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Jacob Weindling

@jakeweindling.bsky.social

Editor at Large @splinternews.bsky.social Rabid Colorado sports partisan. Mildly rabid lefty partisan. Reluctant finance guy. Accidental UFO reporter-ish (more on that later). Signal: JacobWeindling.16

5,312 Followers  |  2,492 Following  |  5,525 Posts  |  Joined: 23.07.2023
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Posts by Jacob Weindling (@jakeweindling.bsky.social)

Another thing that may be factoring into markets today that has nothing to do with Trump: AI jitters have abounded this year and tech and software have not done great. Nasdaq is the big winner today so it also could just be some mean reversion in the index that drives the market.

09.03.2026 20:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And oil started pulling back after the G7 said they may tap their reserve. Trump is not the only reason why markets are up. Markets are unhinged right now, but it's pretty naive to think they're just hanging on Trump's every word when they rode the TACO trade to all time highs last year.

09.03.2026 20:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Donald Trump, the president of the United States, aimlessly floated "taking over" the Strait of Hormuz in a conversation with a CBS News report... and American financial markets are reacting positively to that news!

We really do think we're the only people in the world.
www.cnbc.com/2026/03/08/c...

Donald Trump, the president of the United States, aimlessly floated "taking over" the Strait of Hormuz in a conversation with a CBS News report... and American financial markets are reacting positively to that news! We really do think we're the only people in the world. www.cnbc.com/2026/03/08/c...

Not trying to put anybody on blast here since finance is opaque, but if you're only looking at US markets and not oil, which is a global market, you just won't see the reason why markets are up.

Oil markets may be reacting positively to Trump's bullshit, but US markets are just reacting to oil.

09.03.2026 20:07 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Entire yield curve fell alongside the fall in oil too. None of this is rational but all of this happening together makes 100% sense. Oil and bonds are a pressure valve on stocks that just got slowly released today.

09.03.2026 19:52 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I know it's maddening to see stonks finish pretty green on such an insane day like this, but oil is now under $90. That's a mechanical move for the nasdaq to go from -2% at $110 oil to +1.2% at $89.

09.03.2026 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

hard to overstate how broken it all is if Crude can trade $81 -$119.40 in a day

09.03.2026 19:41 β€” πŸ‘ 77    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 2
A perfect lil 2 month old pitt mix puppy with brown fur and a black nose that looks like he's got a lot of German Shepherd in him staring at the camera and breaking your heart

A perfect lil 2 month old pitt mix puppy with brown fur and a black nose that looks like he's got a lot of German Shepherd in him staring at the camera and breaking your heart

Here's your daily Brody

09.03.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Maket reaction today has made me more convicted in my bear thesis, they're teaching Trump he can spike oil and get away with it even though no one ever has been able to do that. bsky.app/profile/jake...

09.03.2026 17:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Nasdaq green now. All the markets know is TACO

09.03.2026 16:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

This looks like a hostage video

09.03.2026 16:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Daily WTI oil chart showing a dramatic rise in 4 candles last week with a big up candle on Friday, then today's candle has a big thin line at the top and a thick bottom, meaning that it rose very high and that all got sold off, as it is now at $94

Daily WTI oil chart showing a dramatic rise in 4 candles last week with a big up candle on Friday, then today's candle has a big thin line at the top and a thick bottom, meaning that it rose very high and that all got sold off, as it is now at $94

Just an utterly unhinged daily oil candle

09.03.2026 15:32 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Oil under $100 now. Honestly would not be shocked if SPX finishes green today at this rate. 3 of the mag 7 are up and Microsoft is basically flat. Market clearly betting on short-term oil reserves carrying it until the inevitable TACO.

09.03.2026 15:26 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Lotta faith being put in short term solutions that can bridge the assumed TACO gap today

09.03.2026 15:01 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Tbh the market reaction today is not that bad. Futures were down over 2% last night and the Dow is down 1.5% now because oil pulled back to around $100. If anything this kind of measured reaction to bad news could embolden Trump.

09.03.2026 14:44 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Tbh no tax on tips is a much more well thought out policy than this birdbrained nonsense that blows up the social contract among Americans to fund our government.

09.03.2026 14:18 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Cool how good policy isn't a thing anymore and politicians just pitch stupid bullshit that won't work but sounds like it could to low information voters who don't vote on policy anyway.

In other words, this is the Democratic Party version of no tax on tips.

09.03.2026 14:16 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is a naive and stupid policy that won't do what you think it does and effectively ends the social contract between all of us funding the government. Also you will never be president.

09.03.2026 14:15 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I love Econ-positng. Dan Habsmith of Guttermeyer Associates posts the most confusing chart you've ever seen and says "Quite surprising VARG numbers, SPLG index showing movement" and you get the context by one of his mutuals quoting it with "Buy a fucking gun and head for the hills. Right now."

09.03.2026 03:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1321    πŸ” 207    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 4
Preview
It's Officially Time to Worry About Trump's Economy Since 2007, Jezebel has been the Internet's most treasured source for everything celebrities, sex, and politics...with teeth.

I've been flirting with my inner Cassandra all year while remaining generally optimistic about the economy, but after the spike in oil and today's horrific jobs report, I'm fully flipping bear. This is bad. www.jezebel.com/its-official...

06.03.2026 21:03 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
Post image

The Brent crude prompt timespread is currently over *$9/bbl*, a new all-time record.

Timespreads measure the steepness of the crude futures curve, which at the front (prompt) reflects how tightβ€”loose if negβ€”the spot market is.

The oil market has literally never been this tight.

09.03.2026 02:46 β€” πŸ‘ 136    πŸ” 26    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 3

We really are speed running all the worst ideas from the 1970s

09.03.2026 02:45 β€” πŸ‘ 122    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
State Dept. Said to Order Diplomats in Saudi Arabia to Leave

Yeah oil ain't pulling back any time soon www.nytimes.com/2026/03/08/w...

09.03.2026 02:26 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Iranian journalist reports in front of the flames of a burning Oil depot.

09.03.2026 01:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1719    πŸ” 624    πŸ’¬ 50    πŸ“Œ 96
Post image

Greg Ip on the other site:

09.03.2026 00:21 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2

He's very smart and understands that this is going to make his toys more expensive and he's already asking me why the Democratic Party isn't impeaching the bastard

09.03.2026 00:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
A brown 2 month old pitt mix that looks like it has a bunch of German Shepherd in it staring at the camera and breaking your heart

A brown 2 month old pitt mix that looks like it has a bunch of German Shepherd in it staring at the camera and breaking your heart

I already know how I'm going to die, either sleep deprivation or cuteness overload

09.03.2026 00:30 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I am already sleep deprived enough it sure feels that way

09.03.2026 00:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Getting a new puppy just as the clocks change is a great way to test how real time really is

09.03.2026 00:18 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

This is a thing that didn't happen and not sharing a video with this false characterization of it is certainly a choice some of us are judging! bsky.app/profile/char...

08.03.2026 23:31 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No she didn't

08.03.2026 23:26 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0