Gefjon Off

Ich freue mich sehr, nächsten Donnerstag in Mainz sein zu dürfen! Im Innenpolitik- und Politische Soziologie-Kolloquium werde ich unser Paper (@moretsof.bsky.social & @lucasschwarz.bsky.social) zum Einfluss von Wetterextremen auf die Social-Media-Kommunikation von Kandidierenden vorstellen. 🗨️👩‍💻

Everywhere you vote, you always take the weather with you: the effects of local temperature anomalies on Green party voting Does local exposure to weather extremes and anomalies influence voting behavior? Previous research has linked extreme weather events, temperature anomalies, and attitudes toward climate change. How...

📢 Very happy that my first single-authored paper found its home at @environmentalpol.bsky.social 🌱 I am beyond thankful to all the fantastic people who gave me feedback and supported me along the way! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... (1/5)🧵

🌍The latest cleavage: the universalist divide

@mrsteenbergen.bsky.social , @dpzollinger.bsky.social , @siljahausermann.bsky.social, @simonbornschier.bsky.social, and @lhaffert.bsky.social provide evidence from the 2024 European Election Study 👇

🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Who prioritises what? Determinants and measurement of voters’ issue prioritisation | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core Who prioritises what? Determinants and measurement of voters’ issue prioritisation

What issues matter most to #Voters? 😬

@gefjonoff.bsky.social & @fedetrastulli.bsky.social study 6 European countries to find that different groups care about different issues--and that what people care about isn’t the same as what they think about those issues. 🧭🗳️

(1/10) 🚨Preprint alert!🚨

In this article, I challenge claims of a generational rise of conservative men. In the media and recent academic publications, the so-called ‘youth gender gap’ has been interpreted as a generational phenomenon.

doi.org/10.31234/osf...

❓Wer forscht und lehrt in der Politikwissenschaft @uni-hamburg.de? Das Politik-UHH-Startpaket bündelt die Profile von Forschenden des Fachgebiets Politikwissenschaft. Wenn ihr noch nicht Teil des Startpakets seid, kommentiert unter diesem Beitrag oder schreibt uns.✍️

With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...

📣 New publication! The second article of my postdoc project on the far right and anti-gender mobilization is now out #openaccess in #GermanPolitics doi.org/10.1080/0964...

It examines antifeminism in far-right party politics through the case of AfD

Key findings:

Antifeminism ✅
Radicalization ✅

@ipp-csic.bsky.social. En un día como el 25N hay que contarlo: La violencia contra las mujeres se esconde en la intimidad de los hogares y se cobra víctimas cada día globalmente con un coste social abrumador: No podemos ignorarlo ni tampoco relativizarlo. @csic.es
elpais.com/opinion/2025...

🆕 Great to see our work on the determinants and measurement of individual-level issue salience now out in @ejprjournal.bsky.social! If you haven't, check out my fantastic co-author @gefjonoff.bsky.social's thread below 👇

bsky.app/profile/gefj...

The ‘Danish model’ is the darling of centre-left parties like Labour. The problem is, it doesn’t even work in Denmark | Cas Mudde This week’s local elections are the latest reminder that when social democrats move rightwards, they’re making a mistake, says academic and author Cas Mudde

After more than 10 years of “the Danish Model”, nativism is hegemonic in the country, the far right polls near level highs again, and the Social Democrats lost Copenhagen and poll at historic low.

European Social Democrats should look at the facts, not the myths!

Me in @theguardian.com

🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Danke dir! :) Bin sehr gespannt, was du dazu sagst :)

Perhaps of interest to @jacobgunderson.bsky.social, @jamesrdennison.bsky.social, @akoustov.bsky.social, @chanret.bsky.social, @henrikseeberg.bsky.social!

This collaboration w/ Federico came about after we met at the 2022 PhD School on Elections in Leuven. Not only did we have a great time at the summer school – it also ended in a friendship, collaboration and now a joint publication! 😊

2️⃣ In combination w/ corresponding attitudes questions, it allows comparing predictors of issue salience and attitudes. People act upon their attitudes towards an issue when they consider the issue important. We need data on both - salience & attitudes - to explain political behavior.

1️⃣ This allows comparing who finds which issues more/less important across all respondents and many issues. It allows assessing the salience of issues that often do not make it to the top 3 important issues, e.g. gender equality. (I would have loved to have this data for my PhD)

We demonstrate the value of closed-ended issue-specific survey questions capturing issue salience. Instead of asking the most-important-issue-question, surveys may ask “how important do you consider X?", providing a list of issues & closed-ended answer scales for each issue. Two advantages: ⬇️

We find that different sociodemographic variables affect different issues’ salience across and within individuals over time. We also find that predictors of individual-level issue salience and attitudes often differ – highlighting the importance of analysing them separately.

New publication w/ my friend & amazing coauthor @fedetrastulli.bsky.social in @ejprjournal.bsky.social! 🎉

doi.org/10.1017/S147...

We explore: Who considers which political issues as important & how is this related to sociodemographic/socioeconomic variables?

Was für ein cooles Papier, herzlichen Glückwunsch!

Abstract It is widely accepted in political science – and remarkably established in public discourse – that status anxieties fuel a far right backlash against progressive politics. This narrative suggests that right-wing conservatives perceive the status of women, racial, or sexual minorities as threatening. Using open-ended survey questions fielded in Germany, we show that women and minorities indeed figure in people’s perceptions of status hierarchies, but in very specific ways: First, overall, people still perceive status as largely socioeconomically determined. Second, sociocultural groups figure in perceptions of who is gaining/losing status, less so in perceptions of the top/bottom of society. Third, more than conservative voters, it is social progressives who mention women and minorities as “winners”. While on race/ethnicity, we find evidence for a backlash, on gender and sexuality we find more evidence for a progressive momentum. This matters for progressive politics today and for how we empirically study status concerns.

New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.

🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...

Big congrats, Michal! On the grant and on the JoP! So many good news :)

📊 now in English @fesonline.bsky.social:
Gender gap in voting behavior in Germany📊

It's about the “big picture” since 1953 & current trends 2021-2025.

The gender gap keeps growing, especially among the young.

-> Longer trends are continuing & partly accelerating.

library.fes.de/pdf-files/a-...

Survey shows sharp gender gap in political harassment Female mayors face higher rates of politically motivated violence and harassment, a new poll finds.

Poll of 235 mayors: 84% of women candidates were harassed while campaigning vs 64% of men candidates. 25% of women mayors experienced harassment at least 3x/month vs 10% of men mayors. 2x as many women mayors reported threats to their family as men mayors. www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

The official call is now out! seleccio.uab.cat/seleccio/con...

BJPolS abstract discussing the dynamic between knowledge economy migration and political shifts in Germany, specifically addressing urban versus rural opportunities and its implications on political perspectives and migration trends.

NEW -

Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos

"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"

- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

✨
Academic life goal achieved: interviewed about my research for Al Jazeera! @aljazeera.com

I discuss research on turnout amongst Muslims, voting for DENK and I bust the myth that Muslims vote for the PVV

Watch the full item here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=VnqF... links to research in below 👇🧵

Wow! Congratulations!! 🙏🤗

Last week, I had the exciting honor & opportunity to present work with Amy Alexander & Nicholas Charron at @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social. Thank you @npiolat.bsky.social & Nonna Mayer for the invite & great discussion - & to this amazing institute for a thought-provoking, engaging exchange!🙏