Claire Adida

I mean, i was a public school peasant just a couple months ago and thought shit was bleak then too.

We have! About to head out for a week of hiking/camping but back August 9!

We need to hang out and fulfill point (a).

Shit is bleak.

When did USA Today become The Onion?

The family of Virginia Giuffre responds to the Maxwell prison move: "President Trump has sent a clear message today: Pedophiles deserve preferential treatment and their victims do not matter."

Yes that’s what I was referring to.

I think I agree. I think Schumer and others are terrible. But folks like Bernie, AOC, Mills, even Newsom lately, are doing what they can.

I feel that way about some but not all Dems.

Trump is going to tell Americans the economy is the bestest and that they’re not really losing their jobs or paying more for everything.

That this margin isn't wider is truly demoralizing - but I think it's in part because of the unpopularity of the Dem label right now. (But I'm a relentless optimist.)

Is the administration complying?

graph showing how a Dem House vote margin translates into Dem House seats using current 2024 map and new TX map. New TX map increases the Dem vote margin minimum to win the House from 1.5 to 2.5 points.

Average Democratic and Republican vote share in generic congressional ballot polls from January to July 2025. Currently Dem at 45.3 and Rep at 43.

@gelliottmorris.com: If TX Reps can swing 5 seats away from Dems, as their current plan likely does, Dems will need to win House popular vote by roughly 2.5-3 points to win the majority of seats.

Dems right now at 2.3 point lead.

Shout out to the WSJ journalists who reported on Vought’s impoundment by footnote, causing the White House to walk it back. Impact journalism!!

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

😃That feeling when your first PhD student gets her first solo-authored peer-reviewed publication.😃

In "Moral Hazard or State Capacity? U.S. Military Assistance and Political Violence in Pakistan", @shahbanoijaz.bsky.social shows how US military aid to Pakistan reduces but also displaces violence.

These trade deals are all underwhelming for one simple reason: While trade barriers were a big deal in Trump's youth, they've been tiny for decades. When tariffs are 1-2%, there's not much to gain from a trade war.

But you can do a lot of harm by charging Americans a 15% (or higher) import tax.

R2 is always right.

I suspect a few more people will know the name of Chloe Kelly after this cup so I’m here to tell you she is one of the highest earning female players in the world, and she earns a bit north of half a million pounds a year.

That’s what Haaland makes *a week* 😝💀

Trump's approval with independents sinks below Biden's, Trump's post-Jan. 6 | Weekly roundup for July 27, 2025 This week in political data: Gallup's newsy poll; New Pew benchmark data; Senate ratings; Manufacturing prices increase; and AI disrupting news traffic

@gelliottmorris.com : “one out of every three political independents who voted for Trump in the 2024 election now says they disapprove of how he’s governing.”

The First Planned Migration of an Entire Country Is Underway The Pacific island nation of Tuvalu could be submerged in 25 years due to rising sea levels, so a plan is being implemented to relocate its population to Australia.

The first planned migration of an entire country due to climate change is happening! Tuvalu, a Pacific island nation, is at risk of being submerged under rising sea level, so it has signed an agreement with Australia to allow 280 Tuvaluans to settle in Australia as permanent residents each year.

How it started How it’s going

Oklahoman School’s superintendent Ryan Walters edition

“2 members of the State Board of Ed shocked and mad when they saw a video featuring naked women on the TV in Walters’ office during executive session” nondoc.com/2025/07/25/b...

Gallup reports that Trump is at a net -22%(!) approval rating on immigration (38% approve, 60% disapprove).

That is the second lowest rating they've ever recorded for him, just behind -23% in August 2018 (38% approve, 61% disapprove).

Polls show that a clear majority of Israelis oppose the resettlement and annexation of Gaza. Even some Israelis who dream of one day ruling the entire land balk in practice at the notion of maintaining a perpetual military occupation against a Hamas insurgency. But Israel’s prime minister is beholden to the minority demanding exactly that. Netanyahu’s fragile coalition received just 48.4 percent of the vote in Israel’s last election, and relies on explicitly anti-Arab far-right factions to remain in power while Netanyahu is on trial for corruption. President Joe Biden understood this dynamic, and his administration undertook a public and private pressure campaign to prevent Netanyahu from acceding to his hard-right allies.

“We have been clear, consistent, and unequivocal that Gaza is Palestinian land and will remain Palestinian land,” the State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said in a January 2024 statement, publicly rebuking two Netanyahu ministers for their “inflammatory and irresponsible” call to encourage “migration” from Gaza to make way for Jewish settlement. Secretary of State Antony Blinken flew to the region and assured America’s Arab allies that it opposed forced displacement. “Palestinian civilians must be able to return home as soon as conditions allow,” he said at a press conference in Doha, Qatar. “They cannot, they must not, be pressed to leave Gaza.” Blinken then traveled to Israel, where he apparently delivered the same message to Netanyahu. The next day, the Israeli leader posted a video in which he declared, “Israel has no intention of permanently occupying Gaza or displacing its civilian population.” A member of Netanyahu’s party told the press that the prime minister’s stance had shifted because of American pressure. For the moment, maximalism had been shoved back into the box.

Something many do not know: The Biden administration engaged in a public and private pressure campaign to compel Netanyahu to reject the ethnic cleansing calls of his far-right allies. It worked. Then Biden lost, the pressure stopped and Trump reversed everything.
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

The Worst-Kept Secret of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Trump turned a far-right fantasy—ethnic cleansing in Gaza—into U.S. policy. He needs to reject it.

My latest: Trump opened the door to ethnic cleansing in Gaza. He needs to close it and stop feeding the Israeli right's dark fantasies of conquest—both in Gaza and the West Bank—or he will never achieve the peace he claims to want. Please read the whole thing. Gift link:

Gaza is starving. Where are the American Jewish leaders? A fear of being labelled antisemitic still deters American Jews and Jewish institutions from taking a position that is morally correct.

The mass starvation & killing of Palestinians in Gaza at the hands of the Israeli gov’t is a chillul hashem, a desecration of God.

Jewish leaders who criticized Zohran Mamdani for three words he doesn’t use should raise their voices loudly here as well.
forward.com/opinion/7575...

A multiple line chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "Views of Donald Trump by age in his second term." The chart's sub-headline is: "Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people? [Donald Trump] (% with a very or somewhat favorable opinion minus the % with a very or somewhat unfavorable opinion)." The chart has the note: "Note: Responses of "don't know" are not shown."

NEW Economist/YouGov Poll
Net favorability of Donald Trump [at the start of his second term | now] among U.S. adult citizens by age
18-29: +5 | -43
30-44: -6 | -7
45-64: +12 | -10
65+: -4 | -5
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...

100 miles is huge.

Trump had promised to focus on rounding up immigrants with criminal records during his 2024 election campaign. Government data shows that actual ICE arrests skew heavily towards immigrants without criminal convictions.
www.ft.com/content/bba4...

Depraved

Does Trump's alleged letter to Epstein "sound like" Trump? An investigation. On Thursday, the Wall Street Journal published a bombshell report about President Trump's relationship with convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein.

Turns out when you don’t rely on Nazi-Grok and actually do a little bit of research, that letter to Epstein does sound a lot like Trump.

Via @juddlegum.bsky.social