Adam Kovacevich

June Verified Voter Omnibus - Political Quadrants In a recent poll, we mapped voters in the likely electorate onto four quadrants and found the populist quadrant continues to grow, and the conservative quadrant continues to decline.

Full data:
echeloninsights.com/in-the-news...

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I believe in a big tent Democratic party. We need all factions to win.
Acela + Labor + Greens = 50% of the vote
Nationals + Conservatives = 44% of the vote

But Dems let the Green faction drive our messaging & policy in the Biden era - and that was a mistake.

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- Though moderate Dems are often intimidated by lefty activists, they should remember that the far left's share of the Dem voter base is no larger than the Liz Cheney / Never Trump faction's share.

- Laser-like focus on cost of living is the way back to majorities

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Some takeaways:

- Though the "Green" faction dominated the Biden Admin and the Dem staffer class, it's only 10% of the Dem voter base

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And cost of living is the #1 or #2 issue for each of the three left-leaning factions. It's #2 in both the right-leaning factions.

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Demographically, Greens are dominated by younger, white, wealthier college grads living in cities.

Labor is non-college, suburban, and faction w/ most Black voters.

Acela is two-thirds female, wealthy, and faction w/ most Latino voters.

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Echelon has been asking this question for 6 yrs so they have historical trends

The middle class "Labor" faction has consistently been the biggest faction within the Dem party.

But in 2020-21, Green and Acela were basically tied. Now Acela is 13 pts bigger than Green.

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10% "Conservative": Free enterprise, pro-military

9% "Green": Anti-corporate populism

8% "Nationalist": America First

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By then asking respondents to sort by D or R party, we see the factional breakdown of the Dem party:

46% "Labor": Middle class first, pro-union, pro-safety net

22% "Acela": Socially liberal, pro-free trade


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The poll starts by doing something clever: describing 5 new political parties (but not their names or party leaders) and asking voters to self-assign.

These are the descriptions:

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Fascinating new data from @EchelonInsights looks at the factions that make up today's parties.

One takeaway: though the far left has a huge mindshare within the Dem Staffer Class, it is a shrinking faction within the Dem voter coalition.

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I've been working for years on autonomous vehicle policy, and this is pretty typical of the bad-faith arguments and outright lights that organized labor uses to try to stop a technology that demonstrably saves lives.

Full article:
www.sentinelandenterprise.com/2025/06/29/...

Sixth claim: AVs aren't subject to data reporting.

Absolutely false: Waymo and other operators have been reporting all of this data to the federal government for several years now. That data is how we know that AVs are safer than human drivers.

Fifth claim: "We're not against technology, but we are against corporate greed."

Gotta give him points for being honest about defending union jobs. But if this were the basis for public policy, MA would still mandate human toll collectors and gas station attendants.

Fourth claim: AVs are worse than humans about making split second decisions.

Again, absolutely false. Humans are awful at this stuff, and the robots have now see so many situations that their responses are superior to human drivers.

Third claim: Uber passengers sometimes need assistance from a human driver.

Great! They'll continue to choose a human driver. But we've seen in SF and L.A. that some passengers prefer a non-human experience b/c of safety concerns.

Second claim: "There's been no impact study on the impact from AVs".

Also false.

Study on job impact: progresschamber.org/new-study-a...

Study on road safety impact: www.itsdigest.com/new-studies...

Study on environmental impacts: www.sciencedirect.com/science/art...

First claim: "There are so many issues in other states and cities that have AVs."

Verifiably false. Waymo's data from SF and L.A., show that AVs have a significantly lower incident rate than human drivers.

Organized labor's anti-autonomous vehicle playbook:

A closer look at the Teamsters' advocacy strategy - on display recently as Massachusetts' legislature considered bills to allow AVs in the state.

Let's take a look...

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We've already seen what Trump does with power: punishes critics, installs loyalists, and bends institutions.

Whether you're on the left, right, or center, we should all agree: No president should dictate what shows up in your search bar.

🔗 www.newsweek.com/trump-bendi...

It's easy to see where this road leads.

Just look at how Trump ousted the Kennedy Center board, simply because he didn't like a drag show.

Imagine Googling "Donald Trump" and seeing only glowing coverage.

Trump’s DOJ has been clear that they see this case as being about "censorship" -- even thought it has nothing to do with that.

His Admin is asking for a technical committee that will have unfettered access to Google's algorithms & source code for the next 6 years at least.

Donald Trump has long tried to bend U.S. institutions to his will.

Now he wants to go even further—by taking control of what Americans see in their Google search results.

My new @Newsweek op-ed on why this should alarm everyone ⬇️

The left spent years blaming Obama for Trump's '16 win.

But they haven't blamed Biden for Trump's '24 win -- because Biden followed the Warren anti-biz playbook that the left said would win back the working class.

It's time to retire the failed strategy & try something new.

The craziest part of the left's crusade against Obama is that he was the last Democrat to win the working class vote, in 2008. And he kept that margin close in 2012.

Working class votes clearly liked Obama's approach to economic policy.

And the left's argument has no basis in the data.

Voters' top reasons for backing Trump included Biden's bad economy and Harris being *too* similar to Biden.

Harris being "too conservative" or "not enough like Biden" ranked at the bottom.
x.com/mattyglesia...

These are the same people who drove Biden policymaking.

And these are the same people who helped turn Khan into one of Bidenworld's biggest celebs.

They were the ones *doing* the marketing of Biden's anti-biz agenda. It wasn't the marketing; voters didn't like the product

Rather than admut its plan flopped, the left blames:
- Bad "marketing" of Biden's anti-biz record
- Harris not pledging to keep Lina Khan
- Harris' brother in law
- Liz Cheney, Reid Hoffman, and Mark Cuban

See Bernie:
x.com/BBCr4today/...

But the left's strategy flopped. It aimed to win back working class voters, who would love Biden's anti-biz approach.

Instead Harris lost ground among working class. She did worse than Clinton/2016.

A ballot-box rejection of the left's 2016-2024 econ policy strategy.

Biden did exactly what the left wanted.

He ceded FTC, SEC, CFPB picks to @SenWarren.

He walked back US govt's policy of defending its top-exporting industry.

He filed lawsuits against tech & crypto and waged war against tech.