Peter Holmes

Peter Holmes

@pholmes8.bsky.social

Semi-retired trade economist, Emeritus @ UKTPO Sussex. Posts about Brexit, Freeports, WTO and anything else that catches my fancy. Migrating across from other place. Tweeted as @pholmes8. Blogs with others at https://blogs.sussex.ac.uk/uktpo/blog/

4,595 Followers 1,819 Following 491 Posts Joined Dec 2023
10 hours ago
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The riches of Viktor Orbán’s home village Hungary’s longtime leader is trailing in the polls ahead of April’s election, as the opposition alleges widespread corruption

A flight taken by the FT over the estate (owned by Viktor Orban’s father) revealed what the roadside hides: carefully manicured gardens; pools cut into the sprawling grounds; a palm house and a chapel; and a grand main building with gleaming wings

www.ft.com/content/1e44...

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7 hours ago

Anyone surprised by this has no detailed understanding of the intellectual outlook and personal biographies of a large swathe of EU policymakers.

What you get from lack of curiosity in Whitehall about who their counterparts are in Brussels.

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12 hours ago
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Opinion | America needs immigrants as much as they need liberty’s blessings When a waiter of 20 years is deported, suddenly immigration has a face and gains complexity.

“Immigrants have created an enormous fiscal surplus for the US government … The $14.5 trillion in savings from immigrants is the equivalent of 33 percent of the total inflation-adjusted combined deficits from 1994 to 2023 without immigrants.” (gift article)

wapo.st/41bkSsZ

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16 hours ago
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NHS hospitals urged to reject £330m data platform part-owned by Trump ally The NHS Federated Data Platform is designed to collate information from across the service so hospitals can analyse it more easily and improve how care is delivered and supporters say it is already he...

news.sky.com/story/nhs-ho...

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16 hours ago
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FCC chair threatens to throttle news broadcasts over ‘hoaxes’ about Iran war Brendan Carr posts that he may cancel spectrum permits of ‘mainstream news’ outlets for ‘misleading’ coverage

Funny how all the "free speech" warriors go so quiet when actual state censorship comes along.

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

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18 hours ago
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Yes, an incoming illiberal and radical UK government would have absolute constitutional power Only good fortune has prevented previous governments from misusing our constitutional arrangements more than they did

An incoming Reform government would "focus on making change via executive orders rather than legislation, where possible"

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

As predicted last August on The Empty City blog:
emptycity.substack.com/p/yes-an-inc...

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18 hours ago
The possibly third constitutional super-power is the sheer range and wealth of discretionary powers of the government not under the Royal Prerogative but already existing under perhaps thousands of legislative provisions.

Some of these provisions under Acts of Parliament even allow ministers to change the law by ministerial discretion, as well as to issue statutory instruments and other instruments (such as statutory guidance) with legal effect.

Every successive government has added more of these provisions, even if they complained about them in opposition.

And it would be open to a government under the first constitutional super-power - the doctrine of parliamentary supremacy - to add even more of these powers

One suspects various “think-tanks” are already collating the discretionary powers that already exist, ready to arm - DOGE-style - an incoming radical and illiberal government.

Such an incoming government would not need to break the law - for the law already will provide almost all the powers such a government could want.

The legal powers for wide "executive orders" are already there, waiting to be (mis)used.

And the current government is doing nothing to guard against the risk of such future (mis)use by an illiberal government.

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11 hours ago
Brendan Carr, wearing glasses, a dark suit, and a red patterned tie, speaks into a microphone. A headline reads: "FCC Chair Threatens to Revoke Broadcasters’ Licenses Over War Coverage." Photo by Eric Lee for The New York Times.

Brendan Carr, the chairman of the FCC, threatened on Saturday to revoke broadcasters’ licenses over their coverage of the war with Iran. His comments came after President Trump criticized the news media’s coverage in a post on social media. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/14/w...

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11 hours ago
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F.C.C. Chair Threatens to Revoke Broadcasters’ Licenses Over War Coverage

Free speech under Trump www.nytimes.com/2026/03/14/w...

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1 day ago

They made them take down the videos because they would cause "reputational damage" to people like this young man, Nathan Cavanuagh, so definitely don't post this all over the internet with the name Nathan Cavanaugh attached, or this guy might suffer reputational damage. This guy, Nathan Cavanaugh.

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14 hours ago

Hard to believe this guy bankrupted a casino /s

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1 week ago

1/ Experts issued some pretty dire warnings about Trumpian tariffs and Brexit, and the result was not nearly as bad as it could have been.

Now they're issuing dire warnings about Iran.

A much smarter friend asked me how I was thinking about the difference.

My short answer: control.

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14 hours ago

Viktor Orbán’s home village is swimming in cash. So we hired a plane to take a look.

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15 hours ago
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Britain will not rejoin EU or set up customs union, Starmer’s top negotiator warns Exclusive: European affairs minister Nick Thomas-Symonds will tell idealogues on both sides of the Brexit debate that ‘alignment is not a dirty word’ as he seeks to embed a relationship reset with ‘ru...

On EU relations, the Government is engaged in a fundamental discussion with neither the EU nor the public but with itself and a straightjacket manifesto.

