Christopher A. Martínez's Avatar

Christopher A. Martínez

@martineznourdin.bsky.social

Not that kind of doctor. PhD in #PolSci. #PresidentialPolitics #LatinAmerica #GovernmentCrises #ComparativePolitics. Author: https://www.sup.org/books/politics/why-presidents-fail

343 Followers  |  314 Following  |  21 Posts  |  Joined: 08.02.2024  |  1.9942

Latest posts by martineznourdin.bsky.social on Bluesky

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El cripto-escándalo y la supervivencia política de Javier Milei - Latinoamérica 21 Análisis L21 | La primera gran crisis del gobierno. El cripto-escándalo y la supervivencia política de Javier Milei.

A propósito del cripto-escándalo de #Milei, escribimos este análisis con @carlosnavarrete.bsky.social 👇

latinoamerica21.com/es/el-cripto...

25.02.2025 10:38 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

All my life I have studied democratization and autocratization. My 1st field trip was to newly democratic Argentina. I then added autocracies to my portfolio: Cuba, Ven, etc. I think I can recognize the stages of transition to authoritarianism. Here are the boxes Trump has already checked off.

16.02.2025 12:10 — 👍 1473    🔁 811    💬 56    📌 136
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And perhaps without even knowing it, he is paving the way for his own ouster

16.02.2025 21:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I know people like comparing Trump to Putin, but this chaotic rule by decree while state capacity declines and the opposition increasingly views him as unfit to govern is much more reminiscent of Yeltsin's first term.

30.01.2025 22:33 — 👍 242    🔁 42    💬 16    📌 8
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Ecuador's High-Stakes Elections Anti-establishment sentiment will likely shape the February 9 vote.

A must read for those interested in Ecuador's presidential election:
americasquarterly.org/article/ecua...

30.01.2025 13:16 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Right-wing populism meets left-wing populism.

26.01.2025 20:11 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

The US just slapped a 25% tariff on Colombia for refusing to receive deportees on military planes. This is just the start.

26.01.2025 20:22 — 👍 9    🔁 4    💬 2    📌 1
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Reforma previsional: Etcheverry sostiene que si el proyecto no se aprueba en enero “sería un fracaso para el sistema político” - La Tercera La vocera subrogante de gobierno destacó además que hay un sector de la oposición que está disponible para llegar a un acuerdo. Sin embargo, criticó que esa voluntad no está presente en los parlamenta...

Hay un abuso e ignorancia en el uso del concepto “sistema político” // Reforma previsional: Etcheverry sostiene que si el proyecto no se aprueba en enero “sería un fracaso para el sistema político” www.latercera.com/politica/not...

13.01.2025 10:56 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

My favorite part of Zuckerberg's Joe Rogan interview is when he suggests there is not enough masculine energy at his company, where two out of every three employees is a man.

12.01.2025 17:34 — 👍 50824    🔁 6677    💬 3188    📌 731

Era lo que correspondía hacer. Intromisión en asuntos internos de otro Estado. Principio básico de las RRII y del Derecho Internacional desde hace siglos

19.12.2024 01:18 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Columna de Christopher Martínez: Reforma al sistema político: algo más de ambición - La Tercera

aunque fue publicada a casi 2 semanas de haber sido escrita, les comparto mi columna en LT sobre la propuesta de reforma al sistema político (en post de abajo columna completa). www.latercera.com/opinion/noti...

13.12.2024 15:10 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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What Can Latin America’s Failed Presidencies Teach Current Leaders? How strong a country’s parties are has wide implications for presidents’ survival, writes an expert.

Why do so many Latin American presidents fail? Here’s my latest piece exploring the dynamics of presidential survival, based on insights from my new book: “Why Presidents Fail.” Check it out! @stanfordpress.bsky.social

www.americasquarterly.org/article/what...

03.12.2024 15:34 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 1
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Vlado Mirosevic (PL) presentará proyecto para reducir ministerios: Segpres y Segegob pasarían a formar parte de Interior - La Tercera El parlamentario señaló que "no se justifica" la presencia de las carteras tras la aprobación del Ministerio de Seguridad.

