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Dan Hirschman

@asociologist.bsky.social

Sociologist @Cornell. Currently interested in the history of inequality statistics, and the role of economic expertise in climate policy. “Venceréis, pero no convenceréis.”

6,492 Followers  |  1,890 Following  |  1,230 Posts  |  Joined: 17.10.2024
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Posts by Dan Hirschman (@asociologist.bsky.social)

Odysseus had his crew lash him to the mast to keep him from doing an interview with Chotiner.

23.09.2025 20:58 — 👍 2805    🔁 448    💬 20    📌 23
A BloombergNEF chart by Jenny Chase's team, showing solar build forecasts over time for selected quarters since 2011. In 2011, we only had two-year forecasts and they were flattish at 30-40GW/year; over the years, these forecasts drift upwards and generally are lower than what actually happened. In 2021 we started doing forecasts to 2030, and they were also flattish, though also hilariously drift upwards. In 2024 we expected solar build to rise from just under 600GW, to about 850GW in 2030; as of 1Q 2026, we cut this slightly in the long run.

A BloombergNEF chart by Jenny Chase's team, showing solar build forecasts over time for selected quarters since 2011. In 2011, we only had two-year forecasts and they were flattish at 30-40GW/year; over the years, these forecasts drift upwards and generally are lower than what actually happened. In 2021 we started doing forecasts to 2030, and they were also flattish, though also hilariously drift upwards. In 2024 we expected solar build to rise from just under 600GW, to about 850GW in 2030; as of 1Q 2026, we cut this slightly in the long run.

BNEF's forecasts for solar build over time. We drastically* underpredicted what China would deploy in 2023 and 2024, and the effect of Russia invading Ukraine in 2022.

We cut forecasts in late 2025 because the long-expected cannibalization is biting hard. But now there is a new fossil fuel squeeze.

04.03.2026 17:11 — 👍 53    🔁 18    💬 4    📌 7

The intro chapter of my book is now available to access for free. See link 👇🏼

04.03.2026 21:17 — 👍 62    🔁 25    💬 1    📌 0

Every interview I've heard with Talarico includes a variant of , "I'm a proud [white] Christian and a 8th generation Texan ..."

If influencers, pundits, and journalists can't recognize this as identity politics, it says more about their own biases than it does about a supposed "referendum."

04.03.2026 20:20 — 👍 12    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 1

Sign me up. Or we could use the money for, I don’t know, schools, and healthcare. Or even just the very noble cause of No More Billionaires.

04.03.2026 19:57 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Why Women Won | NIH Office of Intramural Research

Claudia Goldin is in the Q&A after this talk advocating an idea for Make America Manly Again (MAMA), & it has something to do w forcing men's greater commitment to their families but I don't totally get it, but the deep chuckle let out by the woman whose question she was answering was a real delight

04.03.2026 20:01 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Rethinking Gender and Other Seemingly Nonmanipulable Characteristics for Causal Analysis - KZfSS Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie Identifying the causes of social inequality is crucial for designing effective policy interventions. Experimental methods, in which variables are manipulated and participants are randomly assigned to ...

Gender as a “bundle of sticks” bhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11577-026-01054-z?utm_source=researchgate.net&utm_medium=article

04.03.2026 20:03 — 👍 8    🔁 3    💬 2    📌 0

As someone who has survived multiple jaw bone infections and needed several endodontic treatments for tooth infections, let me tell you that this man died in one of the most painful ways possible

They tortured him. An untreated tooth infection is torture.

04.03.2026 16:27 — 👍 1656    🔁 589    💬 26    📌 21

just thinking about how USAID was dismantled under the rationale of cost savings but there's an unlimited budget for war

04.03.2026 06:43 — 👍 1848    🔁 461    💬 36    📌 24

I discovered something that just nauseated me to my core today - Polymarket has a huge number of bets running on climate impacts and disasters

An entirely new flavour of disaster capitalism

04.03.2026 15:33 — 👍 421    🔁 164    💬 11    📌 17

Ooh, I need to copy this. Sigh.

04.03.2026 15:17 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Same! What a horrifying experience; I hope you continue to do better!

04.03.2026 15:07 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

It's remarkable that the national media is saying the takeaway from Talarico's win over Crockett is "Democrats are too far left" when the two of them are so ideologically similar.

It's almost as though "too far left" means "too Black."

04.03.2026 12:18 — 👍 758    🔁 133    💬 23    📌 12

““He [the military Commander] said that ‘President Trump has been anointed by Jesus to light the signal fire in Iran to cause Armageddon and mark his return to Earth’”, the NCO added.”

www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

04.03.2026 13:17 — 👍 13    🔁 8    💬 1    📌 3

Manufacturing Dissent

04.03.2026 12:49 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

GSA has endorsed this national day of action led by @standupforscience.bsky.social.

