Greg Smith's Avatar

Greg Smith

@gregsmithpolls.bsky.social

Associate Director, Religion Research @pewresearch.org Posting about issues at the intersection of religion and public life

1,978 Followers  |  201 Following  |  36 Posts  |  Joined: 22.09.2023  |  2.1147

Latest posts by gregsmithpolls.bsky.social on Bluesky

Post image

Is there a new embrace of religion among the young? News reports have found examples of flourishing young congregations. But Pew national polls find stability over last 5 years and some decline among the young. Some perspective. charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/religion-a...

09.12.2025 18:22 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

At the same time, today's youngest adults are at least as religious - if not moreso - than the second youngest adults.

But this isn't the first time we've seen this pattern, with young people entering adulthood just as religious as their predecessors before gradually diverging.

pewrsr.ch/4pKHIC7

08.12.2025 21:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Our new study takes a close look at religion among young adults. It shows that young adults in the U.S. today

1) Are less religious than older people
2) Are less religious than young people were a decade ago
3) Have not become more religious in recent years

pewrsr.ch/4pKHIC7

08.12.2025 19:24 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

New report takes a fresh look at religion trends in the U.S. In 2025 data, key measures of religiousness continue to hold steady:

pewrsr.ch/4pKHIC7

08.12.2025 19:19 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Hi! BLACK AND CATHOLIC is available from @undpress.bsky.social or your favorite retailer!

06.12.2025 17:22 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Americans increasingly see legal sports betting as a bad thing for society and sports Today, 43% of U.S. adults say the fact that sports betting is now legal in much of the country is a bad thing for society, up from 34% in 2022.

% of US men under 30 who say legal sports betting is a *bad thing* for society

22% in 2022
47% in 2025

No other demographic group has seen a bigger increase.

02.10.2025 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3737    πŸ” 811    πŸ’¬ 173    πŸ“Œ 411
Post image

U.S. Catholics are still getting to know Pope Leo XIV. But they like what they've seen so far.

pewrsr.ch/46j5YDo

12.09.2025 14:46 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
In an experiment, Pew Research Center demonstrated that opt-in and probability-based surveys produced very different results about young adults' views of the Holocaust and abortion.

In an experiment, Pew Research Center demonstrated that opt-in and probability-based surveys produced very different results about young adults' views of the Holocaust and abortion.

Remember, if you encounter what seems like an implausible survey finding, ask:
1. Were survey respondents selected randomly or was this an opt-in poll?
2. Could the results, especially for young adults, be driven by bogus respondents?

Keep this post in mind: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/... πŸ§ͺ

08.09.2025 18:42 β€” πŸ‘ 259    πŸ” 115    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 5
Post image

Core measures of religiousness, by decade born

From @pewresearch.org's 2023-24 Religious Landscape Study

Read more: pewrsr.ch/3EXnfrS

05.09.2025 19:15 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
What the data says about immigrants in the U.S. As of June 2025, the country’s foreign-born population had shrunk by more than a million people, marking its first decline since the 1960s.

The U.S. immigrant population grew at a record-breaking pace throughout the past few years but has shrunk since January, marking its first decline since the 1960s.

www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

21.08.2025 14:15 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Bar chart showing that in a 2022 Pew Research Center survey, 77% of U.S. adults said churches and other houses of worship should not come out in favor of one political candidate over another.

Bar chart showing that in a 2022 Pew Research Center survey, 77% of U.S. adults said churches and other houses of worship should not come out in favor of one political candidate over another.

With the IRS planning to let churches endorse political candidates, past surveys show that a majority of Americans oppose the idea. In 2022, 77% of US adults – including 84% of Democrats and 70% of Republicans – said churches shouldn't endorse candidates. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

10.07.2025 18:19 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Does the CES accurately reflect America’s religious landscape? – Cooperative Election Study Blog

it's been 10 years since the last @pewresearch.org Religious Landscape Study, but the release of a new study gave Caroline Soler a chance to see how the CES stacked up against this benchmark. overall, the surveys produce very similar portraits of religion in America!
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

18.06.2025 16:45 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

New @pewresearch.org report takes a deep look at Catholic life in U.S. It finds

20% of U.S. adults are Catholic (religiously speaking)
9% are "cultural Catholics"
9% are former Catholics
9% are connected to Catholicism in other ways (through spouse, parent, etc.)

Much more: pewrsr.ch/4eaMtk2

16.06.2025 18:04 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
The Bible Society recently published a report claiming that church attendance in England and Wales increased by more than half between 2018 and 2024. The revival was especially striking among young men, with reported church attendance jumping from 4% to 21% over this short period.

As a quantitative social scientist who has studied religious change in modern societies for more than 25 years, I’m surprised – and sceptical. I do not doubt that the Bible Society acted in good faith, but they haven’t engaged with the mountain of evidence, some of it very recent, pointing to religious decline.

The annual British Social Attitudes survey – widely regarded as the best and most reliable source of data on such matters – shows that the share of adults in England and Wales who said that they were Christian and went to church at least monthly fell by nearly a quarter (from 12.2% to 9.3%) between 2018 and 2023, the last year available. The Bible Society surveys suggest that churchgoers were 8% of the adult population in 2018 and 12% in 2024.

