Dj

We still don't have a ton of eday, but what we do have in Tarrant is Talarico +25 while the combined EV was Crockett +13

The fact that Crockett came so close here is kind of a testament to how bizarre the results were

He underperformed almost everywhere except for

1) his home base
2) her home base

where he put up mammoth overperformances worth a ton of votes

Talarico narrowly won Guadalupe (pending provisionals) after doing a decent bit better with EDay votes

Jefferson County fully reported

EDay: Crockett +54.8
EV: Crockett +61.4

This is apparently 35/37 vote centers in Galveston

Very EV heavy, but Talarico is winning EDay with 57% vs 50.3% in the EV

Still kinda stunned by how bad her Dallas EV result was

I thought +40 would be pretty weak for her, and she ended up with half that margin

this race could go to a runoff omg

Similar story in Smith, Talarico doing better on eday

very much in line with what we would have expected but good to see more confirmation of it

Galveston's getting some eday in, and so far Talarico is well outperforming his EV margin

These are votes that were cast on friday or earlier, we have nothing from today yet yeah

FWIW I thought Crockett needed to be around +50 in the Dallas EV in a neutral result

Incredible that Crockett lost because of a massive underperformance in her home metro

DFW absolutely smoked her

Meanwhile Talarico +a zillion in Travis

Oh that's awful EV for Crockett in Dallas

Tarrant's first eday report!

It has 0 eday votes!

jail! guillotine! stoning!

Hidalgo EV is very good for Talarico

wtf????

Crockett could net anywhere from 70-100k from Dallas EV, like the EV feels very close to me lmao

most counties don't start reporting eday until 2+ hours after EV drops, and even then some start with really small drops

Now I've said over and over that I think Talarico is likely to do better in the urban counties on EDay, but 1) let's make sure, and 2) we have no clue how much better even if he does

I don't totally get the idea that Talarico is going to landslide when we don't have any EDay yet

Since Dallas hasn't reported its EV, Talarico is only "really" up a couple points in the cumulative EV

Lowkey very flop for Talarico, though we'll need to see if there's an EV/EDay split

def need to wait for EDay on this one though

Fairly close, but I think probably good enough for Menefee

The Edwards voters are sending me given that she withdrew

Bexar needs to stop ragebaiting and drop it's EV immediately

Crenshaw lost lmao

MontCo EV is almost Toth +30

MontCo EV is Talarico +21.5 (I'm in there!)

I don't think Cornyn is anywhere close to where he'd want to be in the EV so far

I'd like to have some election day vote to confirm the ev/EDay split

Humiliating for Hunt

2020 runoff for Sen nominee against Royce West

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