Seth Stafford's Avatar

Seth Stafford

@sethts.bsky.social

Deep Learning practitioner, enterprise software, math PhD, piano enthusiast, omnivorous reader

64 Followers  |  284 Following  |  37 Posts  |  Joined: 09.12.2023  |  2.1766

Latest posts by sethts.bsky.social on Bluesky


Preview
ELIZA - Wikipedia

I like it!!

The traditional term is ELIZA ... and the plausibility is the ELIZA effect.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ELIZA

17.07.2025 04:31 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How does this 'civic hero' promotion happen outside the US? Are there any good models to learn from?

03.06.2025 23:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Which scientific 'civic heroes' do you have in mind?

Carl Sagan comes to mind for me, but is that the type?

We do have Neil deGrasse Tyson as a Sagan-like communicator. But maybe a 'civic hero' needs enough purely scientific clout to be a cultural conscience?

Jonas Salk?

03.06.2025 23:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, reflexivity is an important idea. Soros' own efforts at developing it are underwhelming, though.

What's needed is something more akin to 'second quantization' of interacting agents. A big ask, obv!

31.05.2025 18:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Gish Gallop works because of the Dopeler effect!

16.02.2025 21:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I am invoking Brandolini's Law until further notice.
en.wikipedia.org/wik...

10.01.2025 01:55 β€” πŸ‘ 415    πŸ” 56    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 12
Post image

At first I thought this was Changeux's book with Connes.

15.02.2025 01:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Blue states: run to the courts for injunctive relief for all.

Red states: run to T/V admin contacts to make a deal (offer bribes) to get exceptions.

Guess which strategy will work with Sulla/Musk running DC?

10.02.2025 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I can relate ... "The Network State" is appalling Ayn Rand fan-fic ... but it deeply influences the T/V admin now siccing Sulla/Musk/DOGE on us.

If you can't take Balaji's semi-psychotic confabulations, you can get the main ideas from @gilduran.com

Start here: www.thenerdreich.com/reboot-elon-...

10.02.2025 19:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

We’re told DOGE is just a new Truman Senate Committee of the 1940’s. But Congress is dysfunctional (by design) so … oh well … we just *need* to let DOGE restructure the govt without consulting Congress.

08.02.2025 16:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œFire every scientist and send them to teach middle school”

Right out of Mao’s Cultural Revolution playbook.

Took a while to recover from that. Though China is doing rather well now … half a century later. No thanks to Mao.

08.02.2025 05:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The T/V admin is feeding the whole govt into the DOGE wood chipper … most importantly Congress itself.

Musk is taking the law into his own hands because Congress has been deadlocked on budget matters for decades. So he is in a mad rush to smash as much as he can before the law catches up with him.

08.02.2025 04:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

"The press's failure to connect these dots isn't just a journalistic oversight β€” it's a critical missed warning about the systematic dismantling of democratic governance." πŸ‘ πŸ‘ πŸ‘

06.02.2025 01:30 β€” πŸ‘ 88    πŸ” 47    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 3

It's a mad rush because they know they are breaking the law.

Congress is dysfunctional, won't make deep cuts, so they're taking the law into their own hands. Just stop payments, fire all the staff, and scram before Congress & the Courts catch up.

Good luck rebuilding what they have smashed.

06.02.2025 05:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | There Is No Going Back The president’s opponents, whoever they are, cannot expect a return to the Constitution as it was.

Yeah so the Constitution isn’t really in effect right now

05.02.2025 12:49 β€” πŸ‘ 28751    πŸ” 6510    πŸ’¬ 1391    πŸ“Œ 584

i have long felt that self-described "constitutional conservatives" were just subjects looking for a tyrant and they found him

05.02.2025 18:47 β€” πŸ‘ 7422    πŸ” 1016    πŸ’¬ 117    πŸ“Œ 23
President Trump and the Power of the Purse
YouTube video by Takesβ„’ by Jamelle Bouie President Trump and the Power of the Purse

new video up on the youtube page (adapting my column last week) www.youtube.com/watch?v=AgPh...

