Dr. Mike P. Moffatt's Avatar

Dr. Mike P. Moffatt

@mikepmoffatt.bsky.social

Co-Host, "Missing Middle". Husband. Father. Brother. Son. Economist. Housing guy. I used to do other stuff.

11,209 Followers  |  68 Following  |  1,381 Posts  |  Joined: 23.07.2023  |  1.8884

Latest posts by mikepmoffatt.bsky.social on Bluesky

Post image

New report! In "Families on the Move," we examine the rapid population growth in Eastern Ontario and how a persistent shortage of three-bedroom (and larger) homes in the GTA will accelerate this trend.

Read here: www.missingmiddleini...

07.10.2025 10:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

Coming tomorrow at 6am - our new report, which examines housing needs in Eastern Ontario and how a high quality of life and attainable three-bedroom+ housing are prompting families to relocate to the region, requiring that communities plan accordingly.

06.10.2025 19:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Video thumbnail

On the most recent episode of "The Hurly Burly", Federal Housing Minister Gregor Robertson was asked about eliminating the HST on new home sales. Here was his answer.

Watch the full episode here: www.youtube.com/watc...

06.10.2025 15:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Mike Moffatt: Falling sales, falling jobs: Why Canada must cut taxes on new homes Prices are falling, so why is there no new affordable supply of homes?

Latest piece by me, at the Hub.

Pre-construction home sales, both condos and single-family, are in decline, and housing starts will follow.

This will cost the fed government more in lost annual revenue than the cost of Build Canada Homes.

Read here:

06.10.2025 13:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It does, yes. It's not exclusive intraprovincial migration.

05.10.2025 15:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

Spoiler for a report we're releasing on Tuesday. The GTAs housing shortage went province-wide around 2015, well before the pandemic, due to a big jump in non-permanent residents, permanent immigration, and large numbers of families moving in from the GTA (captured in "other").

05.10.2025 14:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Post image

Big thanks to all of our subscribers, and big thanks to the MMI team! Meredith proved me wrong, and we hit 5,000 YouTube subscribers today. Really appreciate the love and support.

03.10.2025 20:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thanks! Appreciated

03.10.2025 20:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Missing Middle Podcast - YouTube Share your videos with friends, family, and the world

The Missing Middle podcast is only a couple of dozen YouTube subscribers away from reaching 5,000. Meredith thinks we'll get there by the end of the day. I have my doubts.

If you haven't subscribed yet, we'd love it if you could do so!

Subscribe here:

03.10.2025 15:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Presented to the House Finance Committee yesterday. Received a thoughtful question from MP Ryan Turnbull on why GST rebates should be extended to all owner-occupiers, not just first-time buyers. Here is my response.

02.10.2025 16:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
FINA - Home - House of Commons of Canada The mandate of the Standing Committee on Finance is to study and report on all matters relating to the mandate, management and operation of selected federal departments and agencies, including the Department of Finance and the Canada Revenue Agency, and to conduct pre-budget consultations.

The House Standing Committee on Finance is meeting right now, talking Bill C-4 (including the First-Time Home Buyersโ€™ GST Rebate).

It runs from 4:30-6:30 EST today. I'll be presenting at 5:30.

Watch here:

01.10.2025 20:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If you have evidence that either of those claims are true, I would like to see them.

01.10.2025 16:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ground-oriented housing is not the same as single-family housing.

Most missing middle housing is ground-oriented.

01.10.2025 15:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That is a whole lot different than your earlier claim.

But, yes, I don't think governments should introduce changes to the GST that differentiate based on built form.

01.10.2025 15:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Can you show me where in the piece I was asking for reductions for single-family home taxes?

01.10.2025 15:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

None of these are single-family home specific taxes.

01.10.2025 15:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

What's the connection between lower taxes on new homes and single-family housing?

Do you only consider single-family housing to be a home?

01.10.2025 13:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

New episode: We dig into the rise of shrinkflation, from grocery store products like cereal and Kraft Dinner to Canadaโ€™s shrinking condos, and reveal how companies and government policies are quietly giving Canadians less for more.

Watch here: www.youtube.com/watc...

01.10.2025 13:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Housing Canโ€™t Be a Right If We Tax It Like a Luxury My remarks to the Standing Committee on Finance

Bonus MMI piece. I'm testifying tomorrow to the Finance Committee regarding Bill C-4 and GST rebates. I'll be discussing the rapid increase in new housing taxes and how this taxation level is incompatible with housing as a human right.

Read here:

30.09.2025 20:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 21    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

New piece! We re-ran the numbers, and the GTAs new housing collapse will cost governments over $6B a year in tax revenue, including $880M in lost HST revenue for the feds, and $918M for the province.

Both action and inaction have a cost.

Read here: www.missingmiddleini...

30.09.2025 11:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Post image

New MMI piece: The Coming Wave of 20,000 Job Losses in Vancouverโ€™s Housing Sector

Pre-construction apartment and ground-oriented home sales are each down 80% since 2021, costing the GVA 20,000 jobs in the first 6 months of the year alone.

Read here: www.missingmiddleini...

29.09.2025 13:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Ontarioโ€™s housing crisis is, somehow, about to get even worse. This is how we can fix it Toronto's condo crash is just the start of a much bigger problem.

New piece in the Toronto Star. New home sales indicate that Ontario's housing crisis extends beyond high-rise condos and isn't exclusive to Toronto. If construction slows down, we can expect to see a spike in prices and rents at the end of the decade.

28.09.2025 16:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 17    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Post image

New MMI piece! The response to our report and podcast episode on the GTAs housing collapse has been overwhelming (in a good way). Today I provide some additional thoughts based on your comments and questions.

Read here:
www.missingmiddleini...

27.09.2025 13:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

Heading back to Canada after a successful UK trip. The PM gave a great closing address at the Canada 2020 reception.

Was great to meet so many colleagues around the world, and trade notes on housing policy.

27.09.2025 06:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Post image

Now on stage:

Keir Starmer, Prime Minister, U.K.
Mark Carney, Prime Minister, Canada
Anthony Albanese, Prime Minister, Australia
Kristrun Frostadottir, Prime Minister, Iceland
Moderated by Neera Tanden, CEO, CAP Action

26.09.2025 10:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

At Global Progress. Second row, listening to Keir Starmer.

26.09.2025 10:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I'm on stage in 90 minutes at the Global Progress Action Summit, in London UK, to talk housing.

Looks like they have another Canadian presenting tomorrow.

www.cbc.ca/news/poli...

25.09.2025 12:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In England for a few days. Try to behave while I'm gone.

Also, this London is weird. Since when is Ealing west of Hyde Park?

25.09.2025 06:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

New MMI episode! We look at the collapse of new housing and pre-construction sales. Importantly:

- It's not just happening in Toronto - it's all across S. Ontario.

- It's not just the condo market - it's all ownership housing.

Watch here: www.youtube.com/watc...

24.09.2025 13:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The government does, and should regulate the stock market, yes.

24.09.2025 11:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@mikepmoffatt is following 20 prominent accounts