04.03.2026 02:46 — 👍 20    🔁 11    💬 0    📌 0

Great to see extensive NYT & FT coverage of our paper on the fossil-fuel profit bonanza during the previous war-induced oil & gas price spike. Links in Gregor’s thread. 👇

04.03.2026 11:47 — 👍 73    🔁 25    💬 2    📌 1
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Trump Has Been Sued 198 Times for Withholding Funding. It Hasn’t Stopped Him. (Gift Article) Immigration demands for highway dollars, D.E.I. rules for homeless grants: how Trump has tried to wield spending to get his way.

An important piece showing that losses in court haven’t stopped Trump from seizing Congress’s spending power and targeting dissenters and “blue states.”

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

04.03.2026 11:30 — 👍 218    🔁 127    💬 5    📌 7
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on this day in 1933 "the US Senate confirms Frances Perkins as Secretary of Labor and she is sworn in the same day, making her the first female member of the United States Cabinet."

04.03.2026 10:59 — 👍 371    🔁 93    💬 12    📌 9

One protestor was arrested, stripped naked and searched. For holding signs.

04.03.2026 11:09 — 👍 39    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

The Israeli police brutally dispersed a small anti-war demo yesterday in Tel Aviv.

04.03.2026 10:42 — 👍 87    🔁 28    💬 2    📌 3
Colonial Williamsburg Foundation hiring Digital Content Researcher & Producer in Williamsburg, VA | LinkedIn Posted 12:30:03 AM. Who We AreFounded in 1926, the Colonial Williamsburg Foundation is a private, not-for-profit…See this and similar jobs on LinkedIn.

I'm hiring! 🏛️

This is a VA-based, hybrid 3-year position for a historian working on digital projects related to religious history. We'll also be hiring a historian working on onsite programming and training related to religious history.

Feel free to reach out! www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/43...

27.02.2026 22:15 — 👍 206    🔁 124    💬 7    📌 5

Just realized that with Abolish ICE at +11, it's polling over 30 percentage-points ahead of Trump approval. Guess that means if the media wants to be representative, it should give at least like 40% more airtime to people who support abolishing ICE to Trump supporters

04.03.2026 01:06 — 👍 1261    🔁 283    💬 9    📌 6

Abolish ICE at +11 is very much a Kitchen Table Issue™

03.03.2026 20:22 — 👍 95    🔁 22    💬 1    📌 1
NEW YouGov poll:
Abolishing ICE is now at a *record high* level of support in the United States

50% support
39% oppose

Independents are now +17 on abolishing ICE
Moderates +6

23% of Republicans now support abolishing ICE

NEW YouGov poll: Abolishing ICE is now at a *record high* level of support in the United States 50% support 39% oppose Independents are now +17 on abolishing ICE Moderates +6 23% of Republicans now support abolishing ICE

NEW YouGov poll:
Abolishing ICE is now at a *record high* level of support in the United States

50% support
39% oppose

Independents are now +17 on abolishing ICE
Moderates +6

23% of Republicans now support abolishing ICE

03.03.2026 19:29 — 👍 1682    🔁 489    💬 22    📌 101
Preview
Why Is Workplace Sexual Harassment Underreported? The Value of Outside Options amid the Threat of Retaliation (March 2026) - Why is workplace sexual harassment chronically underreported? We hypothesize that employers coerce victims into silence through the threat of a retaliatory firing. To test this, we esti...

Today in unsurprising but good to document:

"employers coerce victims into silence through the threat of a retaliatory firing ... reductions in the value of outside options make employees more vulnerable to sexually hostile work environments"

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

03.03.2026 16:08 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Professor in history of science - Uppsala University Professor in history of science, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Arts, Department of History of Science and Ideas, Uppsala University

My department is hiring a professor in the history of science! www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...

02.03.2026 12:27 — 👍 17    🔁 15    💬 0    📌 0
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I have seen a lot of cursed stuff in my time in academia but this is among the *most* cursed.
Grammarly is generating miniature LLMs based on academic work so that users can have their writing ‘reviewed’ by experts like David Abulafia, who died less than two months ago.

03.03.2026 11:58 — 👍 3476    🔁 1518    💬 95    📌 281
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Fossil fuel stocks are exploding in response to the war on Iran.

Who stands to benefit? The richest of the rich.

Who stands to lose? All of us who have to pay higher prices for energy and a new round of sellers' inflation.

03.03.2026 10:47 — 👍 343    🔁 198    💬 7    📌 15

The Artistic Journey:

2021: celebrated as I published one of the best books of my career.

2025: watched Anthropic steal it, with millions of others, to train its model, without compensation.

2026: watched Anthropic sell that model, an AI killing machine, to the US government.

Human progress!

03.03.2026 11:51 — 👍 113    🔁 31    💬 1    📌 3