The Eric Schickler essay in Larry Bartel's symposium on "What Trump Has Taught Us About Political Science" is one of the most insightful pieces I've read in 2025.
US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.
open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...
19.11.2025 20:08 β π 557 π 223 π¬ 26 π 19
I disagree. He's not talking about "Cadillac" insurance policies, generous private plans that were taxed under original ACA. He's never heard of them. He's talking about actual Cadillacs, the car. He's referencing an old talk-radio canard from the 1970s/80s about people on welfare driving Cadillacs.
17.11.2025 01:16 β π 72 π 14 π¬ 6 π 1
Love this in @newrepublic.com from the brilliant @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social & @adambonica.bsky.social, but while the headline is, Gen Z is alright, I'm also struck by how little difference there is between those born in 1970 and the 1940 cohort, on racial resentment. Gen X is a political disaster.
16.11.2025 21:43 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
It's not the case that Rs have no ideas for health care. They've always had one big idea, which is health savings accounts--regressive, good for the rich, and, like 529s and Roth IRAs, take billions in investment income out of the tax system forever. They deliberately avoided talking about it. 3/3
11.11.2025 16:41 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
For years, GOP dodged health politics consequences by proposing nothing. They would get rid of whatever people don't like, without creating a new target. Now they're cutting ACA, cutting Medicaid, and talking about cash vs insurance, HSAs, all unworkable schemes 2/3
11.11.2025 16:41 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Anxiety about *change* to health care has been a key factor in several consequential elections: 1994 (Clinton plan), 2010 (ACA), and (to some degree) 2018 . Even if people are unhappy w/ health care costs and choices, change is terrifying. GOP setting itself up on the wrong side of this dynamic. 1/3
11.11.2025 16:41 β π 5 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0
Hemp vote indicates that cannabis is long past being a wedge issue, or even a "social issue," but is now just a parochial ag/revenue issue. Senators from legal states expecting revenue don't want competition from online/gas station hemp products. Many senators from legalized states voted no.
11.11.2025 03:00 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Still upset about no power of the purse language. You truly do hate to see it. The Trump admin undertook the most expansive set of illegal budgetary actions of any president in history, and broadcast as loudly as possible theyβd keep doing it, and nothing. Budgetary lawlessness.
10.11.2025 02:00 β π 1411 π 314 π¬ 13 π 19
Few of us will see the faux-gold applique on the walls. This is the closest to the White House ("the people's house") that most people will get, looking west from 15th St along Pennsylvania Ave., yesterday evening at 5:45 pm
08.11.2025 05:27 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
(Photo was from yesterday, 11/6, around 5:30 pm)
08.11.2025 05:25 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
This is true, but the challenge, esp for Dems,is how to use a favorable environment (meaning 2 more elections and 3 ugly yrs) to maintain a favorable environment for longer than four years. Not forever, but enough to improve lives sustainably. Thermostatic politics is a disaster if one side is Trump
05.11.2025 03:55 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
A pro-affordability, anti-Trump-corruption message unites the party. Every candidate can run on that, and every candidate can have their own take to fit that to their constituents. There's really no need to find fights to pick when the party agrees on more than it disagrees
05.11.2025 02:15 β π 3238 π 661 π¬ 19 π 13
The minority report of the committee investigating the Iran-Contra scandal, signed by Cheney when he was a member of the House in 1987, is a key document in the theory of an all-powerful president. nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/182...
04.11.2025 14:59 β π 4 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0
One underrated aspect of Zohran is that he always wears a suit, always presents himself professionally while still doing fun and approachable retail politics. You donβt have to drape yourself yourself in hypebeast and post thirst traps, you can be fucking grown up respecting the office and be fun
04.11.2025 04:52 β π 1603 π 164 π¬ 15 π 17
Not to diminish law review articles & law school committee work, but right now law professors should be working collectively on an intellectual & service project of immense, existential importance: building consensus around a revolutionary constitutional framework-of a Reconstruction 2.0 magnitude.
22.10.2025 17:17 β π 1934 π 352 π¬ 39 π 27
He's going to put his name on it, isn't he?
