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04.08.2025 08:37 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0@pamherd.bsky.social
Personal Account. Carol Kakalec Kohn Professor of Social Policy. University of Michigan-Ann Arbor. I โค๏ธ surveys. I ๐Administrative Burden. My views do not represent the views of my lovely employer!
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04.08.2025 08:37 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Excellent piece, including this quote from the head of Greece's statistical agency about why fights over data are also fights about whether a country can see itself clearly:
04.08.2025 02:01 โ ๐ 675 ๐ 238 ๐ฌ 16 ๐ 14Hassett went on TV and claimed you canโt trust the economic data anymore because all the recent revisions are partisan.
A bald-faced lie.
Every serious economist still in this administration should resign. They are actively underminding the US economy by lending their credibility to this horse****
Have to hand it to them, this is one of the funniest subheads ever written. And the story itself just makes Mamdani sound very normal and relatable, which Iโm assuming is the opposite of the intent.
04.08.2025 02:38 โ ๐ 64 ๐ 10 ๐ฌ 3 ๐ 1Forget about the 13 women sexually harassed by Andrew Cuomo, THINK OF THE NIGHTMARE THIS ONE TABLE WENT THROUGH
04.08.2025 02:13 โ ๐ 103 ๐ 7 ๐ฌ 3 ๐ 0More of this, please.
04.08.2025 01:33 โ ๐ 21980 ๐ 4784 ๐ฌ 565 ๐ 308A fun reminder that a loss of 60,000 jobs in and around academia is ~50% more than all coal mining jobs in the entire country.
04.08.2025 00:02 โ ๐ 3020 ๐ 986 ๐ฌ 32 ๐ 15Mark Zandi @Markzandi ยท 8h The economy is on the precipice of recession. Thatโs the clear takeaway from last weekโs economic data dump. Consumer spending has flatlined, construction and manufacturing are contracting, and employment is set to fall. And with inflation on the rise, it is tough for the Fed to come to the rescue. Unemployment remains low, but thatโs only because labor force growth has gone sideways. The foreign-born workforce is shrinking, and labor force participation is declining. Telling is the economy-wide hiring freeze, particularly for recent graduates, and the decline in hours worked. Mark Zandi @Markzandi ยท 8h Itโs no mystery why the economy is struggling; blame increasing U.S. tariffs and highly restrictive immigration policy. The tariffs are cutting increasingly deeply into the profits of American companies and the purchasing power of American households. Fewer immigrant workers means a smaller economy.
Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi says:
- We are headed for a recession
-The BLS data is totally reliable- for now
-The revisions are due to delayed reporting of DOGE govt layoffs
-Higher tariffs are dragging down the economy
1/
Did the pandemic really age our brains? I've got some doubts, let me know if you agree... or not!
open.substack.com/pub/jenndowd...
#episky #medsky #demography #aging #neurosky
Harvard โis seriously considering resolving its dispute with the White House through the courts rather than a negotiated settlement.โ
The university president said โthe suggestion that Harvard was open to paying $500 million is โfalseโโ
www.thecrimson.com/article/2025...
"Don't be your child's first bully" is pretty good advice.
03.08.2025 23:02 โ ๐ 320 ๐ 77 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 1A domed building sits on a lot with trees and greenery beside a roadway with a car. A headline reads: "This City of Prisons Is Suing Over a Planned ICE Detention Center" Photo by David Robery Elliott for The New York Times
Leavenworth, Kansas, was forged by the corrections industry, but residents are now divided over plans for a privately operated immigration detention site in town. nyti.ms/3IW2Kh3
03.08.2025 21:36 โ ๐ 1175 ๐ 336 ๐ฌ 60 ๐ 25Jennifer Marlowe on โWKRPโ was one of the few really funny, whip-smart blondes on the great sitcoms of yore. a generation of us owe her a debt of gratitude. RIP, Loni.
03.08.2025 23:08 โ ๐ 2303 ๐ 304 ๐ฌ 69 ๐ 27Having a good time in New Orleans atm, but three different bartenders have told me that this is the worst non-COVID summer they've ever seenโone of whom has worked in the French Quarter for *forty years*.
03.08.2025 18:38 โ ๐ 368 ๐ 86 ๐ฌ 16 ๐ 6A 3rd grade boy classmate of my daughterโs wrote a letter (Iโm assuming w his parentsโ help) to complain that the girlsโ magazine my wife publishesโw girl readers in mindโis โracist to boys.โ He gave the letter to my daughter in school & asked her to deliver home.
03.08.2025 14:17 โ ๐ 52 ๐ 10 ๐ฌ 5 ๐ 0This week, the board met in person for the first time since the email vote. At the meeting, Dean gave an informational presentation about tenure at the university, including how the process typically works. The board wasn't entirely receptive. Trustees Marty Kotis and Jim Blaine both reiterated their opposition to tenure, while Perrin Jones and Rob Bryan raised skeptical questions. Much of the discussion centered around the net present cost of tenured faculty-the metric Clemens argued against usingโand how the board can provide strategic and financial oversight of those decisions given the commitment of long-term resources. Preyer said he supported tenure in general but felt it had been given out "willy-nilly" in the past. He also inquired about ways to oust tenured faculty who "retire on the job." No one discussed the other side of the accounting ledger, as Clemens had. Roberts did not weigh in on the discussion.
