Matt Graham

Matt Graham

@mattgraham.bsky.social

2,516 Followers 3,370 Following 509 Posts Joined Jul 2023
3 days ago
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First 6 Days of Iran War Cost U.S. $11.3 Billion, Pentagon Says

The 2026 National Science Foundation budget is $8.75 Billion.

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4 days ago

FWIW I don't buy this argument. Nobody thinks p-hacking, non-replicable findings, or data errors are okay. Avoiding those things is a standard that individual researchers & fields as a whole apply to themselves constantly

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4 days ago

Income ≠ wealth

The wealth distribution is surely much less equal

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6 days ago
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Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social):

Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

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1 week ago
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"...estimated last year that a $200-per-month Claude Code subscription could use up to $2,000 in compute, suggesting significant subsidization by Anthropic. Today... that $200 plan able to consume about $5,000 in compute" www.forbes.com/sites/annato...

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1 week ago
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FT comments section this morning - saying what everyone else is thinking, right?

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1 week ago

"In particular, while expressive responding clearly causes surveys to exaggerate the extent to which partisanship acts as a perceptual screen, the same forces that produce expressive responding in surveys may also affect the political judgments people make in real life."

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1 week ago

I appreciate your post, bit of a luddite but you & others have convinced me to try Claude for a few things on my to do list

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1 week ago

Haha dude I was just coming here to make this same comment

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2 weeks ago
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I think about this Tony Benn speech much more than I used to

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1 week ago
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My take on the partisan expressive responding literature is now in print. Open access: doi.org/10.1017/S000...

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1 week ago

Have examples of social science papers that use DAGs to justify their controls? I find these very hard to come by & would like to use for teaching.

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8 months ago
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Hell of a chart, this, from @financialtimes.com. Spot the JCPOA.

on.ft.com/4kSuQYO

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2 weeks ago
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2 weeks ago

And let me refine "better": Talarico makes the case in a way that I think is especially likely to resonate with an audience that really needs to hear it

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2 weeks ago

Open to it. Til then, anything you'd recommend I read / watch / listen to?

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2 weeks ago

Not sure I agree. Rs oppose Jesus on every issue. To the extent I've seen Talarico makes that case better than anyone in politics

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2 weeks ago

I am the reason there are so many em dashes in the training data

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2 weeks ago

This recent RCT of an "AI stethoscope" claims the technology "shows promise" for diagnosing cardiovascular conditions.

It does not.

It is a textbook example of the risks of conducting unprincipled 'per protocol analyses'. Once again, peer review at a major medical journal has failed.

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2 weeks ago
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🚨 Please share widely! 🚨

I'm hiring a postdoc (from Aug 1) to help build a new research program on politically sustainable immigration policies at Notre Dame.

Looking for a social scientist with strong quant skills, familiarity with new computational tools, and interest in public-facing research.

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3 weeks ago
Scatterplot of changes in UN ideal points from 2024 to 2025. Salient feature is the U.S. shooting away from most other countries.

Good Authority's Erik Voeten used country-level UN vote data to create ideal points, similar to how political ideology is measured. It shows the massive shift in U.S. foreign policy in 2025, relative to the rest of the world. goodauthority.org/news/the-wor...

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3 weeks ago
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Can feed algorithms shape what people think about politics? Our paper "The Political Effects of X's Feed Algorithm" is out today in Nature and answers "Yes."

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

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3 weeks ago

How it works.

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3 weeks ago
Report: Staff at Dilley raiding cells to confiscate kids' letters and drawings detailing conditions inside

ProPublica published children's letters and drawings documenting their sadness and suffering at Dilley. And Dilley staff are now retaliating by confiscating kids' letters and drawings.

www.sacurrent.com/news/san-ant...

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1 month ago

Very excited to see this out at @bjpols.bsky.social! In this article, I show that contemporary political news coverage makes it challenging for readers to learn information that is helpful for democratic accountability, even for very politically engaged audiences.

A brief summary:

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3 weeks ago

Sowing fear of "ICE at the polls!" could do more to suppress votes than any actual ICE at the polls. Here's an explanation of the right's strategy on this, along with my recommendations for what to do instead of playing along.

katestarbird.substack.com/p/effective-...

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3 weeks ago

Warrantless searches sparked the American Revolution. In the 1760s, Britain made complaints similar to this about policing American merchants & resorted to issuing blanket "writs of assistance" to customs officers to enter ships, businesses, and homes without a specific warrant or even any evidence.

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3 weeks ago

Everyone who says they don’t have enough goons to do this everywhere is totally missing the point that they absolutely have enough goons to do it in enough swing state city neighborhoods to tip the Senate or the Electoral College:

bsky.app/profile/mcop...

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3 weeks ago
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This is the interview Donald Trump didn’t want you to see.

His FCC refused to air my interview with Stephen Colbert.

Trump is worried we’re about to flip Texas.

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3 weeks ago

Let's see if we can change her mind

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