Martin Odhelius

Oil just slipped on its own barrel.
Trump’s “drill” plan? Drilled.
Putin’s war budget? Pumped dry.

Meanwhile, the world enjoys cheap fuel and a front-row seat to the dumbest geopolitical misplay in human history.

🧪 I Tested Grok for Political Drift — Here’s What I Found Lately, I’ve… | Martin Odhelius 🧪 I Tested Grok for Political Drift — Here’s What I Found Lately, I’ve had a hunch that something felt off with how Grok — the AI assistant built into X (formerly Twitter) — responds in politically c...

Read my take on Grok’s alignment drift:
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
It’s definitely something that deserves more attention!

Grok Conversation / X Grok Conversation / X

I got Grok to confirm that it suffers from alignment drift:

x.com/i/grok/share...

WARNING: I just made some tests with Grok and in just 4 questions, Grok sounds like an enabler of conspiratorial thinking. Very clear signs of alignment drift.

The Real Problem Isn’t Bias — It’s the Collapse of Shared Reality

The Trump administration thinks they have a master plan and can weaken the dollar while still keeping it as the world’s reserve currency. In reality, they are currently weakening the dollar but also losing all trust, which may result in the dollar losing its status as a reserve currency 😂

FACTS:
The average trade-weighted tariff rate for the EU is about ~1.4%, not 39% as the Trump Administration claimed.
For the US, it was about ~1.5% (so higher than EU). Now it is going to be 20%.

Source: data.worldbank.org/indicator/TM...

For example: When you put a felon in charge of your country and he’s threatening to criminalize the media.

If we’re already 7 weeks into a correction, historical data shows:
– Average time to the bottom: 15.5 more weeks
– Median time: 5 more weeks
Still room for downside — but many bottoms come sooner.

S&P 500 just had both a monthly and quarterly close below the previous quarter’s open.
I ran the numbers on 75 years of data:
– 82.35% chance this month breaks last month’s low
– Avg drawdown: 22.19%
– Median drawdown: 16.05%
History leans bearish here.

You know a democracy is working if it puts felons in jail, even when they run for office.

Elon: "If democracy needs a little boost, why not pay for every ballot?"

BREAKING: Elon Musk is reportedly very upset because people disagree with his assertion that “empathy is a weakness”.

JD: "Hey guys, hear me out — Greenlanders are obviously Trump voters, I mean… look at all these white golf courses!"

JD Vance: "We cannot just ignore the president’s desires."

Trump: “Well? Don’t keep me waiting.”

Elon Musk looks like he just spent all night fact-checking his hat.

JD: “Alright troops —technically, I’m not a Marine — but I did retweet one once.”

JD: “Trust me, just clap your hands and whistle We Shall Overcome — by tonight, Fox will call it genius.”

Ignore supply and demand — just demand cheaper supplies.

Checks and balances? Nah, just cheese and bronzers.

Florida debates lifting some child labor laws to fill jobs vacated by undocumented immigrants | CNN Business Florida has been working for years to crack down on employers that hire undocumented immigrants. But that presented a problem for businesses in the state that are desperate for workers to fill low-wag...

Make America Great Again — deport the parents, hire the kids!

edition.cnn.com/2025/03/25/b...