Efe Tokdemir's Avatar

Efe Tokdemir

@efetokdemir.bsky.social

Assoc. Prof @bilkentuniv.bsky.social IR, Director of Research @cfppr.bsky.social, PhD @bingpolisci.bsky.social Research on peace&conflict processes, strategic use of force, foreign policy & public opinion, Türkiye www.efetokdemir.com

2,077 Followers  |  439 Following  |  38 Posts  |  Joined: 21.09.2023  |  1.8788

Latest posts by efetokdemir.bsky.social on Bluesky

And now, the paper is out @conflictmanagement.bsky.social

"Unique Offerings: Ideological Competition and Rebel Governance"

You can check it out:
journals.sagepub.com/eprint/QZV67...

28.10.2025 07:51 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

The article is in the issue @bjpir.bsky.social It is a timely piece to check out: Apparently, public concerns over human rights violations in foreign countries are highly strategic, based on political alliances rather than legal context (based on findings from experiments in USA, Germany, Türkiye)

23.10.2025 06:16 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

My department is further expanding:

Two open rank positions:
1) Open specialization:stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR2026

2) Historical approaches in IR:stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR202…

The positions come with perks incl. teaching reduction, free housing, and IB schooling options for children

17.10.2025 03:52 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
Preview
Unique offerings: Ideological competition and rebel governance - Seden Akcinaroglu, Jeremy Berkowitz, Carlos E. Moreno Leon, Sema Hande Ogutcu-Fu, Evgeny Sedashov, Efe Tokdemir, 2025 This study examines the factors influencing non-state armed actors’ (NSAAs) ability and willingness to implement rebel governance, with a focus on the group...

Grateful for the recognition of our article “Unique Offerings: Ideological Competition and Rebel Governance” by @apsa.bsky.social 2025 Conflict Section Best Paper Award.

It has recently become online first. If you are inquiring about rebel strategies, then:

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

15.09.2025 03:36 — 👍 9    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 1
Just a moment...

First, Latife Kınay-Kılıç, Ersel Aydınlı and @efetokdemir.bsky.social investigate how states respond to external support for rebel groups during civil wars, finding that strategic rivalry drives the most severe responses.

08.09.2025 12:49 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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My advisees Özge Karban and Deniz Özdemir have successfully defended their MA theses during the Summer 2025. Özge will pursue her PhD at PennState, and Deniz will do at Binghamton University

Keep an eye on them in the upcoming years - two great scholars in the making

Congratulations!

05.09.2025 14:27 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Based on a nationwide survey in Türkiye, we demonstrate how exposure to violence resulting from conflict conditions (i.e., involvement) and perceptions of state efficacy in security provision (i.e., blame attribution) shape trust in legacy vs. social media.

13.08.2025 10:49 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Our coauthored article with Seden Akçınaroğlu and
@efetokdemir.bsky.social is published online first in Media, War & Conflict. We explore the impact of exposure to conflict-related violence on trust in different media types regarding conflict-related information and news. @mwcjournal.bsky.social

13.08.2025 10:49 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Do sanction threats work? We find that threats—even if credibly backed—do not increase support for concessions in the target public (Turkiye case). Plus, positive inducements provoke backlash in some groups, highlighting coercive diplomacy’s limits

Check out our research note: shrturl.app/3l4wWJ

21.07.2025 11:45 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

Don’t forget to add our forum article into your reading list:

www.allazimuth.com/2024/11/25/f...

03.07.2025 09:06 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Our latest issue is now available! Check it out👇

www.allazimuth.com/issues/

02.07.2025 11:30 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 1

Saldırı ABD-İran nükleer görüşmeleriyle kesişti, ABD kamuoyu ve Trump da görüşmelerin olumlu sonuçlanabileceği düşüncesi vardı. ABD açıktan İsrail’e karşı çıkmaz, ama Trump’ın uzayan süreçlere ve alternatif planlara tahammülsüzlüğü ise bilindik.Rubio “tek taraflı” açıklamaları buradan okunmalı

13.06.2025 02:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Publication Alert – Our latest article titled, "All Azimuth Debate: Gradual Reform or Revolution? Pathways to Global IR," by
@aysezarakol.bsky.social l and Ersel Aydınlı is now online !

www.allazimuth.com/2025/02/06/a...

06.02.2025 11:10 — 👍 4    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 1
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Had a great time giving a guest talk at University of Washington International Security Colloquium. Grateful for kind invitation, insightful discussion, awesome Seattle weather. Big thanks to the Dept of Polisci and @aslicansunar.bsky.social for hosting me at the campus 🙏

14.05.2025 02:24 — 👍 7    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Çok tebrikler!!!

