Dr Tamitha Skov

Wow. The 2nd big eruption from Region 4299 today involves the "core filament" I talked about in my recent forecast. Only part of it erupted, but it could lead to a dense storm! Here's a link to the part of the forecast in which I air my concerns https://youtu.be/s3_mnw1MPoA?si=MRTAKNSM4gYyVzqW&t=505

A solar storm is launching now in the Earth-strike zone! Region 4299 is once again waking up, albeit with only minor M-class flaring, but with its nearby unstable filaments, this is enough. Waiting for the eruption to finish and for coronagraph images to inform prediction models. Stay tuned!

Watch a coronal hole get blown wide open during this week's #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast. See how our focus changes on the big flare players, & why that's good news for radio ops. Learn why the current aurora shows are underwhelming, but things are looking up! https://www.patreon.com/posts/145119892

The big X-flare yesterday manifested in a two-part eruption, which is proving tough to model. As such, NOAA & NASA predictions are different. Both are shown. Note the NASA run has both "shock" and "bulk" runs superposed in a single composite. For details see https://www.patreon.com/posts/144874021

Wow. Crazy it just trashed the lower bands.

Very intense #solarstorm launch underway from old Region 4274 (likely to be renamed 4297). This storm is not Earth-directed (it is directed towards Saturn), but I would not be surprised if we see a radiation storm rise at Earth over the next few hours.

X-1.95 flare now! Although not yet completely in view, old Region 4274 it is firing big flares again! This one is causing an R3 Radio blackout on the dayside of Earth now! Expect VHF/HF radio degradation over next hour, especially in the Asian Pacific (colored regions in map).

Our Sun Wakes Up! Soon to be named Region 4294 fires an M5.96-flare at an R2-level radio blackout now! Expect signal degradation on VHF and HF dayside radio bands in the western hemisphere over the next hour, especially western South America, Hawaii & Asian Pacific (colored regions in map).

Aww. Much thanks for this!

The new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast is up! See the sunspots on the Sun's farside that will soon give us another round of big flares, Earth-directed solar storms & lots of radio noise! Activity could climb fast. Aurora possibilities high over the next two weeks https://www.patreon.com/posts/144547128

Here is the comparison with Earth. Crazy how this structure is still hanging on to the Sun's surface!

Bouncing in the blast wave! Check this high detail (denoised) view of a massive filament like a solar skyscraper. A farsided solar storm launch causes this springy structure to bob up and down in the wake of the blast. Taller than 7 Earths, it will launch soon, but towards Saturn, not Earth.

As expected, we are now in a fast solar wind stream from this highly irregularly shaped coronal hole. We are passing through the upper portion of the fast wind pocket, but active Region 4292, could cause highly variable wind. Aurora chasers watch for this bumpy wind. It could trigger substorms!

This coronal hole could give us uneven bursts of fast wind thanks to active Region 4292 which has emerged right in the middle of it. Expect several magnetic polarity inversions in the fast wind stream too, thanks to this subtle complexity!

Thanks for your thoughts!

Thanks for the good idea, Ben. Ive learned I need to combine aspects of each into the new iterations. I will present refined versions with my next forecast.

The spacey one is fun, isnt it?

Thanks for this input. I have learned I must blend aspects of the two separate versions to improve both. I'll do this again for my next forecast and keep refining!

Thanks David. I think that one is pretty cool too, but then again, I love the TRON series of films, which it is modeled after.

Much appreciated Greg!

Thanks for your thoughts!

Yes, others have mentioned this too. Great idea. Im working on that!

Thanks for your input. I am finding people are split between the two versions. Some prefer the simple clip art approach for readability, while others prefer the futuristic approach because it is compartmentalized.

Thanks Ian! Lots of people prefer this one too.

I've been encouraged to do infographic summaries of my forecasts. Here are 2 different versions. l would like your honest opinions. Which of these do you prefer, straightforward and easy or futuristic and spacey? Here is a link to my recent forecast if you want a deeper dive: youtu.be/FOLDm_N6ft8

The new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast is up! This week, watch early signs of the Sun changing, learn about the historic ground level event effects on the aviation community, and see when solar activity is going to pick up again. https://www.patreon.com/posts/143986939

Here we go! Region 4274 fires a big X1.8-flare now! HF and VHF radio is getting hammered by an R3-level radio blackout. Expect degraded radio & GPS reception over the next hour on Earth's dayside, especially the Western Hemisphere, Hawaii & West Africa (colored regions in map).

Along with the Sun's farside blasts, several solar storms are headed to Earth! Expect a bumpy ride through October 28. Aurora chasers at high latitudes could see decent shows. HF radio & GPS users expect better reception on the dayside. See my latest forecast for more https://youtu.be/-_pYGbD1l00

The new Space Weather Woman forecast is up! Learn the details of the coming solar storms, watch how quickly Regions 4246 and 4248 have grown into X-flare players, and see why aurora photographers smile while HF radio and GPS users from this week. https://www.patreon.com/posts/141259994

Space Weather has picks up in a big way! Region 4246 launches 4 solar storms towards Earth. Region 4248 and 4250 are entering the same hot longitudes and are becoming more active. Expect big flares, HF radio blackouts and & storm launches to continue! Strong Earth-impacts peak October 15-17.