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Jonathan Erdman

@wxjerdman.bsky.social

Senior meteorologist @weatherchannel. M.S. Colorado State Univ.; B.S. UW-Madison; Insightful. Interesting. Impactful. Weather. Opinions are mine only, not of my employer.

1,342 Followers  |  360 Following  |  641 Posts  |  Joined: 20.09.2023  |  1.7802

Latest posts by wxjerdman.bsky.social on Bluesky

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NFL Weather Forecast: Northern Cold And Florida Rain Threats | Weather.com The cold could impact games in the Midwest and Northeast, while a a soaking rain could drench at least one key game in the Sunshine State Sunday.

We won't have a repeat of the Big Ten "snowglobes" from Thanksgiving weekend.

But, there are some big Week 14 NFL games with interesting weather Sunday.

04.12.2025 18:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Michigan Ski Area Buried Under 30 Inches of Snow - Powder | Weather.com A UP ski area saw more than two feet of snow ahead of their opening day last weekend.

Dreaming of powder right now...

04.12.2025 12:29 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Looks like the nation's only area of "exceptional drought" will get a multi-day soaking ahead, including areas that had a record dry November.

04.12.2025 10:58 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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One thing I learned quickly as a young shift forecaster years ago was forecasting low temperatures was usually much harder than forecasting highs.

Case in point this AM's arctic air in the upper Midwest. Note the coldest air pooling in river valleys, urban heat islands with big differences.

04.12.2025 10:24 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Good to see some snow today in Colorado, New Mexico, and a more conducive Cascades/northern Rockies pattern ahead.

Much of the West is running well behind average snowpack right now, granted it's still early in season.

03.12.2025 12:31 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On This Date: Record Snowstorm Shuts Down UW-Madison | Weather.com Is there a winter storm that you remember most? In my case, it was a record-setting snowstorm while I was a college student that I'll never forget.

35 years ago today...a blizzard shut down a university, easily the most memorable snowstorm of my life.

03.12.2025 10:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Fall 2025 Records For Temperature And Precipitation | Weather.com Meteorological fall 2025 has come to a close, and records were set across the country for hottest, wettest and driest falls on record. Did your city earn any superlatives?

The US cities that set fall (Sep-Nov) records, including one that seems paradoxical.

03.12.2025 09:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On This Date: A Utah Snow Tornado And Record One-Hour Snowfall | Weather.com Two rather bizarre weather events happened on Dec. 2, and just four years apart.

Interesting day in weather history: A Utah "snownado" and a US record 1-hour snowfall separated by only 4 years.

02.12.2025 12:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Dozens of daily cold records will be threatened in the Midwest and Northeast by yet another potent arctic blast Thursday and Friday.

And that includes subzero cold for some.

Deets: weather.com/forecast/nat...

02.12.2025 12:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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We've reached the "Florida & Arizona laughs at the rest of the country" temperature regime.

Potential record high in W. Palm Beach and Miami, to just rub it in. πŸ˜†

02.12.2025 09:41 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Post-Thanksgiving Winter Storm Smashed Early-Season Midwest Snow Records | Weather.com Yes, it caused Thanksgiving travel headaches. But for several Midwest cities, Winter Storm Bellamy was historic for so early in the season. Here's where notable records were set during the storm.

Some of the notable November and early-season snow records set during last weekend's winter storm in the Midwest. πŸ‘‡

01.12.2025 17:21 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On This Date: The Deadliest December Tropical Storm Makes Florida Landfall | Weather.com Over 70 people were killed during the storm’s trek from Florida to North Carolina.

100 years ago today, a tropical storm hit Florida.

Really.

01.12.2025 11:53 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

In fact, in the last 12 years, the only snowstorm heavier (at any time of year) in Madison than what we just witnessed was in late March 2023 (12.1").

Last season's heaviest 2-day snow in Madison: 5.5" from Dec. 19-20, 2024.

30.11.2025 16:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Madison, WI (11.7" at Dane Co. Reg'l Airport) just had its "heaviest pre-December in season" 2-day snowfall on record from Winter Storm Bellamy. (Previous: Nov. 8-9, 1985...10.5")

It was Milwaukee's (8") heaviest pre-Dec. snowstorm in 30 years.

Not much fire in the back patio fire pit for awhile.

