Jonathan Erdman

On This Date: Hurricane Milton Tied Gulf Record Intensity | Weather.com This is a reminder of how lucky we've been so far in 2025. One year ago, Milton rapidly intensified into a record-tying strong Gulf hurricane before it struck Florida two days later.

1 year ago today, Hurricane Milton explosively intensified into a record-tying Gulf Category 5.

Today, Caribou, Maine, will go for their third straight day with a high in the 80s.

Previously, they only had 1 such October day in records since 1939.

Probably their last 80s of 2025.

The other F5: May 29, 1953 in Ft. Rice.

On This Date: The Fargo F5 Tornado That Prompted Groundbreaking Research | Weather.com Despite the destruction and death toll, this ended up being one of the most historically significant tornadoes for the science of meteorology.

One of the only two other N. Dakota F/EF5 tornadoes spawned groundbreaking research by Fujita.

How Rare Are EF4 Tornadoes In The US? How The 5 So Far In 2025 Stack Up. | Weather.com A series of outbreaks in March, April and May have produced hundreds of tornadoes, with five of them rating as violent EF4s. Here's how that number stacks up compared to recent years this century.

There have been 5 other EF4 tornadoes so far in the U.S. this year, all during spring.

Since the EF scale was implemented in 2007, there have been an average of 5 to 6 EF4+ tornadoes in the U.S. each year.

You're the best, Chris. Thank you again for this. 👏

Ah, thanks much.

If it didn't hit the train, it may never have been rated EF5.

As with anything in the EF scale, depends on if/what it hits.

[PHOTOS] Up to 12" of October Snow Slams Utah, Montana, and Wyoming - SnowBrains The first significant snow of the 2025-26 season hit Utah, Wyoming, and Montana on the weekend of October 4-5 with up to 16 inches of snow

❄️🙌 The perfect way to start October! 😍

On This Date: America's Costliest Hailstorm And Arizona Tornadoes | Weather.com Severe weather outbreaks can happen almost anywhere in the U.S., including the Desert Southwest. Here's what happened in this two-day outbreak in 2010.

15 years ago today was the second day of arguably the most significant severe outbreak in Arizona history.

A swarm of tornadoes followed one day after America's costliest hailstorm.

Hmmm....hybrid this weekend? 🤔

Sunday, Burlington, VT tied their all-time October record high (86˚).

Today, Caribou, ME could have its second day in a row with a high in the 80s. Prior to Sunday, they had only 1 such October day since 1939.

Whew! 🥵

On This Date: The Only Known Southern California Hurricane | Weather.com Sounds weird, right? But a hurricane actually once happened in San Diego, and it took a recent study to discover it.

On this date in weather history: The only known Southern California hurricane. Really.

How Hurricane Season Usually Changes In October | Weather.com We usually see a shift in the Atlantic hurricane season during the month of October. We may see fewer storms compared with September, however, the ones that do form can be just as impactful.

In the satellite era, October has typically had half the storms of September in the Atlantic Basin.

When they do develop, they tend to be much closer to Caribbean, Bahamas or U.S. #notoveryet

The Twin Cities will flirt with 90˚ highs both Friday and Saturday.

They've only had 3 days with 90˚+ highs in October since 1872.

Happy Fall. 🥵

On This Date: Hurricane Hunter Mission Lost In Philippines Typhoon | Weather.com Hurricane Hunter missions provide vital data for forecasters. They can also be dangerous. Eighty years ago, still during the early days of flying planes into tropical cyclones, a Western Pacific missi...

80 years ago today, the first Hurricane Hunter mission was lost.

The Remarkable 2024 North Atlantic Mid‐Season Hurricane Lull Following an active start, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane was quiet during the climatological peak with only 1 tropical storm and 1 hurricane The lull was not anticipated by seasonal forecasting age...

***New Paper Alert***

While the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season feels like a decade ago, here is a paper that does a deep dive into the headscratching "mid-season lull".

This line-up of co-authors is incredible, and very humbling to be part of it.
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

2025 Hurricane Season Tracks Show How Lucky We've Been, So Far | Weather.com It's hard to draw up a better hurricane season than what the tracks have shown. Here are the many amazing aspects of this season-to-date track map, according to meteorologists.

With Imelda's expected sharp dog leg away from the US, this could be America's luckiest hurricane season in 10 years.

Why 'I' Hurricanes Have Been Most Notorious This Century | Weather.com Have you noticed how many hurricanes starting with the letter "I" have been terribly destructive lately? It turns out there's a simple explanation.

Here we are, staring at the "I-storm" again. Hurricanes with that first letter have been notorious this century. But there's a simple explanation.

2024 was the first year on record where the average global amount of atmospheric water vapor (precipitable water) was over 1.0" (25 mm). 🚨

On This Date: Hurricane Helene Made Landfall, But There Was More To Come | Weather.com It ended up being one of America's deadliest and costliest hurricanes. And it started with a powerful Florida landfall one year ago tonight. Here's what happened with 2024's Hurricane Helene.

1 year ago tonight...the historic strong landfall for Florida's Big Bend with up to 16 feet of surge inundation was bad enough.

But it was far from the end of Helene's story.

For those wanting to cling to summer like Wile E. Coyote hanging on the edge of a cliff, it can't get much better than this through early October. Enjoy! 😎

'Future Imelda' Potential US Threat As Humberto Becomes A Hurricane | Weather.com Humberto could become the season's next Category 3-4 hurricane, but the interest area set to become Imelda could be a threat to the Bahamas and U.S. Here's what you need to know in our latest forecast...

Welp...one day closer, but yet more uncertainty with the future of Imelda re: Southeast US coast. We've now introduced a third possible scenario. Deets 👇

Looks like a peak gust to 76 mph was recorded in the Azores with PTC Gabrielle last night. (Radar: IPMA)

On This Date: 4 Hurricanes At Once In Atlantic Basin | Weather.com Multiple storms at once in the Atlantic Basin is the norm for September. But what happened in 1998 was a sight only seen once before. Here's the story behind a surreal satellite image.

27 years ago this week, 4 hurricanes were active at the same time in the Atlantic Basin. It remains one of my all-time favorite satellite images.

Tropical Storm Humberto To Strengthen; Future 'Imelda' Potential US Threat | Weather.com Humberto could become the season's next major hurricane, but the next system, Imelda, could be a threat to the Bahamas and U.S. Here's what you need to know in our latest forecast update.

Still a lot of uncertainty with the forecast of "future Imelda", but the threat to parts of the Southeast U.S. early next week appears to be increasing. Our latest thinking is👇

On This Date: Hurricane Rita, One of America's Most Forgotten | Weather.com It was both one of the most intense Atlantic Basin hurricanes on record, but also one of its most overshadowed. Here's why 2005's Hurricane Rita should never be forgotten.

20 years ago this morning was the landfall of arguably the most forgotten and overshadowed major (& retired) hurricane of modern times to hit the U.S.

Not much hurricane history for The Azores. Only 18 in NOAA's database have passed within 60 nautical miles. Lorenzo (2019) was the last. That also includes the wacky out of season Jan. 2016 Alex.

A textbook example of concentric eyewalls in Super Typhoon #Ragasa as seen from Chinese radars. This and other radar loops are available at bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/.
#HuajiashaCN

Two Tropical Storms Could Form: What It Could Mean For US, Bermuda | Weather.com Like most Septembers, the parade of Atlantic storms is expected to continue into next week. Two more storms could form, one possibly a Bermuda threat, one possibly a US concern. Here's the latest thin...

Two tropical storms could form over the next several days. Here's our latest thinking, including a potentially weird setup by early next week.