22.10.2025 22:15 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
"He came in here and he trashed the place, and it's not his place."
--Washington Post reporter David Broder to Post columnist Sally Quinn. About Bill Clinton. In a more naive time when "trashed the place" was a metaphor for not going to the right parties.
www.washingtonpost.com/archive/life...
22.10.2025 01:55 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Okay, look, I gotta ask because I feel like Iβm having a stroke. Did we switch teams on the democracy versus economics messaging? Because the way I remember it, the libs ran on democracy and the left said they should focus on material issues like healthcare instead and now itβs opposite, I think?
05.10.2025 17:18 β π 527 π 62 π¬ 60 π 12
Consequences of Government Shutdowns
Podcast Episode Β· Democracy Deciphered Β· 09/30/2025 Β· 17m
For @newamerica.org's #DemocracyDeciphered podcast, I did a short (16-min.) explainer on govt shutdowns. Points at the end on why this is different: 1 Vought layoff threat; 2 Admin will break a deal & rescind spending anyway; 3 Admin got the $ it wants, e.g. ICE. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
01.10.2025 17:50 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
"Infrequent voters are voting. It's a very low-trust environment. So the traditional left-right spectrum and going moderate on issues, it's not as clear. Anybody saying, 'I can win the election by tweaking positions" slightly is selling you something," says @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social.
27.09.2025 14:03 β π 197 π 33 π¬ 7 π 3
Of all the awful things that Joe Lieberman and Susan Collins did as senators, their joint creation of DHS, in the post-9/11-Iraq frenzy, may be the awful thing with the most lasting bad consequences. A full reorg should be a priority for a future Dem president, but will take time.
26.09.2025 04:13 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
If he changed positions on abortion rights, Brown would seem/be a calculating phony. People don't vote for a set of issue positions, but will vote for someone who listens, engages and is straightforward about their views. Lots of people who will vote for Mamdani don't share his issue positions. 2/2
23.09.2025 22:32 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
I wouldn't write off Dem senate candidates in OH, IA, NE. All long shots but worth trying. But try a thought experiment: Is Sherrod Brown the strongest D candidate in OH? Of course. He ran 3 pts ahead of Harris and won 3 times. Would he be a stronger candidate if he declared himself pro-life? No! 1/
23.09.2025 22:28 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0
There is no world in which it is normal for the president to publicly call upon his attorney general to hurry up and prosecute his political foes. Itβs like the Watergate tapes but posted on social media. Letβs get a grip on whatβs happening here.
21.09.2025 00:56 β π 59093 π 16358 π¬ 1344 π 634
This also goes to a point @donmoyn.bsky.social made last week: College campuses are *uniquely* open, among all American institutions, to debate and disagreement. You can't go to an evangelical church (or any church) or corporation and expect them to give a hearing to an alternative viewpoint.
18.09.2025 21:35 β π 16 π 2 π¬ 0 π 1
A New Democratic Think Tank Wants to Curb the Influence of Liberal Groups
I've been involved w/ a number of think tank startups, but this is the first I've seen started with the mission of *not* doing things. There are no ideas here
My only other thoughts were in response to Jentleson's 9/16 op-ed
markschmitt.substack.com/p/the-groups...
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/17/u...
17.09.2025 21:11 β π 312 π 45 π¬ 31 π 5
Jamelle and Ezra also both immerse themselves in context--often historical in one case, process in the other--before writing. They have different perspectives this week (and I'm w/ Jamelle), but are not as far apart as comments make it sound. And they are vastly better than other political analysts.
16.09.2025 19:27 β π 7 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0
One of the privileges of my life was to work w/ both @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social and @jamellebouie.net at @prospect.org in 2008-2011, though they didn't quite overlap. They are not "opposing viewpoints," but are both motivated by curiosity, not just glib "takes," and a commitment to human dignity. 1/2
16.09.2025 19:27 β π 17 π 3 π¬ 5 π 0
I offer up βBorgenβ as a tv series that political scientists appreciate for getting politics right.
29.08.2025 00:11 β π 9 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Political science professor. Has thoughts about that thing someone said.
Book: Backlash Presidents: From Transformative to Reactionary Leaders in American History
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