@davidcoletto.bsky.social
Founder & CEO of Canada’s most sought-after and influential polling firm, Abacus Data. Prof at Carleton University. Davidcoletto.substack.com 🚴♂️🎾🏔️📈📊
On Hub Politics, I discuss why Prime Minister Carney’s Ottawa speech failed to connect with the audience it was meant for, and what Doug Ford’s enduring popularity reveals about the power of retail politics in Canada today.
Full episode: www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vZR...
I joined the latest episode of Hub Politics to talk about Prime Minister Carney’s recent speech at the University of Ottawa + what Doug Ford’s lasting political appeal tells us about the current mood in Canada.
Watch here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vZR...
Ahead of Prime Minister Carney's speech tonight, Hub Politics podcast anticipated this as I, along with asean and Amanda, discuss the case for a prime ministerial address that sets out the government’s economic plan in the lead up to next month’s budget and the ongoing Canada-U.S. trade talks.
22.10.2025 21:24 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
10 years of feelings toward Justin Trudeau by asking one question:
Do you have a positive or negative impression of Justin Trudeau?
All in a single chart
How Canadians watched Trump and Carney in the Oval Office
19.10.2025 12:29 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Abacus Data Poll: Political Deadlock Persists as Carney Navigates Trump and Trade Pressure
abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...
Canada’s politics and economy are shifting fast.
In this episode of Hub Politics, we break down:
⚖️ Carney’s surprising law-and-order turn
🚗 Stellantis’ decision to move Jeep production to the U.S.
💡 The political & economic fallout.
Watch here 👉 youtu.be/rkK91xMVRqA?...
This week’s politics podcast:
1️⃣ Bail reform, crime and Carney
2️⃣ Stelantis and the future of the auto sector
3️⃣ Plus, Ronald Reagan’s voice delivers a message to Americans from the Ford provincial government
youtube.com/watch?v=rkK9...
“Imagine a general election where Ashton stands at the podium between Carney and Poilievre.
One the establishment banker; the other the career politician.
Between them, a dockworker who says both have failed the working class.”
More: open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
🚨 New from Abacus Data: 9 in 10 Canadians are concerned about the state of housing in Canada today.
This is one of the few issues that cuts across every generation, region, and party line.
Read the full report → abacusdata.ca/9-in-10-cana...
I joined the latest episode of Hub Politics to talk about Prime Minister Mark Carney’s trip to Washington — and what his diplomatic approach with President Trump tells us about his leadership style.
You can watch the full episode here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0j5...
I was thrilled to join Steve Paikin’s Everything Political podcast for the first time.
We talked about my recent Toronto Star column exploring the tension at the heart of Canadian politics — between reassurance and disruption.
You can watch the full conversation here: youtu.be/dNZaTzDNjD8?...
Why does Mark Carney suffer from a slight dip in his favourable impressions? It's that Canadians are becoming a little bit more unsure if he's the right person to lead the country, says @davidcoletto.bsky.social
Full interview: youtu.be/Ixwja1bphd4?...
📊 NEW: Conservatives lead by 1, but the big story is underneath.
Cost-of-living concerns are rising again, Carney’s approval is slipping, and Trudeau’s shadow still looms.
abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...
The Risk in Raising Alarm: Could Poilievre’s Deficit Attacks Backfire?
open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
The federal budget is just over a month away.
I was on CTV News Question Period with Vassy Kapelos yesterday to share some thoughts on the political implications and some alternative scenarios of it can all play out.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdKz...
Why did Mark Carney become PM while Pierre Poilievre fell short?
Because Canadians wanted reassurance, not disruption.
I explain in my latest op-ed for the Toronto Star
t.co/7V8U8t3cyM
Is Carney setting a political trap for Poilievre on the budget?
Tune into CTV’s Question Period on Sunday to hear my thoughts.
Writing something for my newsletter too #cdnpoli
Abacus Nova Scotia Poll: Houston’s PCs Maintain Commanding Lead as Fall Session Opens
abacusdata.ca/abacus-nova-...
Abacus Data Poll: Crime and Safety Rise as Top Issue as Parliament Resumes. Liberals and Conservatives tied.
abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...
This stack is a worthy post for fellow #GCComms professionals to consider as our ministers get ready for their return to Parliament.
Connecting with our audiences is more challenging than ever, especially at a critical time for the government we serve.
open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
13.09.2025 17:48 — 👍 7 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 2
Is it time for the federal government to invest more in communicating with those it governs?
Some thoughts and comparative examples
open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
The lesson from Starmer 🇬🇧 for Carney 🇨🇦: managerial centrism without a philosophy is not the middle ground; it’s no man’s land.
08.09.2025 01:46 — 👍 67 🔁 14 💬 5 📌 5
📊 New Abacus Data Poll: Carney’s Liberals edge back into the lead as Canadians grow more uneasy about the economy.
Affordability, housing, & healthcare remain top concerns.
Full results 👉 abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...
Precarity, Collective Bargaining, and Why Member Research Matters More Than Ever: abacusdata.ca/precarity-mi...
www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
Mark Carney appears to be threading that needle effectively. His posture and approach is widely seen as the right fit for the moment.
open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
In the next two years, what is the bigger threat?
60% say issues like housing affordability, healthcare, and rising costs pose the greatest risk to the country.
40% believe Trump’s policies and unpredictability are the larger danger
abacusdata.ca/canadians-se...
The Psychology of Political Endings: When
Support Turns to Disillusionment
What psychological research and polling tells us about when people go from supporters to opponents in politics.
open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
The Psychology of Political Endings: When Support Turns to Disillusionment
open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
