@tamithaskov.bsky.social
Space Weather Physicist. Forecasting aurora, GPS, HF radio & radiation issues during solar storms. On TV: HISTORY, Weather Channel, PopSci, NASA TV, Arte TV, Crave TV, MIT Technology Review and more.
Fast wind is coming! A familiar coronal hole should give us another round of aurora, while amateur radio operators & GPS users should see risk for radio blackouts diminish. Also the Sun's farside may now be spotless! See details in this week's #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast https://youtu.be/c9gloRUmKAI
An impressive fast wind stream is arriving. Expect sustained #aurora at high latitudes with sporadic brightenings down to mid-latitudes over the next 48 hours. A solar storm could graze Earth March 9-10. Radio blackout & radiation storm risk remains low. Good news for aviators, radio& GPS operators.
The new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast is up! Learn why we have a spotless Sun, how long it will last and what it means for radio & GNSS operators. Find out when and where aurora will be visible and watch some big activity lurking on the farside rotate into view! https://www.patreon.com/posts/151431182
The expected solar storm did arrive yesterday but it was mild. Luckily, fast wind has hit us like a brick wall with speed increasing over 200 km/s in the past 8 hours. Along with a mini-storm embedded in the mess, we'll hit storm levels. Aurora chasers--might be worth a look where skies are clear!
We say goodbye to Region 4366, but our Sun keeps things busy. Several returning regions that gave us a big show in January are back. Learn what to expect in the new Space Weather Woman forecast up now! See why radio operators & GPS users groan while aurora chasers smile. https://youtu.be/BECqZ6z1yi0
Our Sun plays trickster this week! After an X8.1-flare & eruption that has so many expecting the worst-- turns out the solar storm headed for Earth will be a mild blow. Find out why & learn all about Region 4366 & what to expect next in this week's forecast: https://www.patreon.com/posts/149727933
Conditions intensify both at Earth and the Sun! Learn the details in the new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast, up now. See how this ongoing solar storm series is impacting Earth & find out why radio blackouts and big solar storm launches are on the menu this week: https://www.patreon.com/posts/148014340
Despite being a reasonably mild storm thus far, it sure impacted aviation when it first hit. Check out how much the vertical position accuracy in the WAAS precision GPS system for the FAA was affected! Watch the red drop down over the Canadian provinces and down into Kansas and Colorado!
The expected solar storm has hit! Earth was already in a bumpy ride of substoms due to fast solar wind, but we now enter full geomagnetic storm conditions. Expect G2-levels initially, that will likely stabilize at G1-levels. Where skies are clear, UK and northern Europe could see aurora tonight!
Some #aurora fun coming! Region 4334 has launched more than 4 solar storms since January 6. Some are headed to Earth! Along with fast solar wind picking up January 9, storm conditions could peak by January 11. G1 conditions expected thus far, but another storm just launched so forecasts may change!
The M7.1-flare today was quite eruptive! It even degraded HF/VHF radio bands on Earth's dayside for over an hour. The R2-level radio blackout was most intense over South America as expected for summer in the southern hemisphere. Expect noise on the dayside bands to remain moderate to high this week.
A solar storm could cartwheel its way to Earth in time for New Years! Check out the details inside this week's #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast. There is a chance we could see aurora down to mid-latitudes through January 2. Radio blackout risk rises too! https://www.patreon.com/posts/146980725
Happy Holidays! A festive forecast this week shows a chance of aurora at high latitudes with an incoming glancing solar storm blow. Also, flare activity is just about to pick up with some big flare players returning to Earth view starting this weekend. Risk for radio noise & radio blackouts rising!
We can expect more aurora for the Holidays! Find out the details in the new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast, out now. On top of some festive fast wind, we have a new solar storm producer, which will be entering the Earth-strike zone over the next few days! https://www.patreon.com/posts/146271788
A new solar storm is hitting Earth and it is strong! So much for glancing blows. Expect aurora to explode at high latitudes within the next 15-30 minutes. The solar wind speed is still a bit slow so be patient if you are at mid-latitudes. The show will likely reach you, especially during substorms!
Finally, here is my commentary regarding these amazing captures. It all boils down to being at the right place at the right time!
Here is a shot from Southeast Oklahoma showing the deep reds during the same substorm!
Aurora tonight visible as far south as Tenessee, Oklahoma, Kentucky, and Mississippi, USA during this ongoing solar storm. Here is the view in Tenessee during the peak of a big substorm!
Minus 12 degrees and the sky is dancing. Photo credits to my shitty iPhone 11. Loll
Tromso Norway tonight💙
Watching the northern lights from my plane
Kora enjoying the northern lights ❤️
Here's a link to the 3D animation you can fly through to better understand the extent of the storm's core envelope. I created it using model parameters from the NASA SWPC-CAT solution and my coronagraph analysis of the general folded slinky core's shape. Give it a moment to load: shorturl.at/PIFSg
So the big #solarstorm has finally arrived and it does seem to have a bent flux rope structure! The impact at Solar Orbiter hints that we could see sustained southward field for hours yet, so aurora views are likely at mid-latitudes over the early part of this storm (likely G2 levels).
Join me NOW for a LIVE briefing on the whereabouts of the expected #solarstorms! I will go over the current conditions and talk about what it means for aurora viewing, as well as GPS users and the upcoming 10m HF contest this weekend!
https://youtube.com/live/zsh1fLbrUjk?feature=share
X1.1-flare now! Region 4298 becomes a big-flare player causing an R3-level Radio Blackout on Earth's dayside. Expect HF/VHF radio band degradation, especially near Asian Pacific, Eastern Russia, China, India, & East Africa (colored regions in map). A third solar storm launching too!
Here's a 3D visualization of the coming solar storm using model parameters from NASA, NOAA, & coronagraph views from STEREO-A & SOHO. The storm is expected to hit Earth early December 9. This orientation is good news for aurora photographers. Fly around it yourself: https://shorturl.at/JJEup
Wow. The 2nd big eruption from Region 4299 today involves the "core filament" I talked about in my recent forecast. Only part of it erupted, but it could lead to a dense storm! Here's a link to the part of the forecast in which I air my concerns https://youtu.be/s3_mnw1MPoA?si=MRTAKNSM4gYyVzqW&t=505
A solar storm is launching now in the Earth-strike zone! Region 4299 is once again waking up, albeit with only minor M-class flaring, but with its nearby unstable filaments, this is enough. Waiting for the eruption to finish and for coronagraph images to inform prediction models. Stay tuned!
Watch a coronal hole get blown wide open during this week's #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast. See how our focus changes on the big flare players, & why that's good news for radio ops. Learn why the current aurora shows are underwhelming, but things are looking up! https://www.patreon.com/posts/145119892
The big X-flare yesterday manifested in a two-part eruption, which is proving tough to model. As such, NOAA & NASA predictions are different. Both are shown. Note the NASA run has both "shock" and "bulk" runs superposed in a single composite. For details see https://www.patreon.com/posts/144874021