HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #48
Margin of Safety
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #48
"Margin of Safety"
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02.08.2025 17:41 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue # 47
Mid-Year Review & Outlook
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #47
"Mid-Year Review & Outlook"
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05.07.2025 19:02 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
As of 6/12/25, the largest 27 S&P 500 constituents now represent more than 50% of the market-cap of the benchmark index.
Based upon current I/B/E/S 2025 consensus EPS estimates, this HALF of the S&P 500 index trades at an average P/E multiple of 40.6x, and an index weighted multiple of 37.2x.
12.06.2025 19:59 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #46
Once Upon a Time in America
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #46
"Once Upon a Time in America"
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07.06.2025 16:45 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
YouTube video by Tiger Financial News Network
May 28th, Trade What You See with Larry Pesavento on TFNN - 2025
We had fun chatting with Larry Pesavento at TFNN yesterday on his "Trade What You See" video podcast. The interview begins at minute 24:30.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-jTB...
29.05.2025 19:06 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #45
SchrΓΆdinger's Box
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #45
"Schrodinger's Box"
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03.05.2025 12:17 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
When people ask me about my win rate, I tell them they're asking the wrong question. Being right is overrated. You can have a 99% win rate, but if your profit factor is less than 1, you're doomed. Now if your profit factor is 3, then even with a 40% win rate you're a hero. It's just risk management!
27.04.2025 21:19 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
YouTube video by Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT
Jeff Huge Reveals Downside for S&P 500 and Upside for Precious Metals
We had a great time catching-up with @dkellercmt.bsky.social the other day on the Market Misbehavior Podcast. Dave produces some of the best free content on the internet, so if you're not watch his daily video's you're really missing out!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=K--m...
25.04.2025 20:42 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
3/3 - Despite the carnage in the markets last week, which trimmed another 9.6% off the S&P 500 month-to-date, the model portfolio is down just 2.4% so far during April.
06.04.2025 16:10 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
For the year-to-date period ended March 31st, 2025, the model portfolio has returned +6.1% vs. -4.3% for the benchmark index, producing over 1,000 basis points of positive alpha. If anyone is still wondering whether this publication is worth the price of admission, thereβs your answer.
06.04.2025 16:10 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
1/3 - Here's a brief look behind the paywall:
MODEL PORTFOLIO RESULTS
The model portfolio outperformed the S&P 500 during the month of March, posting a total return of +1.6% vs. -5.6% for the S&P 500.
06.04.2025 16:09 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #44
Raging Bull?
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #44
"Raging Bull?"
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05.04.2025 15:41 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
While many have been calling for a bottom in U.S. equities in recent days, they are the same crowd that was insanely bullish on January 1st -- and February 19th for that matter. Silver has been, and remains, our "Top Actionable Trade Idea for 2025," while gold remains our "Trade for the Decade."
22.03.2025 20:15 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #43
A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #43
"A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall"
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08.03.2025 20:27 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
2/2 as our alternate count (magenta) suggests, intermediate wave 5 up has subdivided whereby minor wave (iv) is tracing out a symmetrical triangle, and minor wave (v) up is poised to thrust to new ATHs. In either case, the bull market in Big Tech/AI stocks is about to reach its ultimate conclusion.
13.02.2025 19:56 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
There are two potential scenarios that appear likely for the Mag-7: Either the impulsive advance off the 2023 lows topped on December 18th and is currently tracing out a series of ones and twos before a third-of-a-third wave decline devours a third or more of the past two years gains, or...1/2
13.02.2025 19:52 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
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13.02.2025 19:38 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
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13.02.2025 19:35 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #42
Dead Reckoning
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #42
"Dead Reckoning"
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01.02.2025 17:34 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #41
2025 Investment Outlook
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #41
"2025 Investment Outlook"
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25.01.2025 20:00 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
The parallels' today are uncanny:
14.12.2024 19:56 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
And they say a bell never rings at the top.
12.12.2024 18:08 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
I totally agree, Markβ¦ Please βlikeβ my post below:
bsky.app/profile/huge...
10.12.2024 17:47 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Need more convincing?
08.12.2024 18:45 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
US vs EU relative price performance approaching 4 std devs above the 75 year mean! The top 10 companies in the EU account for about 22% of the iShares Europe ETF (IEV) - all world class leaders within their respective industries. If now is not the time to make a contrarian bet on Europe, then when?
08.12.2024 18:18 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #40
Into the Storm
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HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture- Issue #40
"Into the Storm"
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07.12.2024 22:24 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 1