Very happy to see my joint paper with Lisa Scheckenhofer and @feodorateti.bsky.social on sanction evasion for military goods published in this year's AEA P&P: www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
31.05.2025 13:00 โ ๐ 23 ๐ 5 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 1
31.03.2025 19:30 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Scenarios:
๐ Symmetric โ U.S. raises and lowers tariffs to match partner levels
๐ Upward-only โ U.S. raises tariffs only where its own are lower
๐ฅ Flat 25% โ Uniform 25% tariff on all imports
31.03.2025 19:30 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
What if the U.S. adjusted its tariffs on Germany and Switzerland to match what those countries charge?
This NZZ chart by @florianseliger.bsky.social &
@jonasoesch.ch shows how U.S. tariffs would rise under 3 "reciprocity" scenarios using my data from the Global Tariff Database
๐
31.03.2025 19:30 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
@cesifo.org @tradediversion.bsky.social @chadbown.bsky.social
11.03.2025 17:34 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
๐ด CAVEAT: The Global Tariff Database only includes applied MFN and preferential tariffs.
This means that recent trade war tariffs (since the first Trump administration), safeguards, anti-dumping tariffs, and any other types of tariffs are NOT included.
11.03.2025 17:34 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Even more importantly: This matters! I show that existing estimates of the trade elasticity are highly sensitive to tariff mismeasurement.
11.03.2025 17:34 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Big difference, right? Want to know how it's done? The details are in my paper: Teti (2024). ๐https://www.cesifo.org/en/publications/2024/working-paper/missing-tariffs
11.03.2025 17:34 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Now compare that to this cleaned version from the Global Tariff Database:
11.03.2025 17:34 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Finding clean data on tariffs is hard. Take Mexican import tariffs on U.S. products as an exampleโhereโs what you get from WITS:
11.03.2025 17:34 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
๐จNew data alert!
A beta version of the Global Tariff Database is now available! ๐https://feodorateti.github.io
๐If you're looking for cross-country data on bilateral tariffs, this might help you.
11.03.2025 17:34 โ ๐ 61 ๐ 24 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 1
Journal of International Economics Summer School 2025
CESifo is delighted to announce that we will host the Journal of International Economics (JIE) Summer School from 16 - 18 July 2025. The local academic hosts are Claudia Steinwender (LMU Munich), Cars...
๐ฃ We are delighted to announce that we'll be hosting the ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐๐บ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฆ๐ฐ๐ต๐ผ๐ผ๐น ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ by the ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ฐ๐!
The Summer School will take place in #Munich from ๐ญ๐ฒ โ ๐ญ๐ด ๐๐๐น๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ.
PhD and Postdocs can apply until 21 January ๐
www.cesifo.org/en/event/202...
17.12.2024 18:04 โ ๐ 19 ๐ 11 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Economist | Assistant Professor at HEC Lausanne | PhD at LSE
Professor of Economics, University of Cambridge
Fellow, CEPR
President, International Economics and Finance Society
https://www.econ.cam.ac.uk/people/faculty/mc865
Econ Assistant Professor at Yale SOM | International trade, macro dev | ๐จ๐ท
CESifo is a global, independent research network with members from across the world. Our mission is to advance international scientific knowledge exchange in economics and economic policy.
www.cesifo.org
Behavioral economist @ LMU Munich, interested in (mis)perceptions, narratives, and values in markets. www.silizhang.com
Economist. Executive Vice President of Criminal Justice at Arnold Ventures. Host of the Probable Causation podcast. Author of The Science of Second Chances, available for pre-order now! I study crime & discrimination. https://jenniferdoleac.com
Senior economist at the Bank of Italy. PhD from Sciences Po. International trade, macroeconomics.
Views are my own. RTs โ endorsements.
https://sites.google.com/site/ludovicpanon
Senior Fellow at European Council on Foreign Relations. #Drone politics PhD @ox.ac.uk. Previously at, and now teaching @SciencesPo.bsky.social. Writes about all things #Germany #Defence #miltech. Podcast host at @SicherheitsPod.de & LeCollimateur
Argentinian Economist. Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Nottingham. CEPR Research Affiliate.
International Trade, Trade Policy, Competition.
https://www.alejandrograziano.com/
Professor of Economics @LMU_Muenchen, Director @ifo_Institut's Center for Macroeconomics & Surveys; #Taxation, #Inequality, #Data, #SGE, #Blackhawks, #firstgen
Associate Professor of Economics and Director of the Center for Commerce & Diplomacy, UC San Diego
Economist @ Georgetown University. Also NBER and CESifo.
Trade, Spatial, and Industrial Organization.
Professor of Economics, Drexel. Research Professor, ifo Institut. Senior Associate Editor, Economics Letters, Associate Editor, Review of Int'l Economics. Member of the CEA of Bulgaria ๐ง๐ฌ. Gravity rules ๐ช https://yotoyotov.com/
Chief Economist & Director of Analysis at FCDO, Professor of Economics at University of Warwick, CEP/LSE, CEPR.
Reginald Jones Senior Fellow @PIIE.com
@Trade--Talks.bsky.social Podcast host
Former State Department, White House, WTO, World Bank, Professor
I think about trade and policy. Probably too much
Me: www.chadpbown.com
Pod: www.tradetalkspodcast.com
Economist investigating international trade and multinationals at the University of Oldenburg and CESifo. Previously Uni Tรผbingen, LMU
petereppinger.com
Research Economist at the Atlanta Fed (views = my own). TSE and U of York alumnus. Rhinelander in ATL. Interests include: Trade/Geography/History/Cities.
International Economist @UT Austin
Assistant Professor of Economics @ UTSC and Rotman. Peruvian. Small. Interested in international trade, firm dynamics, and development. Personal site: https://sites.google.com/site/pamelamedinaq/
