Rob Larter

Greater Cambridge may double over 20 years — 50,000 homes, 73,000 jobs. What does that mean for nature, heritage & community? We’ve laid out the opportunities & risks. Have your say now:
https://cambridgeppf.org/the-future-of-greater-cambridge/

#GreaterCambridge #UrbanPlanning #CommunityVoice

That was still under the previous administration. One of their senators, even though a Republican, was honest and aware enough to denounce the attempted insurrection. She was voted out at the next election.

I spent a couple of weeks in Wyoming three years ago. There's amazing scenery and wildlife, but many of the residents are loopy. They don't even really trust people from other states.

Sadly, yes, they live among us.

I think the immediate problem is that the majority of people don't yet understand the seriousness and urgency of the problem. The first challenge is to communicate that convincingly, then we will find out what people are willing to do.

We certainly are. Unfortunately, it seems to me that most people don't yet understand the urgency of taking action to stop the consequences becoming even worse.

At the present rate of warming I think 2°C will be reached nearer to 2050 if you use the 20-year averaged, current year centred definition that the Paris according is based on. Regardless of definitions though, if we don't get off the escalator before then it will be disastrous.

Absolutely. Unfortunately, despite best efforts it may still happen more quickly than current models predict. We are still on the part of the research curve where many new research results increase the uncertainty about future rates of sea-level rise rather than reduce it.

Other scientists tell us about the accelerating biodiversity crisis. Species that go extinct won't come back, and the consequences for agriculture and human health are a serious cause for concern.

Recent studies in the field I work in suggest it is probably already too late save most of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, which means we will have to find ways to adapt to committed sea-level rise of more than 3 metres over the next few centuries.

🧵🧪 There is a lot of truth in this optimistic assessment. The energy transition is indeed accelerating at a rate beyond expectations, but it could still be too little too late. We are racing past the Paris 1.5°C threshold into territory where we know dangerous tipping points lie.

He's describing a start-up idea. It may well end up going nowhere, but sometimes disruptive ideas lead to progress. He is working with an academic who knows the relevant theory, and claims that they did spend time searching the literature. I don't see much to get annoyed about.

I have a new update to climate model-observation comparisons over at The Climate Brink, covering CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6. Models perform well globally. The latest generation shows too much long-term warming but better reproduces recent trends: www.theclimatebrink....

Monbiot isn't the scientist in this collaboration so I think we have to cut him a bit of slack in terms of his understanding and description of the geophysics. I agree the claim about measuring soil carbon is going too far.
Labor costs depend on the scale of the spread/array required.

I've spent much of my career doing marine seismic work. In what ways is the article a gross misrepresentation? I don't see that.

And now we know that the volume of #Arctic sea ice also dropped to a record low in October (zacklabe.com/archive-2025/).

It's been a historic fall in the #Arctic, which is already a season of rapid climate change. Not good.

Very high resolution surveys should certainly be able to show the thickness and density structure of soils. Effectively this will be like conducting an ultrasound scan of the ground. The challenge, as the article alludes to, will be doing it at an affordable cost.

The collaboration has nearly run it's course, but we have been assured that the website will remain in place for several years.

YouTube video by Just Have a Think This is not the video I had planned to make.

If you haven't yet watched #DaveBorlace's great #JustHaveaThink show on the UK #NationalEmergencyBriefing #nebriefing, you'll find that it's one of his very best. Have yourself some intriguing few minutes with it, and *please* act on what he says - sign the letter. www.youtube.com/watch?v=8sa7...

Sea-ice extent in this sector has declined progressively through the 46 years of the satellite record. Looking back further, the first ship to visit the sector, the Belgica, was trapped in sea ice in this sector for a whole year in 1898-99.

Maps from the Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen
seaice.uni-bremen.de/sea-ice-conc...

🧵🧪 Sea-ice extent in the Bellingshausen Sea (lower left on these maps) is not presently as minimal as it was at the start of December three years ago, but with 2½ months to go until the sea ice minimun, we're probably heading towards another blue ocean event in this sector.

Hello, foreign oligarchs and corporations! Please come and sue the UK for billions | George Monbiot The case of a planned Cumbrian coalmine shows how governments around the world are being threatened by litigation in shadowy offshore courts, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot

I wish more people were aware of this. Considering the scale of the threat, the media's near-silence is both remarkable and culpable.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

There is some flow acceleration on the part of the glacier that feeds into the ice shelf, but thinning and weakening of the ice shelf over the past few decades had already greatly reduced its buttressing effect on the glacier.

Weakening of the pinning point buttressing Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica Abstract. The Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf buttresses a significant portion of Thwaites Glacier through contact with a pinning point 40 km offshore of the present grounding line. Predicting future rates...

The animation shows that we are watching the final stages in the demise of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf, as has been predicted in several studies, for example:
doi.org/10.5194/tc-1...
doi.org/10.5194/tc-2...
doi.org/10.5194/tc-1...

Yes, it is near the right hand side of the area Adrian shows in his animation. Here is an image from a few years ago with the 2017 grounding line position from Milillo et al. (2019) overlaid on it. That study showed that different sections of the GL were retreating at rates between 0.3 and 1.2 km/yr

In principle I don't like the UK electoral system, but I'm just observing that it may have a benefit in preventing a populist cult from gaining power.

Presently I'm approaching the trip with a blend of excitement and apprehension. Any enjoyment will be a bonus.

This time I'll be breaking the habit of a lifetime and paying for the privilege, but it's not the typical kind of tourist trip you might imagine.

Over previous years we have set up a range of outreach and #Antarctic educational resources on the International #ThwaitesGlacier Collaboration website at
thwaitesglacier.org/news/antarct...