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Tim

@timharbert.bsky.social

INTJ / Music Enthusiast / Fuji Camera Curious Sarcasm Aficionado / Deja Vecu Afflicted Economics Crank / Freelance Bookkeeper

1,138 Followers  |  1,534 Following  |  3,558 Posts  |  Joined: 20.11.2024  |  1.9849

Latest posts by timharbert.bsky.social on Bluesky

how long have republicans had to put together a plan? naw, keep the government closed so blue states can have their own constitutional convention.

08.10.2025 04:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

this and are there not penalties for not having health insurance? and those are levied when filing one's tax forms?

08.10.2025 03:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
5 Reasons Why Soybean Farms Are Collapsing, And Why No One Is Surprised.
YouTube video by Large Man Abroad 5 Reasons Why Soybean Farms Are Collapsing, And Why No One Is Surprised.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=6w_w...

08.10.2025 03:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Merry Christmas, dumbshits!

08.10.2025 03:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

just waiting for the head vein to work its magic...

08.10.2025 03:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

the Illinois Nazis are sooo disappointed.

08.10.2025 03:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Illinois National Guard should seize Texas oil wells and declare the land part of Illinois.

08.10.2025 03:18 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Carson's bucket of rib tips?

ya know, maybe that's the way to go. stop them in their tracks with way, way too much food and beer.

08.10.2025 03:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

the southern accent will give them away when they attempt to say 'da bears'.

08.10.2025 03:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

blue state constitutional convention?

08.10.2025 02:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

administratively dissolve the corporate filings of red state companies operating in blue states?
place tariffs on red state sourced goods and services coming into blue states?
cutoff blue state port access to red states?

08.10.2025 02:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

so, can blue states seize the assets of red state based companies operating within their borders?

08.10.2025 02:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

zombie racists

08.10.2025 02:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

it's only cool when Carrie Brownstein does this.

08.10.2025 02:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

heck, even if one republicn promised same....

08.10.2025 02:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

i'd settle for just simple spot price comparisons.

08.10.2025 01:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

and thus the true losses/costs are always hidden. and free markets cannot be efficient with hidden losses and costs. the US needs to wake up to its socialist tendencies.

so tired of 'socialism for me, but not for thee'

ag loans should be non-dischargeable in bankruptcy. like student loans.

08.10.2025 01:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

shit, i'm here and thinking about how i can totally avoid US ag. fortunately, have a few grocers from overseas starting up around where i live.

07.10.2025 23:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

thatll be great. ill follow you and turn on my dm capability here.

07.10.2025 22:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

don't you mean the total notional amount of contracts written is far greater than the actual total dollar value of the underlying? its fucking 2025 not 1825. if amazon can have terminals all over the country, its time big ag does the same for delivery. again, how do forwards work then?

07.10.2025 22:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Soybean Prices | Historical Chart | Data | 1968-2025 Soybean Prices - Historical chart and current data through 2025.

soybean chart below. even with excess supply due to lost markets, the price of beans fell to Sept 2020 levels from all time highs. THE PRICE DID NOT FALL TO ZERO. i'm just saying, use the free market and stop the bailouts. bank or farmer - no difference.

www.macrotrends.net/datasets/253...

07.10.2025 22:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

the crops go somewhere. what is the typical spread between the average farmers delivery, where ever that may be, and the terminal contract value? for futures. and then for forwards.

07.10.2025 22:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

more on the topic, including the use of forward contracts.

www.mdpi.com/2813-2432/4/...

07.10.2025 22:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

yeah, so the farmer receives a cash settlement of the contract or option, right? thats the point of either buying/selling them, depending on ones view of the price of the underlying.

07.10.2025 22:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Options Tools to Reduce Price Risk | Ag Decision Maker

See Iowa State for an explanation. They've a section on the futures too. and are you telling me, the big Ag companies like ADM don't take delivery, like ever?

www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/crops/h...

07.10.2025 22:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
The Next "Big Short" Moment (Steve Eisman Interview)
YouTube video by New Money The Next "Big Short" Moment (Steve Eisman Interview)

oh, boy. here comes the next bank bailout? and interesting backstories related to the 'Big Short' movie.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=XO6A...

07.10.2025 21:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Options Tools to Reduce Price Risk | Ag Decision Maker

Iowa State University offers further info on the topic. If we are a capitalist country, we should probably use capitalist tools. otherwise, lets just agree we've been faking capitalism forever. and finally acknowledge we are significantly socialist.

www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/crops/h...

07.10.2025 21:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

options, both put and call options, can be purchased and sold (written). the farmer would buy or sell an option, depending on where they thought prices for the underlying would go. both types of options maintain a market value and change as the market value of the underlying crop changes.

07.10.2025 21:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

no it is not. as a farmer, you use the contract to lock in price for delivery. i think the actual problem is farmers can't produce below the futures. and probably not even at spot.

07.10.2025 21:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

farmers can figure out how much their crops will be worth. its still a gamble, but they have a rough idea what the future market will offer and buy/sell contracts as they see fit and figure out what to plant. if the future price for delivery is around $4, but your cost is $6, grow none or less.

07.10.2025 21:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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