Scott Keyes

Three months in a row of YoY air passenger growth. TSA numbers:

September 2025: 71,947,622 (+0.5%)
September 2024: 71,599,103

Every month in 2025 so far has been +/-2% from 2024 figures.

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingapp.bsky.social found for its members in August (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇧🇸 Bahamas - $295 (Xmas avail)
🇸🇬 Singapore - $171 (mistake fare, one-way)
🇫🇷 Paris - $377
🇯🇵 Tokyo - $532 (nonstop)

Adjusting for inflation, airfare in August was:

- Flat vs. 1 year ago
- 22% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 33% cheaper than 10 years ago

For the history of air travel, there's rarely been a cheaper time to fly than now, despite the last two months' price jumps.

Yikes—flight prices up *6%* in August. Excluding 2020-2022, this is the 3rd largest one-month jump on record.

Airfares are currently:

- 3% higher than 12 months ago
- 18% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 3% lower than February 2020

it was delicious! run by a truly great/adorable husband-wife team

Two months in a row of YoY air passenger growth. TSA numbers:

August 2025: 80,306,610 (+1%)
August 2024: 79,508,438

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingapp.bsky.social found for its members in July (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇳🇿 New Zealand - $453 (lowest ever)
🇮🇪 Dublin - $344
🇬🇧 Manchester - $1,569 (lie-flat biz)
🇺🇸 Hawaii - $212

Adjusting for inflation, airfare in July was:

- 2% lower than 1 year ago
- 25% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 38% cheaper than 10 years ago

For the history of air travel, there's rarely been a cheaper time to fly than now.

Airfare up 4% in July, the largest one-month jump since May 2022.

Airfares are currently:

- 1% higher than 12 months ago
- 22% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 8% lower than February 2020

After 2 consecutive months of contraction, TSA numbers back to growth.

July 2025: 85.1 million (+1%)
July 2024: 84.1 million

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingapp.bsky.social found for its members in June (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇺🇸 Hawaii - $220
🇳🇿 New Zealand - $605
🇦🇺 Sydney - $591
🇫🇷 Paris - $436

Adjusting for inflation, airfare in June was:

- 7% lower than 1 year ago
- 28% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 41% cheaper than 10 years ago

In fact, airfare in June 2025 was the 2nd cheapest month *on record* (#1: May 2020)

Five drops in a row with flight prices down 0.1% in June.

Airfares are currently:

- 3% lower than 12 months ago
- 26% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 12% lower than February 2020

For the 3rd time in 6 months, TSA numbers last month finished lower than the previous year.

June 2025: 81.3 million (-1%)
June 2024: 82.1 million

Previously this hadn't happened since February 2021.

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingapp.bsky.social found for its members in May (fares roundtrip, nonstop, not Spirit):

🇯🇵 Tokyo $584*
🇮🇪 Ireland $348*
🇪🇸 Barcelona - $357
🇰🇳 St. Kitts & Nevis - $289*

Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in May was:

- 11% lower than 1 year ago
- 28% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 40% cheaper than 10 years ago

Remarkable stat: Adjusted for inflation, airfare in May 2025 was the 3rd cheapest month *ever*

Flight prices fell *another* 3% in May, the fourth drop in a row.

This is the cheapest airfare has been since Feb 2022 (without even adjusting for inflation).

Airfares are currently:

- 7% lower than 12 months ago
- 26% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 12% lower than February 2020

For the second time in five months, TSA numbers in May finished lower than the previous year.

May 2025: 79.2 million (-1.7%)
May 2024: 80.6 million

Previously this hadn't happened since February 2021.

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingapp.bsky.social found for its members in April (fares roundtrip, not Spirit, all summer availability):

🇮🇪 Ireland - $382 (nonstop)
🇵🇪 Peru - $329
🇨🇿 Prague - $866 (biz class mistake fare)
🇫🇴 Faroe Islands - $394

Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in April was:

- 10% lower than 1 year ago
- 24% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 36% cheaper than 10 years ago

Remarkable stat: Adjusted for inflation, airfare in April 2025 is cheaper than it was in April 2020.

Flight prices fell another 3% in April, the third drop in a row.

This is the cheapest airfare has been since March 2022 (without even adjusting for inflation).

Airfares are currently:

- 8% lower than 12 months ago
- 23% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 9% lower than February 2020

#10 ✅

bsky.app/profile/smke...

April 2025 TSA numbers came in 0.2% higher than 2024. A new monthly record for April, however slight.

Apr 2025: 74,186,577
Apr 2024: 74,039,524
Apr 2019: 70,111,486

2025 travel volume continues to look virtually identical to 2024.

March 2025 TSA numbers came in 0.2% *lower* than 2024—the first time since February 2021 that we've seen a YoY decrease in air travel volume.

Mar 2025: 77,204,653
Mar 2024: 77,362,019
Mar 2019: 73,181,158

not frequent but on occasion—maybe every 3-4 months or so?

I have!

#6 ✅

airlinegeeks.com/2025/04/15/a...

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingapp.bsky.social found for its members in March (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇯🇵 Japan - $573
🇺🇸 USVI - $259
🇧🇷 Brazil - $359
🇺🇸 Hawaii - $224

Adjusting for overall inflation, airfare in March was:

- 7% lower than 1 year ago
- 23% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 35% cheaper than 10 years ago

We are living in the Golden Age of Cheap Flights.

Flight prices sank 5% in March, the largest one-month drop since September 2021.

This is larger than any one-month drop between January 1996 and March 2020.

Airfares are currently:

- 5% lower than 12 months ago
- 21% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 7% lower than February 2020