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Rafe Meager (they/them)

@economeager.bsky.social

Aspiring wastrel, applied econometrician. At http://rachaelmeager.com for bayes, dev econ and meta science. Also at http://rottenandgood.substack.com for writing, art, death and emotions. Gay academic nonbinary weirdo, cursed to be serious in life.

17,886 Followers  |  2,878 Following  |  11,724 Posts  |  Joined: 19.04.2023
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Posts by Rafe Meager (they/them) (@economeager.bsky.social)

Thank u πŸ™πŸ»

04.03.2026 23:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No no I’m out of the game now. He’s lost me I’m afraid

04.03.2026 23:44 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

WELL EXACTLY

what could possess someone who should be our brother in arms to behave in this way [writing terrible article carrying water for the idea of our destruction]

could it be his rage and jealousy at the gen z femboys>????? is this about ageing????

04.03.2026 14:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

thank you rob πŸ’™

04.03.2026 13:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

i came out as queer in a weekly-churchgoing roman catholic family while attending catholic school in the year 2002 and let me tell you that was a fucking picnic compared to this, there's no possible comparison

04.03.2026 10:21 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

you can take it from me, almost everyone in society would prefer that you be a masc cis lesbian or femme cis gay man rather than a trans person, and the way they treat you when they are forced to confront the fact that you're trans leaves you in zero doubt about that

04.03.2026 10:19 β€” πŸ‘ 63    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
It was in those spaces, in the late 2010s, that I realized that the fundamentalist Christians I’d grown up with weren’t the only people enforcing rigid ideas about how others should think. After arriving in New York with mainstream Democratic views, I took classes heavy on critical theories that fixated on identity categories and reflexively decried capitalism and the West. Within influential LGBTQ organizations, gay rights had given way to radical queer politics, and academic theories about sex and gender had hardened into doctrine. Widespread revulsion toward Donald Trump had narrowed the boundaries of permissible discussion on the left. The more Trump and his followers opposed something, the more we were supposed to support it. The prevailing view was that any debate within our side would become ammunition for the right.

It was in those spaces, in the late 2010s, that I realized that the fundamentalist Christians I’d grown up with weren’t the only people enforcing rigid ideas about how others should think. After arriving in New York with mainstream Democratic views, I took classes heavy on critical theories that fixated on identity categories and reflexively decried capitalism and the West. Within influential LGBTQ organizations, gay rights had given way to radical queer politics, and academic theories about sex and gender had hardened into doctrine. Widespread revulsion toward Donald Trump had narrowed the boundaries of permissible discussion on the left. The more Trump and his followers opposed something, the more we were supposed to support it. The prevailing view was that any debate within our side would become ammunition for the right.

For a long time, I feared that if I didn’t keep my thoughts to myself, I would lose the only community I’d ever really belonged in. As controversy flared up nationally about pediatric gender medicine, though, I started voicing concerns, rooted in my own experiences, over what looked to me like a rush to medical treatment. For all the sloganeering about protecting trans kids, I heard no discussion about protecting effeminate gay boys from unnecessary medicalization. When I and others asked whether progressive norms might be nudging effeminate gay boys to think of themselves as girls, no one wanted to hear it. Instead of answers, we were given the LGBTQ community’s official line. β€œGender identity and sexual orientation are two different things,” the Human Rights Campaign asserts. But the confidence with which people claim that the two have nothing to do with each other is hard to square with research findings: According to data collected mostly before the recent surge in pediatric-dysphoria diagnoses, most prepubescent children who experienced gender distress went on to experience same-sex attraction and ultimately did not pursue a gender transition. Of 70 adolescents whom Dutch clinicians subjected to puberty suppression from 2000 to 2008, the overwhelming majority were attracted exclusively to people of their biological sex.

For a long time, I feared that if I didn’t keep my thoughts to myself, I would lose the only community I’d ever really belonged in. As controversy flared up nationally about pediatric gender medicine, though, I started voicing concerns, rooted in my own experiences, over what looked to me like a rush to medical treatment. For all the sloganeering about protecting trans kids, I heard no discussion about protecting effeminate gay boys from unnecessary medicalization. When I and others asked whether progressive norms might be nudging effeminate gay boys to think of themselves as girls, no one wanted to hear it. Instead of answers, we were given the LGBTQ community’s official line. β€œGender identity and sexual orientation are two different things,” the Human Rights Campaign asserts. But the confidence with which people claim that the two have nothing to do with each other is hard to square with research findings: According to data collected mostly before the recent surge in pediatric-dysphoria diagnoses, most prepubescent children who experienced gender distress went on to experience same-sex attraction and ultimately did not pursue a gender transition. Of 70 adolescents whom Dutch clinicians subjected to puberty suppression from 2000 to 2008, the overwhelming majority were attracted exclusively to people of their biological sex.

Straightforward right-wing agitprop. The idea that thousands of kids were pushed into gender-affirming surgeries because the left shuts down debate is a laughable conspiracy theory. The overwhelming social pressure is to be cis, not trans!

03.03.2026 21:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2051    πŸ” 229    πŸ’¬ 26    πŸ“Œ 25

exactly this! trans rights and greater trans acceptance makes things better and easier for gender non-conforming cis people, and vice versa -- because all transness is fundamentally gender non-conforming, the two struggles are profoundly intertwined

04.03.2026 10:16 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It's ultimately just "they're recruiting your kids!" over and over again forever

03.03.2026 21:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1138    πŸ” 90    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 3

i wind up tweeting this basically every time there's an article like this, but the fundamental thing to me: ask yourself whether you earnestly believe there's more social pressure to be trans, or more social pressure to be cis. it's actually a super easy one!

04.03.2026 03:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1090    πŸ” 213    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 2

i got souuuuul but i'm not a sooooooldierrrr

04.03.2026 10:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Discount Shanghai with CTE !!!!! 😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭

04.03.2026 04:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

H8 how correct this is

04.03.2026 00:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Our two dudes book club is on a generational run right now (Aeschylus, Herodotus, Truman Capote) cc @mostlyinane.quest

04.03.2026 00:54 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

People love passion and enthusiasm !

04.03.2026 00:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

TRULY

03.03.2026 14:00 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

oh my god you are so right i did not even think of that

03.03.2026 13:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

came here to say this lol

but i also use this very sparingly because i am stressed what if the person replied again with an update in the meantime and my scheduled email appears nonsensical post update!!!!

03.03.2026 13:53 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

turned into bones is a pretty good working concept for it...... "what are they feeling" is the right question..... she's on it.....

03.03.2026 13:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I heard there was a secret code
That purged effects of survey mode
But you don’t really care for bias, do ya

03.03.2026 12:32 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

HELL YES

03.03.2026 13:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

very understandable πŸ’™

03.03.2026 12:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

"Richard! Stop hiding under a cache-misère of your own mythology! We have guests!"

03.03.2026 09:50 β€” πŸ‘ 209    πŸ” 39    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

a lunar eclipse is happening

03.03.2026 11:12 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

your pic is soooo much better than the 10 i took damn 🫑

03.03.2026 12:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

boo hiss indeed!!!

03.03.2026 12:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

have i got the paper for you github.com/rmeager/pdfs...

03.03.2026 12:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

awww sorry u didnt see. tho i am sure living in the dandenongs has many good parts.

03.03.2026 12:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

did it abate at all??? <3

03.03.2026 11:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

no

03.03.2026 11:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0