Pretty grim kicker on an overall bleak outlook on the future of UNC
www.theassemblync.com/education/hi...
Devastating, and you can already feel the effects in university life, as administrations brace for this in ways that even a familiar term like โausterityโ might understate.
03.08.2025 16:17 โ ๐ 49 ๐ 11 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0This is trying to stop bleeding from amputated leg with a bandaid. Yes, I'm glad we are increasing #residency slots, but where do these members of Congress think the med students to staff those residency spots will come from?
1) You just killed the GRAD Plus program
2) You're killing #immigration
~6 years ago, when my wife Betty ran programming for adults at Vineyard Haven Public Library on Martha's Vineyard, she invited this guy to speak (actually he invited himself) โ for the 2nd or 3rd time in 3 years. He expected that she would bump other scheduled speakers to meet his schedule. 1/2
31.07.2025 00:34 โ ๐ 44 ๐ 9 ๐ฌ 5 ๐ 2Yup.
A BLS story from 9 days ago:
bsky.app/profile/torr...
Heckman sounds like himself Iโd say
03.08.2025 12:44 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0Why is the Trump administration detaining green card holders without cause, blocking legal counsel, and refusing to tell families where they are?
Will Kim has lived here since he was five. Heโs getting his PhD, researching a Lyme disease vaccine at Texas A&Mโand ICE disappeared him at SFO.
In six weeks, more than a dozen exhibits about slavery at Phillyโs Independence National Historical Park could be removed or covered up, per Trump EO to โensureโ that content which โinappropriately disparageโ Americans past or living ceases to exist at National Parks www.inquirer.com/politics/nat...
03.08.2025 05:59 โ ๐ 204 ๐ 81 ๐ฌ 9 ๐ 2Many of us have long been worried about the harm of the 50% multiyear funding (MYF) requirement.
When NCI published their payline at 4% AND cited MYF as the cause, I thought: โSomeone in NCI is a hero. They took a huge risk to make the community aware.โ
www.cancer.gov/grants-train...
well I have a personal experience pov on this which is that if you're going to do work on AI and you're remotely femme presenting you need to wear full body armor at all times, mentally speaking
01.08.2025 23:11 โ ๐ 60 ๐ 8 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 1one of the single best deals in streaming. i've been paying for PBS Passport for years. it rules
02.08.2025 20:20 โ ๐ 13036 ๐ 3812 ๐ฌ 285 ๐ 149Who would d guessed that putting tariffs on industrial inputs, destroying government infrastructure, the clean energy industry, and millions of jobs, would lead to a terrible jobs report?
03.08.2025 00:56 โ ๐ 25 ๐ 6 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0The initial estimate of job change for a month is based on the growth or loss of jobs at the businesses that have reported their data. Generally, BLS assumes that the employment situation at businesses that had reported is representative of the situation at those that had not yet reported. BLS continues to collect outstanding reports from the businesses in the sample as it prepares a second and then a third estimate for the month. With each subsequent estimate, more businesses have provided their information. In 2012, the average collection rate at the time of the third estimate for a month was 94.6 percent. (See chart 1.)
Why do the jobs numbers get revised?
our markets and policymakers want data NOW but employer data dribbles in over months
1st estimate is based on the 75% of employers who respond promptly
Updates occur as more data rolls in: 95% response rate by final revision 1/N
www.bls.gov/opub/btn/vol...
*The NIH-grant cancellation in late March followed the release of data from the CDC revealing that Black women were the only race or ethnic group who didnโt experience a decline in deaths from pregnancy related causes in 2023."
02.08.2025 19:05 โ ๐ 94 ๐ 57 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 2August 1, 2025 AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION Committee on Economic Statistics and Committee on Government Relations Statement from the American Economic Association on the Dismissal of the BLS Commissioner Leaders of the American Economic Association express their grave concern over the dismissal of the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) earlier today. The independence of the federal statistical agencies is essential to the proper functioning of a modern economy. Accurate, timely, and impartial statistics are the foundation upon which households, businesses, and policymakers make critical decisions. Undermining the independence or credibility of these agencies threatens the integrity of the information that markets, institutions, and the public rely on every day. Measuring the vast and dynamic U.S. economy in real time is inherently challenging. It is standard practice for statistical estimates to be revised as more complete and higher-quality data become available. These revisions reflect the commitment of statistical agencies to accuracy, transparency, and methodological rigor-not failure or bias. The BLS has long had a well-deserved reputation for professional excellence and nonpartisan integrity. Safeguarding this tradition is vital for the continued health of the U.S. economy and public trust in our institutions. We call upon elected officials to respect and preserve the independence of the nation's statistical infrastructure. Lawrence Katz President, American Economic Association Katharine Abraham President-Elect, American Economic Association Karen Dynan Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Economic Statistics Kenneth Troske Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Government Relations
Statement from the largest economics association about the BLS firing
As context: AEA approximately never makes such public statements
This is a big deal