28.04.2025 11:19 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Indian accounts plugged into BJP on other site saying possibly ~25 dead. very very much TBD, but targeting of tourists, possible death toll, Vance visit, relative calm prior all suggest a potential crisis moment:

22.04.2025 12:56 — 👍 2    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 1
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Prof. Dr. Fuat Keyman’ı anmak ve onun akademi ve düşünce dünyasına değerli katkılarını hatırlamak için 15-16 Mayıs'ta "Prof. Dr. Fuat Keyman: Bilimin İzinde Bir Ömür" anma toplantısını düzenlenecektir.
Program detayları, ilerleyen günlerde tüm sosyal medya hesaplarımızdan paylaşılacaktır.

08.04.2025 06:51 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1
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Since my graduation back in 2017, I was in @bingpolisci.bsky.social for the first time as a guest speaker. A great audience with tough questions as always.

It was really good to be back home, and walk through the corridors of the department once again. Truly thankful for their invitation…

06.04.2025 03:15 — 👍 9    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Glad to be part of “What do we know about Terrorism” edited volume. Truly learned a lot from my colleagues during the workshop! Thanks @brianjphillips.bsky.social and @sbmitche.bsky.social for leading and ırganizing such a great initiative

03.04.2025 13:04 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Przeworski (1991) demokrasileri bugünün kaybedenlerinin yarın kazanma ihtimaline sahip olduğu rejimler olarak tanımlar. Muhaliflerin kazanma ihtimallerinin yok edildiğini, kazanma şanslarının olmadığını düşündüğü bir ortamda demokrasiden bahsedilemez. Yaşasın demokrasi!

22.03.2025 15:47 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Here are the list of articles in the special issue. We thank all of the authors for their valuable contribution to our initiative🌞

14.03.2025 14:32 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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The Global Perspectives on Science, Polarization, and Populism Special Issue we co-edited with Erik C. Nisbet is out in the International Journal of Public Opinion Research. Here is the link to our Introduction chapter: academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

14.03.2025 14:26 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

📈 Trending in BJPIR this week

'Enforcement of international human rights law: A comparative exploration of alternative public opinion channels' A Burcu Bayram, Eric Keels & @efetokdemir.bsky.social

🔓 Read the article available in #OpenAccess here: buff.ly/4hGnS7l

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

04.03.2025 08:40 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

Bonus: PKK-leader's address does not mention any other offshoots of PKK - such as YPG/PYD operating in Syria. PKK was not very active in last 2-3 years, and most of their members had already joined the ranks of YPG/PYD. So, we should not read this call as end of the conflict per se.

27.02.2025 15:33 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Sure, the whole story is way more nuanced, this is just some updates in bullet points for those who are not an ardent follower of Turkish politics and Turkiye-PKK conflict - which is one of the longest and deadliest in the world

27.02.2025 15:20 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Domestic: need for a constitutional change for reelection of Erdogan, then need for support of Kurds. International: Once Kurds in N. Iraq emerging as a separate entity, and now it is the Northern Syria - Turkiye repositioning itself regarding the upcoming developments for Middle Eastern Politics

27.02.2025 15:20 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

7) Main difference between two attempts: ultra-nationalist party was anti-Kurdish peace process back then, but pro-peace process this time. This is critical regarding the electoral politics.
8) Why now? Well, this is to speculate with some known facts regarding domestic and international politics:

27.02.2025 15:20 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

4) Back in 2013, Ocalan made a similar declaration asking PKK to lay down the arms and engage in politics
5) The first process halted following PKK attacks after a non-violent period
6) Some argued that the end of process was also related to incumbent government's electoral failure on June 2015

27.02.2025 15:20 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

An update from Türkiye for peace/conflict scholars:
1) Imprisoned PKK leader Ocalan called for disband and disarmament of PKK
2) The process was initiated by the leader of ultra-nationalist party, Bahceli, on October 2024,
3) Not the first public attempt, the last one took place some time ago

27.02.2025 15:20 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

📈 Trending in BJPIR

'Enforcement of international human rights law: A comparative exploration of alternative public opinion channels' A Burcu Bayram, Eric Keels & @efetokdemir.bsky.social

🔓 Read the article available in #OpenAccess here: https://buff.ly/4hGnS7l

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

17.02.2025 09:47 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

@efetokdemir is following 20 prominent accounts