, campaigns, elections and geopolitics. https://open.substack.com/pub/amundvik Eurasiagroup | Data Sciences

2,491 Followers 544 Following 62 Posts Joined Nov 2024
2 days ago

Må si jeg er overrasket over at de som er primus motor for Stadt skipstunnel enda ikke har kjent sin besøkelsestid i gulfen. Skulle tro betalingsvilligheten for skipstunnel er vel så stor i Hormuz nå som på Vestlandet.

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1 month ago
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#China + #India #oil imports flatlined in 2025 (14.78 mbpd/'25 vs 14.75 mbpd/'24). China imports even dipped, from an average of 10.06 mbpd in '24 to 9.98 mbpd in '25. With output growing, a supply overhang has been building. That helps explain why crude hasn't jumped more even amid #Iran risks.

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1 month ago
YouTube
Has the US-led world order ended? | ask ian YouTube video by GZERO Media

davos wasn’t about trump’s speech.
it was about allies concluding they can’t rely on the united states anymore.

that’s not anti-american.
it’s strategic reality.
@gzeromedia.com

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2 months ago
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Would be fun to show this to someone in 2015, and ask them to describe a sequence of events that could bring about this world.

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2 months ago
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#Europe's #energy remains costly because of Russia's invasion of #Ukraine. Yet it's worth aknowledging how much has been achieved since the start of this war in early 2022. #Power & #gas prices have dropped substaantially. #Reneswables have expanded, #fossilfuel use has declined. That's progress.

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2 months ago
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Check out Eurasia Group's #TopRisks2026 out just now.

Risk #2: Overpowered is related to #energy and regards #electrification: #China has mastered it. The #US is ceding it. That will become impossible to ignore, globally.

You can download the full report here:
www.eurasiagroup.net/issues/Top-R...

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3 months ago
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Stortinget peker i alle retninger i energi- og industripolitikken - Altinget Budsjettforhandlingene viser stort sprik mellom budsjettpartnerne i energi- og klimapolitikken, men splittelsen i Stortinget gjelder på begge sider i politikken. Mens forhandlingene pågikk holdt Stort...

Ny spalte i @altinget.bsky.social i dag!

www.altinget.no/artikkel/sto...

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3 months ago
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Natural gas is no longer expensive in Europe. That should also soon feed into lower wholesale electricity prices.

See below a few details from my briefings.

Let me know if you'd like to receive it.

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3 months ago
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What a timeline!

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4 months ago
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#Ukraine has suffered what may be the biggest attacks on its #energy infrastructure that any country has ever endured. #Russia has struck every power station plus its gas production, bringing available capacity to virtually zero–which to my knowledge has never happened to a nation.

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4 months ago
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Ny spalte ute i @altinget.bsky.social !

www.altinget.no/artikkel/sto...

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4 months ago
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A Theory of Political capital A key question for private sector leaders is why the quality of political decision-making seems to be declining.

New piece out now! Looking at political capital and how it is influenced by spcial media and hyper active news cycles

open.substack.com/pub/amundvik...

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5 months ago
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#EU #coal prices have plunged to around $90/t, the lowest level since May'21 amid a shift to #cleanpower & #renewables. Coal's power share in the EU has plunged from 40% in 1985 to just over 10%. It'll take some time to feed through, but lower fuel import reliance will bring down power costs too.

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5 months ago

The combination of high inflation, low growth and relatively feeble centrist political response has been devastating for politics in many places. Cause for optimism with Carneys win in Canada and Jonas in Norway though.

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6 months ago
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#Oil intensity is falling in big economies (incl #China). It explains why oil demand growth is flatlining. Though there's a big outlier in #SouthKorea, which has taken on petrochemical/refining capacity as others have cut back, overal oil intensity has been declining for 20 years in big economies.

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6 months ago
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Bolivia! Moldova! Podkastepisode · PoliTickr · 04.09.2025 · 39 min

Ny pod ute nå med @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social! Spennende valg i Bolivia og Moldova. podcasts.apple.com/no/podcast/p...

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6 months ago

Very likely. Trying desperately to make him stop believing it when it gets out of hand will probably be much harder.

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6 months ago

It also highlights how nuclear heavy systems might struggle in a world of intermittent and unregulated renewable energy.

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6 months ago
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The global share of combustion engines has plunged from 90% in 2019 to not much more than 50% in 2025.

With #EV sales (incl. hybrids) to hit 20+ mln in 2025 we’ve reached levels forecast by the IEA’s most bullish scenario for 2030 in 2019-which was largely dismissed esp by the #oil industry.

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7 months ago
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One reason why #Europe's growth has lagged is that the #EU is the most trade-reliant of all major economies - which is tricky given #trade as share of global GDP is in decline, not least amid Trump's #tariff sprees.

Ping me if you'd like to receive my daily #energy, #resources & #industry briefing.

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7 months ago
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Americans with no access to healthcare and social safety net must look at this news with some bewilderment about the nations priorities.

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8 months ago
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EU #gas stocks will be 90% full by 1 Nov - assuming similar daily injections btw 1Jul-1Aug & btw 1Jun-1Jul and then half current avg daily injection btw 1 Sep-1 Nov. That would support EU move to allow loosening of pre-winter storage mandates and instead let normal market conditions ensure supply.

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8 months ago
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What a timeline this is!

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9 months ago

‼️ First official exit polls from 🇵🇱 presidential election

Rafal Trzaskowski (Tusk's candidate, PO): 50.3%
Karol Nawrocki (Law and Justice, PiS): 49.7%

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9 months ago
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Europe’s far right is hammering at the door of power Moderate parties are running out of time to find ways to satisfy voters’ concerns

This is a timely piece by the @financialtimes.com editorial board. If centrist governments do not deliver, it will be very hard to stop the rise of the far right. And «Moderate parties need bolder policymaking, visible delivery and more compelling personalities to counter them.»

on.ft.com/44VsvHq

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9 months ago

Rolig helg? Trenger noe å lytte til? Hør meg og @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social diskutere valgene i Romania, Albania, Portugal og Polen i denne podcasten!

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9 months ago
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The internet is a strange and fun place. I’m having a coffee and reading what at first glance appears to be two dogs discussing a tv show. @abbeythelab.bsky.social

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9 months ago

I think the lessons of recent campaigns is that facing populist messaging on economics and immigration with moral accusations is the political equivalent of showing up with a knife to a gunfight.

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9 months ago

Never know if it’s the final straw..

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9 months ago
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Romania, Polen, Albania and Portugal! PoliTickr · Episode

Vil høyrepopulistene vinne presidentvalg i Polen 1.juni? Hva var dramatikken valgkvelden i Romania? Hvordan gikk det 3 valget på 3 år i Portugal? Og hva var dynamikken i valget i Albania?

Finn ut ved høre på podkast!

open.spotify.com/episode/6xNZ...

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