Christopher Wratil đŸ‡ș🇩 #StandWithUkraine

Christopher Wratil đŸ‡ș🇩 #StandWithUkraine

@chriswratil.bsky.social

Associate Professor for Government @univie.ac.at, works on political representation & behavior, public opinion, populism & the EU - usual disclaimers

5,322 Followers 871 Following 797 Posts Joined Sep 2023
1 day ago
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More Russian methods in Hungary’s election. Unknown backers paid a gambling-addict, fraud-convicted ex-cop’s debts, then asked him to change his name to PĂ©ter Tisza and run for parliament as a spoiler candidate. Hungary’s opposition Tisza party is led by PĂ©ter Magyar. nepszava.hu/3315088_kamu...

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1 day ago

Krass: In DĂ€nemark lag im Februar der Anteil von privaten E-Autos bei Neuzulassungen bei 94,4%! Der Grund: Dort gibt eine „Luxussteuer“ fĂŒr Verbrenner. FĂŒr E-Autos fĂ€llt diese Luxussteuer (noch) weg, daher der Run. Es wĂ€re so einfach. Warum muss das bei uns immer so ein blöder Kulturkampf sein?

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1 day ago
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Interne Chats belegen Kooperation von Webers EVP mit Rechten

Breaking! Geheime Chats in Hand der dpa beweisen: Die EVP-Fraktion im Europaparlament hat direkt mit der AfD EU-Gesetze zur Migration verhandelt & beschlossen. Fraktionschef Weber tĂ€uschte die Öffentlichkeit. Alle BĂŒrger Europas haben nun ein Recht auf AufklĂ€rung!
www.sueddeutsche.de/politik/bran...

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2 days ago

Let's be clear: you would not be pulling THAADs from South Korea and moving a Marine Expeditionary Unit from Japan to the Gulf two weeks after launching a war on Iran if you had properly anticipated the fallout it would be likely to cause.

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2 days ago

Perhaps it’s time now for the EU to finally get serious on sanctioning Russia? From visas to assets and banks
?

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3 days ago

Delighted to see our collaboration out in doi print 🎉 In this paper, we qualitatively and quantitatively analyse the concept of 'electoral personalism' through the case of Milei in Argentina and identify 3 key elements: self-promotion, ideological rhetoric and moral appeals.
See link for more 👇

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3 days ago

Is there any crazy thing Trump did where he has significantly less than 39% support by American public? Genuine question.

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3 days ago

As long as Trump can do whatever he likes and get 39% support by the public, America‘s future will be lost — I am sure.

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4 days ago

Russian oil now selling at a premium! Great job everyone!

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4 days ago

5/ And on the Strait of Hormuz, they had NO PLAN. I can't go into more detail about how Iran gums up the Strait, but suffice it say, right now, they don't know how to get it safely back open.

Which is unforgiveable, because this part of the disaster was 100% foreseeable.

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4 days ago
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NEW: Ukrainian forces advanced 10 to 12 kilometers deep in two separate drives in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast that have reportedly liberated more than 400 square kilometers since late January 2026. đŸ§”(1/7)

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 10, 2026 isw.pub/UkrWar031026

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5 days ago
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Good News: Österreichs VolksschĂŒler sind in den vergangenen 15 Jahren in Mathe im Schnitt deutlich besser geworden - und in Deutsch ungefĂ€hr gleich geblieben.

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5 days ago
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Negativity and Misinformation There are large and growing bodies of research highlighting inaccuracies in news coverage. In this paper, we suggest that negativity biases account for a substantial portion of longstanding inaccur...

I am excited about this new paper, Negativity & Misinformation, just out with @cbwlezien.bsky.social in @polcommjournal.bsky.social: "durable biases in information processing, by media organizations and humans more generally, can produce misinformation and misperceptions..." doi.org/10.1080/1058...

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5 days ago

Ein Politiker sexualisiert SchulmĂ€dchen und die Republik greift die Frau an, die das öffentlich gemacht hat. Und ihr tut so, als wĂŒrde euch Epstein schockieren. Das ist genau das Klima, das sowas ĂŒberhaupt ĂŒber Jahre hinweg ermöglicht hat.

