Dj

I don’t think so, it’s pretty consistently #2 bluest behind Austin

Yeah, I think that would cause confusion and delays, but it shouldn’t kill turnout

You might be frustrated but you can quickly look up the correct polling location after finding out it’s not where you thought

Just got 3pm in Dallas and it's not great at all

Travis isn’t beating expectations just performing best relative to everyone else 🤪

We haven’t had an update since 11 so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Bexar
32,458 D (63%)
19,141 R (37%)

2/3 of eday done and here's turnout through 3pm

Interested to see if Travis separates in the rest of voting

continuation of this graph

the 2pm-3pm hour saw turnout meaningfully accelerate again, putting the pace above Nov 2024

Bexar cumulative

Dem: 27,973 (63%)
Rep: 16,468 (37%)

slightly better hour for Rs, very curious to see the 4pm-finish window when Ds should do better

Turnout through 2PM

Definitely seems to have been some cannibalization in the extremely strong EV, but overall turnout continues to be fine

Relative to other counties I think Travis is doing well

This is really dismal turnout for Rs it’s kinda shocking

Bexar has R turnout already starting to fall off

Cumulative is 36925 votes, D+26.5

the last hour was D+28.4

Williamson as of 12:22 (ok sure)

D: 5030
R: 5219

lowkey Rs kinda flopping here, they will start getting outvoted soon

Sorry that Bexar udpate took seven years

Changed the point of comparison to the 2024 primary's eday, probably just for this one

Bexar cumulative partisanship
Dem: 19,011 (63%)
Rep: 11,139 (37%)

That hour was actually D+24, a little bluer than the previous hour

A @_fat_ugly_rat_ request

Travis EDay turnout comparison today vs Nov 2024

Without any info from Dallas, can’t really tell

Need relative turnout levels for that

In 2024, 11-12 was the hour that Travis started flopping horribly and so far it’s been their best by some distance

Harris should be a very close county in an even race so I don’t think we have a good sense of who turnout benefits

Also still too early to tell, they get lots of their vote in the final hours

Cumulative Bexar partisanship:

14601 D (63.3%)
8460 R (36.7%)

10-11 was D+20, which is probably where it’ll be for the next couple hours

Turnout today hasn’t been “break the 2008 record” levels yet - I’d call it fine so far

It’s been ramping up, so we’ll see what the afternoon hours bring

Turnout through 10am, also with an update from Harris 🙂‍↕️

till too early to get a read on turnout imo

each county had a crazy strong start in the first 15-20min, so even though 8am-9am was lower, the pace was better than 7:30-8

(McLennan isn't showing the hourly properly, just the total x_x)

Sorry in advance if I miss any questions or messages today

On top of EDay, it’s a fairly hectic and busy day for me personally (I’m probably gonna get home like 5 minutes before poll close 😵‍💫)

In the big cities we should expect stronger afternoon turnout (today at least)

During general elections it’s less clear because up to 80% of the vote is already cast in EV lol

Bexar was the first big county to give an update with partisan breakdowns

8AM:
TOTAL - 5,818
DEM - 3,889 (66.8%)
REP - 1,927 (33.2%)

EDay turnout through 8:30

We should theoretically expect Travis to be the strongest of these counties in the afternoon, so the better it keeps up in the morning would be encouraging for (relative) turnout there

don't get me wrong, surpassing 2020 in any capacity is very impressive for Ds here

but I don't want anyone wondering where the "missing" votes are tonight when we have similar numbers of total votes cast as the pres primary from 2020

I know we're a little past early voting at this point, but I still saw people posting yesterday about how Dem RGV turnout was like doubling or tripling the 2020 primary

That is completely untrue, and a product of comparing unlike things

Here's EV turnout as a % of 2020/2024

First full hour in Travis: 6337 votes