Andy Carrizosa's Avatar

Andy Carrizosa

@andycarrizosa.com.bsky.social

πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ύ PhD in political science from Rice University. Survey experiments and legislatures. Author of "Skewing Chaos: the role of political parties in Paraguay's legislature" All opinions are my own.

286 Followers  |  748 Following  |  303 Posts  |  Joined: 16.11.2023  |  2.2326

Latest posts by andycarrizosa.com on Bluesky

Definitely worth it to buy an air purifier

03.09.2025 14:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
The Rules for Rulers
YouTube video by CGP Grey The Rules for Rulers

There's an animated explainer of this book online and it's a fantastic resource:

youtu.be/rStL7niR7gs?...

29.08.2025 09:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Criminal Code is also good (about latam). The Mechanism is ok also. But those are loosely based on reality so maybe it's cheating.

28.08.2025 22:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Parks and rec. Also, Borgen.

28.08.2025 22:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Usually original writing builds on common-held symbols, stories, metaphors, characters, but then takes them in new directions, situations, contexts. If chat gpt is maximizing for the "most likely" next word in a sentence, it's also maximizing a bit for the "least original" next word in a sentence.

12.08.2025 09:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So AI is bad at writing comedy because it looks for the "most likely" ending of a sentence which is also usually going to be the "most expected/least funny" ending of a sentence. I think maybe that can also explain partially why it's not great at original writing.

12.08.2025 09:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The other day I asked Chat GPT why it was so bad at writing comedy. It answered that because the model is trained to find the "most likely" next word in a string of text. In contrast, comedy writing usually builds up in one direction, and then takes an unexpected turn to provide surprise/laughs.

12.08.2025 09:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Since that's what AI currently seems to be the best at.

12.08.2025 09:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So much writing in the real world is about jumping through hoops. I've recently been on a job search, and it is amazing how much time you can lose on cover letters, statements of purpose and other nonsense. I really hope the existence of AI can reduce the existence of bullshit-writing requirements.

12.08.2025 09:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That also explains why they wanted to remove access to 4o (4o is more expensive on inference for them is my guess).

12.08.2025 09:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah, as far as I can tell it helps them reduce cost by taking model selection out of the user's hands and having gpt 5 itself "decide" how much compute to spend on answering a Q. That and changes to the API pricing are the biggest factors IMO. Seems more of a product update than capacity update.

12.08.2025 09:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Gross haha. So clearly the increase of sushi consumption in the US has led to the decline in democratization.

27.07.2025 11:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But yeah, modernization never could explain chile and argentina in the 60s-70s. So idk why anyone would dig it up now haha

27.07.2025 11:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Over the years I have become so much less trusting of democratic indexes also. That flat line for China misses a lot. Civil society/property rights today are different than they were under Mao.

27.07.2025 11:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Drinking ice-cold water or tea also helps. Dehumidifiers also help a lot because humidity makes the heat worse.

23.07.2025 21:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A key step to getting a job is the first interview. But what if AI could make this first interview cheaper and more accessible to recruiters?

Enter Andybot: app.andycarrizosa.com/andybot/

Andybot is an AI that knows my work experience. Wondering if my profile is good for your role? Ask Andybot

20.06.2025 21:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Make America Grate Again

25.06.2025 21:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Obviously sports is stored in the left foot and care for household and non household members is stored in the right

25.06.2025 16:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It kills me that personal care is the hair

25.06.2025 16:32 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

At least have the watching tv label point to her eyes haha

25.06.2025 16:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Eat and drink is the cup, the foot with the ball is sports, and watching tv is her shoulder?

25.06.2025 16:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

A key step to getting a job is the first interview. But what if AI could make this first interview cheaper and more accessible to recruiters?

Enter Andybot: app.andycarrizosa.com/andybot/

Andybot is an AI that knows my work experience. Wondering if my profile is good for your role? Ask Andybot

20.06.2025 21:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Someone on the internet: "There are no diminishing returns. Happiness is linearly related to log income"
Me: *cries*

10.02.2025 19:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Sabotaging the Pax Americana Trump and Musk are making us distrusted, friendless and weak

Losing moral authority, trust and respect. What could go wrong? paulkrugman.substack.com/p/sabotaging...

10.02.2025 11:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1260    πŸ” 314    πŸ’¬ 56    πŸ“Œ 48

Omg terrible

10.02.2025 01:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Anyone have any experience using Windows Subsystem for Linux? Seems quite amazing, but I'm still trying to figure out what I can do with it. Any use cases? (sourcing scripts from Python seems to be a good one already).

07.02.2025 12:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

It's such fake news that Python "has a shorter learning curve" than R. IMO R is much more polished and Python is way more hacky. But Python is integration king. So.. here we are.

06.02.2025 20:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Gotta say, using AI to translate my R knowledge into Python knowledge is proving quite fun/helpful

05.02.2025 18:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And stupid

03.02.2025 16:41 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@andycarrizosa.com is following 19 prominent accounts