30.11.2025 16:29 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Snow winner, so far....33" in Gile, WI, often the snowiest spot in the Badger State.

27.11.2025 12:24 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Most Weather Delayed US Airports | Weather.com We pored through 10 years of government data on the 30 largest U.S. airports. Here are the ones where you're most likely to experience a weather-related delay.

Here is our most recent update to America's most weather delayed major airports.

Probably safe to say #1 will surprise most of you.

27.11.2025 12:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NCAA, NFL Thanksgiving Weekend Weather Forecasts | Weather.com It's a busy week in football and weather. From wind chills in the teens, accumulating snow and heavy rain, watching these games may be more interesting than usual.

Feast your eyes on the buffet of football games this weekend where weather could play a major role...including a few "snow globe" Big Ten games.

26.11.2025 18:12 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Mt. Washington even outkicked its usual extreme weather Tuesday.

Impressive lenticular photos at sunrise from the summit, then a surreal view from the valley.

Valley pic credit: Colby Morris/MWO

26.11.2025 12:48 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Thanksgiving Travel Weather Forecast: Snowy North, Rainy South, East | Weather.com Snow, rain, thunderstorms, fog and wind are all in play this Thanksgiving holiday weekend. If you're flying or driving, here's what you may have to deal with.

If Saturday is your day to travel back from Thanksgiving in the Midwest...you better pay attention to the forecast of a significant snowstorm which, for some, will be the season's first (mistimed) snow.

26.11.2025 12:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Welcome to December in the upper Midwest this Monday morning.

Not record-threatening cold for this time of year, but yeesh...πŸ₯Ά

26.11.2025 12:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Asking for a friend...

Can the NFL move the Bills-Steelers game to Orchard Park...and to Thanksgiving?

25.11.2025 17:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Three new AI weather models have hit the NOMADS Server πŸ‘€: Welcome AIGFS, AIGEFS, and HGEFS

25.11.2025 12:07 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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With a winter storm warning in effect, the Twin Cities will see its first accumulating snow of the season (MSP Airport) late tonight into early Wednesday.

Should be ok getting out of town today as long as you're not driving to ND or N. MN.

Tomorrow AM: slick driving, flight delays possible.

25.11.2025 10:36 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On Today's Date: The Great Appalachian Storm Of 1950 | Weather.com It was one of the nation's most extreme, anomalous and costly storms. Here's what made this storm 75 years ago both damaging and unique.

75 years ago this week, one of the benchmark storms of the 20th century in the US, the Great Appalachian Storm. (...and my all-time favorite weather map)

24.11.2025 13:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Thank goodness for ensemble forecasting.

Here are the 2 "operational" ECMWF, GFS 0z Monday model run 7-day forecasts for this Sunday. Could they possibly be more different? πŸ˜†

24.11.2025 12:05 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Tropical cyclone Fina is nearing its final landfall in the far north of W. Australia as Cat. 3 equiv.

Per NOAA's database, looks to be strongest to hit that part of NE WA in over 20 years, since Ingrid in March 2005.

24.11.2025 10:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Second cold push after Thanksgiving could set the table for interesting winter weather the weekend of Nov. 29-30 into the first few days of Dec.

In theory, at least. We'll see if that actually holds in future model runs.

21.11.2025 12:26 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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On Today's Date: America's Record Late Hurricane Hits Florida | Weather.com Imagine a U.S. hurricane landfall one week before Thanksgiving. That happened 40 years ago today.

Imagine a US hurricane landfall a week before Thanksgiving.

That happened 40 years ago today.

21.11.2025 11:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why Death Valley's World Record 134 Degree High Should Be Overturned | Weather.com It's one of the most well-known weather records. But it has also long been questioned by meteorologists. Here's the latest study, and what may be the world record, if this one is repealed.

If not 134˚, what is the real world heat record?

Here's what the experts think.

20.11.2025 12:34 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On Today's Date:Hurricane Lenny Hammered Leeward Islands | Weather.com Many years have seen their final storm of hurricane season by mid-November. But a 1999 hurricane not only took a weird path, but was also one of the most powerful in any November.

At the time, we nicknamed it "Wrong Way", but 26 years ago today, Hurricane Lenny was no laughing matter in the Leeward Islands.

18.11.2025 10:55 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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