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Austin Mock

@amock419.bsky.social

NFL | CFB | Rev Share/NIL Projections | Sports Optimization | The Game Isn't Played on a Spreadsheet | @TheAthletic

9,834 Followers  |  192 Following  |  1,813 Posts  |  Joined: 01.09.2023
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Posts by Austin Mock (@amock419.bsky.social)

Preview
Men’s college basketball projections, best bets for first week of conference tournaments Austin Mock's model forecasts the chances for every team in the 16 men's college basketball conference tournaments starting this week.

March Madness unofficially starts this week with conference tournament.

Who is most likely to punch their ticket to the dance? Well, I got you covered.

www.nytimes.com/athletic/708...

04.03.2026 21:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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College Basketball Top-25 at the start of the day:

04.03.2026 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Took a break from some NFL Draft stuff to get some college basketball conference tournament stuff working...

What's the best play on the board for the Mid-Majors?

04.03.2026 19:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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I'm really interested to see what happens with Utah OT Spencer Fano over the next few weeks.

Great week in Indy other than the arm measurement. How much will teams trust the tape?

03.03.2026 17:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Dani Dennis-Sutton gets the top composite score per my model.

02.03.2026 21:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 02.03.2026 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Monroe Freeling had such a great week at the NFL Combine that he's very much in play as a Top-10 pick. And you can see why:

02.03.2026 20:56 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Cincinnati WR Jeff Caldwell had himself a week at the NFL Combine:

02.03.2026 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I've been working on some draft analysis by adjusting for height, weight, and position. Open to suggestions.

Here is Sonny Styles. Super explosive player but the agility numbers were more normal. I think that explains why edge rusher isn't being talked about more.

01.03.2026 15:13 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Jeremiyah Love running the 40 when he’s the surefire RB1 is refreshing.

And he didn’t disappoint. 4.36 is flying!

28.02.2026 18:37 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Eli Stowers jumping 45.5 inches in the vertical for a new TE record.

Let’s keep breaking records, gentlemen.

28.02.2026 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I wasn't online much traveling home from the combine but seems like we had quite a day of athletic testing.

And this LB class seems stacked.

27.02.2026 15:16 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Raiders GM John Spytek says they take public draft boards and put them into a system to figure out ranges for prospects.

24.02.2026 15:28 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Ahead of the NFL Combine this week…check out the Consensus Big Board:

23.02.2026 18:18 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

USAAAAAAAA

22.02.2026 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Absolutely awful news. Rondale Moore has given football fans one of the best memories by torching Ohio State.

What an awesome player. RIP

22.02.2026 01:56 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It’s fitting that Mackinnon scores the game-winner after he sold the penalty because the ref wasn’t calling the high stick.

20.02.2026 18:06 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

USAAAAAAAA

19.02.2026 20:56 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Sudden death OT in hockey is painful enough already but now we have 3 on 3 to add a few more seconds of holding your breath.

Remember to breathe, folks.

19.02.2026 20:44 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Hockey

Hockey

3 on 3 OT for gold. I don’t know if there are OT challenges anymore but going with…

19.02.2026 20:38 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

USA USA USA

19.02.2026 20:28 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Oh, Canada.

18.02.2026 17:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
2026 NFL Draft consensus rankings: Which defender will come off the board first? With the NFL Scouting Combine set to begin, we take a look at how the consensus board has shifted since last month.

Consensus Big Board Update for the NFL Draft

- A new #1
- Who will be the first defensive player drafted?
- Ohio State has four of the Top-8
- The SEC doesn’t have a player in the Top-11

Read here:

www.nytimes.com/athletic/705...

18.02.2026 17:07 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

I’ll be in Indianapolis for the Combine next week. If you’re around and want to meet up, DMs are open!

17.02.2026 15:48 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

As for the other big name move by the Dolphins today, Bradley Chubb's play really fell off this year. My projections had him playing towards a $15 million per year at the end of the season.

He was slated to have a ~$31 million cap hit the next two seasons.

16.02.2026 18:21 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

You could be right. I just think we will get closer to $20m APY. Incentives could still happen at the number.

16.02.2026 16:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This seems about right.

16.02.2026 16:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I'm not entirely sure but that APY seems low, I think.

16.02.2026 16:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I don't have the GPS data on him but there has been a dip in his performance the last two years. Evaluating why that happened and how quickly you think he can bounce back from injury is a lot of projection.

16.02.2026 16:45 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I'm interested to see what kind of market there is for Tyreek Hill.

It felt hard to evaluate him with the type of quarterback play he was getting. Add in that he's 32 and coming off a major injury and valuing him is tough.

How much do you think he's worth?

16.02.2026 16:40 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1