05.02.2025 18:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1030    πŸ” 174    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 10

Snipping one part of this to again note: it seems very few members of Congress realize what their lives are going to be like in the near future when Trump/Musk rip out some of these gears that run the America machine. They will face angry mobs everywhere they go, including their homes.

04.02.2025 00:55 β€” πŸ‘ 2303    πŸ” 748    πŸ’¬ 81    πŸ“Œ 87
Preview
Opinion | The Lost Tradition That Explains Trump’s Obsession With the Panama Canal (Gift Article) Inside the lost tradition in American foregin policy that explains the president’s overseas obsessions.

Cynthia, try this link: www.nytimes.com/2025/02/02/o...

03.02.2025 00:19 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image Post image

When I was a Hill staffer in 2009, a Dem trifecta was trying to pass universal healthcare. In response, Senate GOP released a memo detailing all of the tactics they in the minority could use to delay the effort as much as possible. I'm recirculating that 2009 GOP memo here. Take inspiration from it.

02.02.2025 17:33 β€” πŸ‘ 46751    πŸ” 19495    πŸ’¬ 1248    πŸ“Œ 1831

Thread: Tariffs are useful to protect strategic industries like steel, semiconductor, aluminum from unfair foreign competition. But Trump is imposing these on nondurable goods (cucumbers, tomatoes, avocados) and on allies making Americans pay more for groceries. Some questions:

02.02.2025 22:41 β€” πŸ‘ 147    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 38    πŸ“Œ 3

It's gone until it is defended.

R congress will stand by and watch Congress become irrelevant. Dems will sue, some judges will issue injunctions. Federalist Court will dodge, delay, eventually 5/4 vote on "um maybe not ALL of this is ok".

Then T/V Show will pull an Andrew Jackson and defy SCOTUS.

02.02.2025 22:29 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | The Lost Tradition That Explains Trump’s Obsession With the Panama Canal Inside the lost tradition in American foregin policy that explains the president’s overseas obsessions.

Super smart analysis of Trump's approach to foreign policy by historian @jenmittelstadt.bsky.social. Trump is not a dovish isolationist. He's carrying forward a 100+ year tradition of US "sovereignty politics" that is often quite belligerent vis a vis other nations.
www.nytimes.com/2025/02/02/o...

02.02.2025 15:57 β€” πŸ‘ 89    πŸ” 35    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Elon’s Twitter Destruction Playbook Hits The US Government, And It’s Even More Dangerous Remember how Elon Musk destroyed Twitter by ripping apart its infrastructure without understanding it? Now imagine that same playbook applied to the federal government. It’s happening, and th…

Frustrated there's not more I can do directly, but for now I can just try to document reality. Elon is bringing his Twitter destruction playbook to the US government, and it's impossible to explain just how serious and bad this is.

www.techdirt.com/2025/01/31/e...

01.02.2025 00:06 β€” πŸ‘ 2513    πŸ” 941    πŸ’¬ 83    πŸ“Œ 80

He reminds me a bit of Porfirio Diaz. Minus any military competence.

31.01.2025 17:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If Musk and DOGE take the fall here, it would be richly deserved. But it would also be just what Stephen Miller wants and the hard core MAGA xenophobes would have more leverage. With so many malevolent people in the mix, hard to know which clique is the worst.

30.01.2025 05:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Yeah, how about not dissolving the air safety advisory commission at the FAA. As your team did last week.

30.01.2025 03:32 β€” πŸ‘ 49214    πŸ” 12010    πŸ’¬ 1254    πŸ“Œ 594
Post image

Rhinos. Not RINO-s, but the RhinocΓ©roses of Ionesco's play.

26.01.2025 17:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, very entertaining. You should do an update ... so much has happened since 2015. Not least the later career of TheresaMay ;)

23.01.2025 18:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks for the link to Snowdon's essay ... I was about to reply with a similar objection to 'what is it like'. I enjoy Nagel's work, but I wonder if even *he* has gotten sick of being known just for this one slogan. Ditto Chalmers and his 'hard problem'.

23.01.2025 17:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@sethts is following 20 prominent accounts