Vlado Mirosevic (PL) presentará proyecto para reducir ministerios: Segpres y Segegob pasarían a formar parte de Interior

08.12.2024 19:00 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 2    📌 0

Given the presidential crisis in South Korea, the second in the last 15 years, here’s a list of presidential crises in Latin America that led to the premature end of over 20 leaders’ terms in recent decades.

04.12.2024 16:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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What Can Latin America’s Failed Presidencies Teach Current Leaders? How strong a country’s parties are has wide implications for presidents’ survival, writes an expert.

Why do so many Latin American presidents fail? Here’s my latest piece exploring the dynamics of presidential survival, based on insights from my new book: “Why Presidents Fail.” Check it out! @stanfordpress.bsky.social

www.americasquarterly.org/article/what...

03.12.2024 15:34 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 1

👇 The first review of my book is just out in Party Politics! Thanks, @philippkoeker.bsky.social, for such a thorough assessment.

03.12.2024 15:33 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Beyond explaining presidential survival and instability, this combination of party-related attributes could also apply to different levels of governance. @stanfordpress.bsky.social From my latest book "Why Presidents Fail"
www.sup.org/books/politi...

02.12.2024 22:27 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Una breve nota que me hizo El Mercurio en su cuerpo de Reportajes. Una conclusión pesimista del libro es que las crisis de gobierno debieran aumentar en frecuencia e intensidad #whypresidentsfail
@stanfordpress.bsky.social

29.11.2024 20:26 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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🇨🇱 Chile’s president, Gabriel Boric, accused of sexual harassment. Here is Boric’s layer’s statement (in Spanish)

26.11.2024 10:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Así es, ninguna buena investigación empieza por los datos, empieza por una buena pregunta.

25.11.2024 21:19 — 👍 10    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Muy bien Costa Rica

23.11.2024 04:07 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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🚨Incoming book on Guatemalan 🇬🇹 institutions. Democracy, presidentialism and parties among the main topics.

rowman.com/ISBN/9781666...

21.11.2024 20:56 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

🙌

20.11.2024 22:39 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

My advice to starting PhD students: Tackle big questions, because testing hypotheses is like checking your luggage—it’s necessary, but it’s not why you booked the trip #phdlife #gradschool #PhDadvice #gradstudent

20.11.2024 13:32 — 👍 19    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 1
https://www.cnnchile.com/pais/manuel-monsalve-se-desmaya-durante-lectura-de-medidas-cautelares-en-su-contra_20241119/

CNN Chile: Manuel Monsalve se desmaya durante lectura de medidas cautelares en su contra t.co/yoHdAmYymE

20.11.2024 02:12 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

I agree. Though, there are always incentives for opposition legislators to file impeachment requests against a sitting president. My guess is that Democrats are still groggi because of such an electoral loss

20.11.2024 00:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
CNN chart large differences in public support for mass deportation, depending on how the question is asked in surveys.

CNN chart large differences in public support for mass deportation, depending on how the question is asked in surveys.

You probably already know that question wording matters a lot in polling. But this chart from @aedwardslevy.bsky.social at @cnn.com underscores the point: Public support for mass deportation varies from 62% to 33%, depending on how the question is asked. www.cnn.com/2024/11/17/p...

18.11.2024 15:24 — 👍 452    🔁 189    💬 24    📌 21
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Chile: lessons of an election - Latinoamérica 21 Analysis L21 | Voters prefer to elect figures without ties to traditional parties. Chile: lessons of an election.

About recent subnational elections in Chile: “voters' growing preference for figures with no ties to traditional parties”. Written by Paulina Valenzuela

latinoamerica21.com/en/chile-les...

18.11.2024 17:57 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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José ‘Pepe’ Mujica: “Le pido a la vida que me permita seguir ladrando un poco” A los 89 años, el expresidente de Uruguay ha vencido al cáncer. En esta entrevista con EL PAÍS, realizada en su casa rural de Montevideo, donde aún se recupera de las secuelas del tratamiento, habla d...

I like how Uruguay's former president expresses his kinda furstration with the changes he couldn't materialize: "I dedicated myself to changing the world and I didn't change a damn thing, but I was entertained"
elpais.com/america/2024...

18.11.2024 16:15 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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