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I expect his usage to come down with a fully healthy Toronto team looking to compete.
He is basically just a flier pick to me, who I would consider if I was punting one or more of his bad categories.
Barrett’s dramatic value difference in points and categories has always impacted his ADP, and he is being drafted way too high per usual.
His limited 9cat fantasy game outside of points severely limits his value, and has had fringe standard league value in the past few seasons.
RJ Barrett 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 78
Fantrax: 98
ESPN: 90
My 9cat Target Range: 120-140
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 227th
Category Strengths: Points
Punt Pairings: FG%, FT%, Blocks, Steals, TO
I am worried about minutes & role, but if the minutes are high in the first week this will look like a no brainer pick in hindsight.
The ADPs implies that there’s not much interest in Huff. Whether Huff gets drafted in your league is a perfect measuring stick of competitiveness.
Huff is one of my favorite late round flier picks. It’s likely that he starts in Indiana and doesn’t have much competition unless Indiana opts to go small with Siakam & Toppin. Huff has elite per minute numbers and we should get a chance to see those numbers in a larger sample.
Jay Huff 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 139
Fantrax: 144
ESPN: 140
My 9cat Target Range: Priority Late Round Flier
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 277th
Category Strengths: Blocks, FG%, Threes, FT%
Punt Pairings: Steals, Points, Rebounds, Assists
Bane was traded to Orlando where he’ll move to be the third scoring option. Drafting at current ADPs is nearly drafting as if he’s still in Memphis. Bane will still be Bane, but you have to expect some notable regression for a player moving from option 1b to 3.
Desmond Bane 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 45
Fantrax: 43
ESPN: 46
My 9cat Target Range: 45-55
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 32nd
9cat Totals Rank 2024-25: 38th
Category Strengths: Threes, Points, Assists, FT%
Punt Pairings: Balanced, Blocks
Even if he got a long term extension, the Yahoo ADP is still too high. I expect those to come down after the contract news.
I honestly don’t see Cam Thomas as anything more than a flier pick. Even with everything going right the past 2 seasons, his value has been fringe.
I expect lower minutes, and many more missed games, if they don’t eventually pull him out of the rotation entirely. His fantasy game remains limited, and also relies on very high usage and the offense to be built around him to produce fringe fantasy value.
I don’t have much interest at all in Cam Thomas. Signing a minimum 1 year deal after failed long term contract negotiations is a huge red flag for his fantasy value. Playing for a bottom 5 team who has no future for you, will also have no incentive to gameplan around you.
Cam Thomas 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 77
Fantrax: 96
ESPN: 100
My 9cat Target Range: Late Round Flier
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 113th
9cat Totals Rank 2024-25:
Category Strengths: Points, Threes, FT%
Punt Pairings: FG%, Rebounds, Steals, Blocks
The ADPs have a wide range across the board. Yahoo is comical, Fantrax still too high, and ESPN is somehow the most reasonable one. I except them to be adjusted by draft day. There are plenty of upside shots I love in this draft range, but Markkanen is not one.
Markkanen provided top 20 per game value in 2 of the last 3 seasons, but his per game numbers were awful last season without much fall off in minutes. Having to worry about rested games AND questionable value per game are 2 red flags that are hard to for me to get past.
Markkanen could theoretically be really good this season, but it’s difficult for me to trust him with any significant amount of draft capital.
He only played 47 games last season. I think the random missed games won’t be as bad this season, but I can’t say that confidently.
Lauri Markkanen 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 44
Fantrax: 68
ESPN: 86
My 9cat Target Range: 70-90
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 93rd
9cat Totals Rank 2024-25: 173rd
Category Strengths: Threes, Points, Rebounds, FT%
Punt Pairings: Assists
If all goes right and he returns in January, there will be a long ramp up period, and it could be slow and frustrating as New Orleans will likely have nothing to play for. There is a chance he ramps up in time to be useful in fantasy playoffs, but the odds are slim it works out.
Murray is expected to return early 2026. He is a reasonable late pick at current Yahoo ADP, but only if your league has 3+ IL spots.
Dejounte Murray 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 125
Fantrax: 122
ESPN: 112
My 9cat Target Range: 120-156
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 66th
Category Strengths: Steals, Assists, Points, Threes
Punt Pairings: FG%, Blocks
McConnell is a high floor, low ceiling player you can consider at the end of drafts. He’s not an exciting pick, but he could last longer on your roster than a lot of other options in this range.
His production in Steals, Assists, and FG% is a rare and useful combination.
McConnell will benefit from increased opportunity with Haliburton out. Nembhard is the biggest beneficiary, but it’s also worth keeping an eye on McConnell, who only needs minutes in the low 20s to be rosterable.
TJ McConnell 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 132
Fantrax: 138
ESPN: 130
My 9cat Target Range: Deeper Late Round Flier
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 218th
Category Strengths: Assists, Steals, FG%
Punt Pairings: Points, Threes, Rebounds, Blocks
He signed a long term contract extension, and has a chance to bounce back this season. His role is far from safe, and there’s a chance of a trade, but there’s not much risk drafting him at current ADPs, and works incredibly well for certain 9cat builds if things go right.
Claxton has decent value at current ADPs. He fell off quite a lot last season as he looked disengaged, and saw his minutes fall as a result. For someone whose value is entirely dependent on effort stats like blocks and rebounds, his fantasy value took a huge hit.
Nicolas Claxton 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 106
Fantrax: 99
ESPN: 116
My 9cat Target Range: 95-115
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 132nd
9cat Totals Rank 2024-25: 98th
Category Strengths: Blocks, FG%, Rebounds
Punt Pairings: FT%, Threes, Points, Assists
Brunson has never shown anything to justify being drafted in round 2, and his value could get worse this season. The minutes could come down, and this is one of the worst ADP traps early in the draft.
Jalen Brunson 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook (THREAD)
ADPs
Yahoo: 22
Fantrax: 23
ESPN: 17
My 9cat Target Range: 35-45
9cat Per Game Rank 2024-25: 50th
9cat Totals Rank 2024-25: 56th
Category Strengths: Points, Assists, Threes, FT%
Punt Pairings: Rebounds, Blocks
Poeltl will destroy this number per game as we saw last season. I don’t think he’ll rest any games unless he’s actually injured, and the minutes still have room to rise. I’ll be targeting Poeltl way before any of his ADPs.
Poeltl admitted to us in training camp last year that Toronto was not trying to win games, and it led to a lot of egregious resting down the stretch.
Toronto seems confident with this roster to make a genuine push for the playoffs. There’s a lot of money committed to this core.