The main Christian denominations (Anglican, Catholic, Methodist, Baptist) conduct and publish their own attendance counts every year. Those show that while churchgoing continues to rebound from the lows of the COVID lockdown, attendance at worship services remains substantially lower than it was in 2019, before the pandemic. In the Church of England, average weekly attendance is down about 20% from pre-pandemic levels, and the story is similar in other denominations.

The Bible Society recently published a report claiming that church attendance in England and Wales increased by more than half between 2018 and 2024. The revival was especially striking among young men, with reported church attendance jumping from 4% to 21% over this short period. As a quantitative social scientist who has studied religious change in modern societies for more than 25 years, I’m surprised – and sceptical. I do not doubt that the Bible Society acted in good faith, but they haven’t engaged with the mountain of evidence, some of it very recent, pointing to religious decline. The annual British Social Attitudes survey – widely regarded as the best and most reliable source of data on such matters – shows that the share of adults in England and Wales who said that they were Christian and went to church at least monthly fell by nearly a quarter (from 12.2% to 9.3%) between 2018 and 2023, the last year available. The Bible Society surveys suggest that churchgoers were 8% of the adult population in 2018 and 12% in 2024. The main Christian denominations (Anglican, Catholic, Methodist, Baptist) conduct and publish their own attendance counts every year. Those show that while churchgoing continues to rebound from the lows of the COVID lockdown, attendance at worship services remains substantially lower than it was in 2019, before the pandemic. In the Church of England, average weekly attendance is down about 20% from pre-pandemic levels, and the story is similar in other denominations.

What could be the problem with the data?
Gold standard social surveys are based on random (probability) samples of the population: everyone has a chance to be included. The British Social Attitudes survey is one such example – and found that churchgoing fell by nearly a quarter from 2018-23.

By contrast, people opt in to YouGov’s survey panel and are rewarded after completing a certain number of surveys. The risk of low-quality or even bogus responses is considerable.

YouGov creates a quota sample from its large self-selected panel. The sample will match the population on a number of key characteristics, such as age and sex, but that does not make it representative in all respects. As quota samples do not give each person in the population a known chance of being selected, statistical inference is not possible and findings cannot be reliably generalised.

To write (as in the Bible Society report) that because thousands of people participated in the two surveys, they β€œgive a 1% margin of error at a 99% confidence level” is misleading.

This study is not the first time such non-probability sampling has led to dubious findings. In late 2023, the Economist ran the story that one in five young Americans believed that the Holocaust was a myth, based on another YouGov poll. A study by the Pew Research Center showed that that finding was almost certainly fallacious, and the Economist added a disclaimer acknowledging the problem.

What could be the problem with the data? Gold standard social surveys are based on random (probability) samples of the population: everyone has a chance to be included. The British Social Attitudes survey is one such example – and found that churchgoing fell by nearly a quarter from 2018-23. By contrast, people opt in to YouGov’s survey panel and are rewarded after completing a certain number of surveys. The risk of low-quality or even bogus responses is considerable. YouGov creates a quota sample from its large self-selected panel. The sample will match the population on a number of key characteristics, such as age and sex, but that does not make it representative in all respects. As quota samples do not give each person in the population a known chance of being selected, statistical inference is not possible and findings cannot be reliably generalised. To write (as in the Bible Society report) that because thousands of people participated in the two surveys, they β€œgive a 1% margin of error at a 99% confidence level” is misleading. This study is not the first time such non-probability sampling has led to dubious findings. In late 2023, the Economist ran the story that one in five young Americans believed that the Holocaust was a myth, based on another YouGov poll. A study by the Pew Research Center showed that that finding was almost certainly fallacious, and the Economist added a disclaimer acknowledging the problem.

England is experiencing a churchgoing revival, according to a recent report based on nonprobability polls.

David Voas is skeptical. He explains that probability-based survey data doesn't point to a revival. Nor does data from Christian denominations.
theconversation.com/is-there-rea...

16.06.2025 17:17 β€” πŸ‘ 47    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 7

Hi Sam, is there something particular you need? We do our best to make our data publicly available while also doing our best to protect respondent privacy!

13.06.2025 19:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Today at noon! @sssreligion.bsky.social is hosting a webinar on "From Francis to Leo XIV: Looking into a Post "Who Am I to Judge?" Catholic Church" feat. 2024 Student Paper Award winner Fr. Lucas Sharma S.J. w/ Tia Noelle Pratt & Tricia Bruce, moderated by Ariela Keysar.

04.06.2025 13:00 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Come work with me!

03.06.2025 17:46 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Experiences of LGBTQ Americans Today How lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and queer adults view the impact of Obergefell and social acceptance for LGBTQ people more broadly 10 years after the Supreme Court decision legalizing same-sex...

Today we released a major @pewresearch.org survey of LGBTQ adults looking at:

▢️ Views of social acceptance for LGBTQ people
▢️ Personal experiences with acceptance, discrimination
▢️ Experiences with coming out
▢️ Identity
▢️ Community, friends and LGBTQ spaces

Read on for findings from each section.