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1 week ago
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The sky is not falling; high-quality platforms (Prolific, Verasight, CR Connect) have low rates of apparent bots. osf.io/preprints/ps... But also not zero; vigilance is very much needed!

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1 week ago
GrĂŒne 30,2
CDU 29,7
AfD 18,8
SPD 5,5
FDP 4,4
Linke 4,4
Übrige 7,0

Isch over.
110 Lokale machen da kein Fass mehr auf.

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1 week ago

Yes, 44% of Americans supporting military action against Iran are no majority.

But make no mistake: such approval figures in the mid-40 percents are sufficient for a regime that is dismantling democratic institutions, unleveling the playing field, and aspiring to establish autocratic rule.

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1 week ago

đŸ€Ź

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1 week ago

It is objectively insane that 40% of Americans still think that Trump is a great president

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1 week ago

"Zwischen der Erde und der Sonne ist die AtmosphÀre.

Und wenn die immer dĂŒnner wird, dann wird die Sonne immer heißer.

Und der Grund dafĂŒr sind Abgase, CO₂ und und und"

- Manuel Hagel, CDU Spitzenkandidat fĂŒr die Landtagswahl in Baden-WĂŒrttemberg zu SchĂŒlern, ARD Mittagsmagazin vom 2. MĂ€rz 2026

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1 week ago
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Late deciders, higher turnout: what the Gorton and Denton byelection taught us about voters High numbers of undecideds may partially explain the late swing to the Greens.

New piece from w/ @hannahbunting.bsky.social & @jess-smith.bsky.social on the Gorton & Denton byelection, and what it might tell us about British politics.

We cover turnout, late-deciding voters, gender gaps & the continuing fragmentation of the party system đŸ§”

theconversation.com/late-decider...

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1 week ago
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The train has left the station: Agentic AI and the future of social science research | Brookings A new era of agentic AI agents has begun. What does it mean for social scientists? Solomon Messing and Joshua Tucker discuss.

Are you a social scientist who has been hearing about Claude Code but hasn't checked it out yet? Or are you a social scientist who has been playing with Claude Code and has been wondering what it means for the future of social science research?

www.brookings.edu/articles/the...

1/

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1 week ago
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Academics Need to Wake Up on AI Ten theses for folks who haven't noticed the ground shifting under their feet

Sorry, Bluesky, but I have to say it: AI can already do social science research better than most professors with PhDs. And, for the first time in my life, I really have no idea what happens in five years.

Things are changing already, we just need to wake up.

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2 weeks ago
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The hot in the west was hotter than the cold in the east was cold.
#climatechange

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2 weeks ago

This is also supported by individual level data, which shows Labour losing more voters to the Greens than to Reform. The rise of Reform in traditional Labour areas does not mean that Labour voters in those places are all shifting to Reform. That’s an ecological fallacy (cf. @tabouchadi.bsky.social)

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2 weeks ago

Völkerrecht also nicht mehr Maßstab fĂŒr die Bundesregierung. Gilt das auch fĂŒr die Eroberung Grönlands und RĂŒgens? Oder gilt es dann wieder?

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2 weeks ago

SĂĄnchez und Merz sind in Sachen Iran zu sehr unterschiedlichen Positionen gekommen. SĂĄnchez sagt, der Angriff sei völkerrechtswidrig, deshalb abzulehnen. Merz behauptet, völkerrechtskonform könne man leider nichts machen (was Schwachsinn ist, siehe JCPoA) - und begrĂŒĂŸt den Krieg.

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2 weeks ago
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Thread: Kein außergewöhnlich kalter Winter auch im Norden und Osten!

Im Deutschlandmittel schließt der Winter bei +1,8°C, damit +1,6K zu 1961-1990 und +0,2K zu 1991-2020.

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2 weeks ago

This is from Keir Starmer’s letter to Labour MPs today. This sort of stuff is shockingly partisan and nasty. It will only backfire with voters who switched to Green or are thinking of switching.

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2 weeks ago

Again, I’d be far more inclined to believe all of the “the world order is now completely changed & we need new IR paradigms” takes if any of the world’s other regional or “great” powers aside from đŸ‡·đŸ‡ș showed even the least interest or enthusiasm in participating with Donald Trump in such a new order 🧐

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