The vibes go back and forth but I really wouldn't be very convinced if I were in Brussels, Paris or Berlin

www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...

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13 hours ago

Trump broke it, he should fix it and no UK tax funding should be used to help in an illegal war.

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1 day ago
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Reeves tells the truth about Brexit – and the howls begin Rachel Reeves says Brexit harmed Britain’s economy. The resulting outrage shows how fragile the Brexit story has become

Rachel Reeves says Brexit damaged growth and pushed up prices.

The reaction from Brexit supporters has been predictably furious.

But the real story isn’t the outrage – it’s why Labour is saying this now.

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1 day ago

No worries, SG Rutte will come explain why this is actually a great thing and we definitely shouldn't get away from the US.

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1 day ago

Inside the Department of War are two wolves:

"We've shut down the Colleges of War because book learnings are woke, gay, and irrelevant to war fighting."

"How come no one told us the Strait is important, there are different kinds of Kurds, Iran is big, and air power historically doesn't win wars?"

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1 day ago
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At any other time in history; this would be news-worthy.

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1 day ago

I mean, ‘Believe in Brexit’ worked out so well that this actually makes perfect sense.

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1 day ago

A 2nd source, who has a background in intelligence, said Palantir probably has “a complete profile on the whole UK population. They have visibility into wildly different focus areas, yet their data is all condensed into one foreign supplier’s control/visibility.“

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1 day ago

Palantir has MASSIVE databases

It‘s expert at data scraping & aggregation

It is closely linked to 🇺🇸 CIA & Defence …and now a corrupt 🇺🇸 gov

“Palantir does not need to own the data or even have stewardship. They can extract, transform and exploit the metadata to build their own rich picture.”

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1 day ago
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Jared Kushner Solicits Funds for His Firm While Working as Mideast Envoy

Jared Kushner is cashing in on your government's influence. It’s the biggest conflict of interest in history, happening in broad daylight.

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1 day ago

His whole life, Trump has always had someone else around to bail him out of the messes he creates: his father, Allen Weisselberg, the "adults in the room" in his first term. Now all those protectors are gone and he is openly begging for someone to save him from his own folly.

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1 day ago

8 March: Trump tells UK not to send ships to the Gulf as "We don't need people that join Wars after we've already won".

14 March: Trump asks UK to "send ships to the area so that the Hormuz Strait will no longer be a threat".

It's a tragedy that so many lives hang on the whims of this angry child.

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1 day ago
Brendan Carr tweet: Broadcasters that are running hoaxes and news distortions - also known as the fake news - have a chance now to correct course before their license renewals come up.  

The law is clear.  Broadcasters must operate in the public interest, and they will lose their licenses if they do not. 

And frankly, changing course is in their own business interests since trust in legacy media has now fallen to an all time low of just 9% and are ratings disasters.

The American people have subsidized broadcasters to the tune of billions of dollars by providing free access to the nation’s airwaves. 

It is very important to bring trust back into media, which has earned itself the label of fake news.

When a political candidate is able to win a landslide election victory after in the face of hoaxes and distortions, there is something very wrong.  It means the public has lost faith and confidence in the media.  And we can’t allow that to happen.

Time for change!

Trump "Truth":

Yet again, an intentionally misleading headline by the Fake News Media about the five tanker planes that were supposedly struck down at an Airport in Saudi Arabia, and of no further use. In actuality, the Base was hit a few days ago, but the planes were not “struck” or “destroyed.” Four of the five had virtually no damage, and are already back in service. One had slightly more damage, but will be in the air shortly. None were destroyed, or close to that, as the Fake News said in headlines. The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal (in particular), and other Lowlife “Papers” and Media actually want us to lose the War. Their terrible reporting is the exact opposite of the actual facts! They are truly sick and demented people that have no idea the damage they cause the United States of America. Fortunately, as proven by our Great and Conclusive Election Win in 2024, the People of our Country understand what is happening far better than the Fake News Media! President DONALD J. TRUMP

FCC to journalists: cover the Iran war the way the president prefers or lose your broadcast license.

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1 day ago

If Trump wants assistance from the EU and China make him pay. That’s what he would do to you. Don’t let him sell Ukraine to Putin.

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2 days ago
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Photovoltaic Plants with Battery Cheaper than Conventional Power Plants - Fraunhofer ISE The newest edition of the study by the Fraunhofer ISE on the electricity generation costs of various power plants shows that photovoltaic systems now produce electricity much more cheaply than either ...

In Germany Fraunhofer analysis shows that photovoltaic systems now produce electricity much more cheaply than either coal or gas-fired power plants, even in combination with battery storage. www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/press-med...

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1 day ago
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war seems to be going to plan!

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2 days ago
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One ship loaded with solar PV is now worth more to the grid than 120 coal-carriers Technology gains mean that one ship load of solar PV panels is now worth more to the grid than 120 coal carriers, or 57 LNG tankers.

A single ship load of solar PV – which can ultimately deliver 170 terawatt hours of PV once installed, is now worth 120 coal carries, or 57 LNG tankers. reneweconomy.com.au/one-ship-loa...

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