29.05.2025 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 47    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 6
Post image

Interested in trends in the makeup of the US Catholic population?

20% of U.S. adults are Catholic, a figure that's been stable for years.

A growing share are Latinos, and upwards of 4-in-10 Catholics are immigrants or the children of immigrants.

Much more from @pewresearch.org pewrsr.ch/3VRqirS

09.05.2025 13:58 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Americans’ Trust in One Another Americans trust each other less than they did a few decades ago. We explore why this is, and why some are more trusting than others.

We took a broad look at social trust in America today. With a survey of almost 37,000 people we were able to look at levels of trust across the states and even in metro areas. Check out our new report here www.pewresearch.org/SocialTrust

08.05.2025 14:44 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
Post image

New @pewresearch.org

60% of US Catholics say the Church should be more inclusive even if that means changing some teachings. 37% say Church should stick to traditional teachings even if gets smaller.

Big differences on this & other questions by Mass attendance.

Much more pewrsr.ch/44AA8mv

30.04.2025 18:27 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
White evangelicals continue to stand out in their support for Trump Most White evangelicals (72%) say they approve of how Trump is doing as president. Other religious groups are more divided or disapprove.

NEW: White evangelicals continue to stand out in their support for Trump, including 72% who approve of the way Trump is currently handling his job as president.

Here's how White evangelicals and other major U.S. religious groups view the second Trump administration.
pewrsr.ch/42L6bNS

28.04.2025 18:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
Faith Angle Forum: A New US Religious Landscape
YouTube video by The Aspen Institute Faith Angle Forum: A New US Religious Landscape

You can watch Alan Cooperman of @pewresearch.org β€˜s opening presentation at Faith Angle Miami here youtu.be/yYM75CDZ4m0?...

24.04.2025 18:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Our recent post includes our latest info on the size of the U.S. Catholic population and data about their demographics, beliefs and practices.

One interesting finding - more than four-in-ten U.S. Catholics are immigrants (29%) or the children of immigrants (14%).

Much more here: pewrsr.ch/3VRqirS

22.04.2025 13:16 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Catholicism at a Crossroads Offers a big picture analysis of American CatholicismThe Catholic Church is at a crossroads. In the United States alone there are many challenges facing the ...

New @nyupress.bsky.social book is "the latest in a series of important sociological overviews drawing on nation-wide surveys administered every six years, Catholicism at a Crossroads charts this new era of Catholic worship, belonging, and identity in America today." nyupress.org/978147983218...

12.04.2025 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Nonreligion and the Pew Religious Landscape Study

In this webinar, Gregory A. Smith (Pew Research Center) will discuss findings from the Pew Religious Landscape Study 2023-2024, followed by commentary from Kati Tervo-NiemelΓ€ (University of Eastern Finland), Peter Beyer (University of Ottawa), and Ryan Cragun (University of Tampa).
 
Date: April 22, 2025
Time: 11:00 am ET

Nonreligion and the Pew Religious Landscape Study In this webinar, Gregory A. Smith (Pew Research Center) will discuss findings from the Pew Religious Landscape Study 2023-2024, followed by commentary from Kati Tervo-NiemelΓ€ (University of Eastern Finland), Peter Beyer (University of Ottawa), and Ryan Cragun (University of Tampa). Date: April 22, 2025 Time: 11:00 am ET

Register now for our upcoming webinar where @gregsmithpolls.bsky.social (Pew Research) will discuss findings from the Pew Religious Landscape Study 2023-2024, with comments by Kati Tervo-NiemelΓ€, Peter Beyer, and Ryan Cragun

Date: Apr. 22
Time: 11 am ET

Register uottawa-ca.zoom.us/meeting/regi...

10.04.2025 14:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

New on the ARDA: American Trends Panel Wave 99 β€” Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Human Enhancement

This survey concentrates on public views about six developments related to AI applications and human enhancements.

Dive into the dataset at thearda.com/data-archive?fid=ATPW99.

25.03.2025 20:12 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
How a glitch in an online survey replaced the word β€˜yes’ with β€˜forks’ Dating back to at least early 2023, a bizarre and alarming technical glitch started popping up in some organizations’ online surveys and forms.

Last year we encountered a strange glitch in one of our surveys…the word β€œyes” was being replaced with the word β€œforks” in response options. Read on to learn how we unraveled what was causing it, how we ensured it didn’t impact the data quality, and what to do if it happens to you!

21.03.2025 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 67    πŸ” 28    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 13
Preview
How a glitch in an online survey replaced the word β€˜yes’ with β€˜forks’ Dating back to at least early 2023, a bizarre and alarming technical glitch started popping up in some organizations’ online surveys and forms.

You probably don't often turn to the survey methodology world for a good detective story, but here is one from my colleague Anna Brown pewrsr.ch/4isAu2s

21.03.2025 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 94    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 21

I really enjoyed this discussion.

Just noting that the public use dataset from the 2023-24 RLS is available for download www.pewresearch.org/dataset/2023...

A "restricted" file with more granular religious and geographic variables is under review & will be available soon through ICPSR.

14.03.2025 17:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@gregsmithpolls is following 19 prominent accounts