We stand by our guarded claim: much uncertainty remains, but Sweden appears to have done well compared with others. And so, given the absence of clear evidence that costly and harmful lockdowns reduced mortality, how can anyone confidently judge them a success? @chrislhayes.bsky.social
14.07.2025 21:16 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
@michaelhobbes.bsky.social is also wrong to say that Swedish public health authorities concluded that their approach was mistaken. They said, with hindsight and more perfect information, they could have done better. No rational person would claim otherwise. @dbmain.bsky.social
14.07.2025 21:16 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
CDC mortality data presented in our book fails to show that US states with more stringent NPIs had lower Covid mortality. Bollyky, et al, using different data reach same conclusion (“Assessing COVID-19 Pandemic Policies,” Lancet 2023), as do Frances Lee and I, and Pizzato et al. See our Ch. 5
14.07.2025 21:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Contra @michaelhobbes.bsky.social the most comprehensive study so far finds Sweden had lowest excess mortality of all 29 countries of Europe over the whole course of pandemic, 2020-23, see Pizzato, et al., “Impact of COVID-19 on total excess mortality...,” Lancet Regional Health – Europe, 2024).
14.07.2025 21:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
See Figure 2, here,
14.07.2025 21:16 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
The Kock et al study that Hobbes links could not possibly have been our source since its title is: “Excess mortality and COVID-19 in Sweden in 2020.” “2020” period. Our quoted claim that Hobbes contests concerns excess mortality in Sweden from January 2020 to June 2021. @ericklinenberg.bsky.social
14.07.2025 21:16 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
@michaelhobbes.bsky.social claimed “Pretty egregious error" from our book: "The authors say Swedish deaths fell by 2.3% during the pandemic... But they misread their source: Mortality is only down if you remove the COVID deaths. research.abo.fi/ws/portalfil...” Sorry, but that's not our source.
14.07.2025 21:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
Pizzato et al, Impact of Covid-19 on total excess mortality in Europe, 2020-2023," Lancet Regional Health Europe July 2024.
Hello Blueskyers! Glad to see much discussion of our book, In Covid's Wake, but incorrect info abounds, including by Michael Hobbes and Gregg Gonsalves. Sweden had lowest Covid mortality in Europe according to most comprehensive available study. Let's face our mistakes!
08.06.2025 22:05 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
Michael Hobbes is mistaken. The Kolk article he links to is not our source: we don’t cite it. It covers the wrong time period (2020 only). We do cite Johan Anderberg, The Herd, and he got the data from the UK Office for National Statistics. Why not check our footnotes?
08.06.2025 19:56 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Susan Dod Brown Professor of Politics and Public Affairs, Princeton University
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