On this date...the only measurable snowfall in Death Valley's history.
29.01.2026 15:31 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@wxjerdman.bsky.social
Senior meteorologist @weatherchannel. M.S. Colorado State Univ.; B.S. UW-Madison; Insightful. Interesting. Impactful. Weather. Opinions are mine only, not of my employer.
On this date...the only measurable snowfall in Death Valley's history.
29.01.2026 15:31 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Oh, to be in Phoenix, L.A. or San Diego this weekend...rather than Florida. π
29.01.2026 14:28 β π 3 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0A rundown of the many cold notables of this latest arctic outbreak, including Florida, the Southeast and Northeast, and any hopes of relief.
29.01.2026 14:04 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0As late August and September go in hurricane season...
...so goes late January and February in "winter storm season".
With the caveat that it's based on a forecast, per SERCC, this could be among the coldest "January 19 - February 1" two-week stretches on record in the East.
29.01.2026 13:02 β π 3 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0Standing ovation for this.
Those whining about playing in weather, please stop.
Our East Coast storm snow outlook yesterday and today.
Keeping a steady hand with best heavier snow chances in VA/Carolinas & eastern New England, for now.
Still typical track uncertainty re: the "40/70 benchmark" Sunday.
Euro, Canadian ensemble means would be "outside", but still members "inside". Matters for wind, snow impacts, especially New England, which is quite snow-fatigued after last weekend.
β¬οΈ confident: A major storm off the East Coast this weekend
Less confident: The exact track
Our latest thinking π
Yes, more record cold is possible in the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic, but it's the Florida cold this weekend that has my π.
Mid-30s lows in Miami could be their coldest since mid-Dec. 2010.
40s highs in central Florida Sunday.
Apologies for those on a "winter getaway" in the Sunshine State.
Our recap of this historic winter storm's snow, ice, even severe weather.
26.01.2026 13:04 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Snow cover before (Jan. 23) and after (Jan. 26) the winter storm.
56% coverage of Lower 48 Monday AM is by far most widespread of 2025-26 season, so far.
(Credit: NOHRSC)
Over 700 reports of ice accumulations and or ice storm damage have been received by NWS offices from Jan. 23-26, from New Mexico to New England.
26.01.2026 11:17 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 1Got down to -24F at my backyard weather station in SE Michigan this morning, my 2nd-coldest lifetime temperature, behind -29 in Feb 2015. Here I am seeing if 70F water will freeze before hitting the ground at -24. Nope. Flint sank to at least -21, close to the all-time -25 record.
24.01.2026 16:05 β π 55 π 5 π¬ 3 π 0An impressively "cold snow" today from the Plains to the mid-Mississippi Valley.
24.01.2026 16:40 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Multiple -40s this AM in the Arrowhead of Minnesota and northern Wisconsin.
At least it's a dry cold. π
Fun on a subzero day in the Midwest.
23.01.2026 16:52 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0The many ways this winter storm may go down in the history books...
23.01.2026 15:52 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Usually either spring or fall is the peak of "everything but the kitchen sink" storm season.π°
Sunday could add "isolated severe" to the mix.
What do ice accumulations mean for impacts? Here are some guidelines π
23.01.2026 11:38 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Our latest, complete briefing on the historic winter storm, kicking off later today, lasting through Monday, with lingering cold impacts. π
23.01.2026 11:36 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0A -60ΛF wind chill along Minnesota's North Shore this morning.
Maybe even too cold for "Grumpy Old Men" π₯Ά
Suffice to say this seasonal snowfall map will look much different by Sunday and Monday.
22.01.2026 15:59 β π 8 π 3 π¬ 0 π 1New York's Tug Hill Plateau doing it's thing:
- Drifts up to 6 feet reported yesterday AM.
- Another 2-3 feet through Friday evening
- Then comes the winter storm.
#uncle
Imagine if the Patriots were the #1 seed, instead of the Broncos for Sunday's AFC Championship. π
22.01.2026 13:15 β π 9 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0We have enough in front of us already with this latest winter storm.
But ensemble models are hinting at another South, possibly East wintry threat late next week-next weekend.
Cold air in place + upper trough = πΏπ€
With the usual "forecast may change" caveat, here's the last time each city had a 1-foot-plus snowstorm:
- OKC: 12/24/2009 (only 3 on record)
- Tulsa: 1/31 - 2/1/2011 (only 2 on record)
- Louisville: 2/4-5/1988 (only 7 on record)
- Philly: 1/22-23/2016
- NYC: 1/31 - 2/1/2021
Thereβs a difference between ice freezing on flat surfaces, ice accumulating on trees and power lines and other things in the air that we donβt want to come down, and ice pellets falling from the sky. Pass it on.
22.01.2026 00:54 β π 9 π 3 π¬ 0 π 0Among the uncertainties with the winter storm:
- Rain/ice line in Tenn. Valley. EPS ensemble mean is trending warmer.
- How heavy, long-lasting will the Northeast snow be into Monday? Individual EPS members (& others) show the variability.
(Gfx kudos: Tropical Tidbits, Tomer Burg)
Purely as a meteorologist, I wish the Eagles were hosting the NFC Championship game Sunday. π
20.01.2026 14:07 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0