Jason "Jay" R. Patton's Avatar

Jason "Jay" R. Patton

@earthjay.bsky.social

i love paleoquakes, mud and sand, and dark chocolate, not always in the same order | CA Geol Survey Tsunami/Seismic Hazards | HSU/OSU grad | earthjay.com

3,825 Followers  |  1,993 Following  |  596 Posts  |  Joined: 14.07.2023  |  2.1345

Latest posts by earthjay.bsky.social on Bluesky

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#EarthquakeReport for the M 8.8 #Earthquake offshore of #Kamchatka #Russia

megathrust subduction zone earthquake
transpacific #Tsunam

report is prepared
some tide gage plots put together
i will update over the coming week

report here: earthjay.com/?p=12355

03.08.2025 23:06 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

pmel is different from the tsunami warning centers who run their own models

The forecasts are not based on this pmel model

You should attend the next training in Palmer. Next time we head up I’ll reach out so you can join us! :-)

03.08.2025 17:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

one interesting observation one could make from these early analyses is that this deformation pattern matches the aftershock pattern, showing that the slip may well be similar to that of the 1952 earthquake.

this shows that the megathrust slipped from the epicenter and to the south.

03.08.2025 02:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

you are awesome

03.08.2025 02:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Kamchatka Tsunami, July 29, 2025 tsunami propagation
YouTube video by NOAAPMEL Kamchatka Tsunami, July 29, 2025 tsunami propagation

NOAA PMEL's tsunami model for the M 8.8 Kamchatka earthquake generated tsunami

youtu.be/oOtJme0WUrc?...

03.08.2025 01:10 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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#EarthquakeReport #TsunamiReport for M 8.8 #Earthquake offshore of #Kamchatka #Russia

aftershock pattern matches 1952 slip model DOI: 10.1785/0120090376
interpretive poster
tide gage plots
report forthcoming

read 2024 report: earthjay.com?p=12053

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...

03.08.2025 01:05 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Good point

02.08.2025 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Good point

02.08.2025 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

You caught me red handed

02.08.2025 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 02.08.2025 16:16 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

thanks, yes

i was busy responding for the state. nonstop

will be posting Earthquake Report this weekend, after another good night's sleep!

01.08.2025 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

thanks! i was busy responding for the state. nonstop.

i finally got some sleep but will do more catch-up this weekend! :-)

01.08.2025 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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M8.8 earthquake strikes offshore Kamchatka A dangerous subduction megathrust ruptures once again

βš’οΈ πŸ§ͺ

A M8.8 earthquake just ruptured the subduction zone offshore Russia’s Kamchatka peninsula. This is one of the world’s truly huge earthquakes, and a triggered tsunami is currently traveling across the Pacific ocean.

This same fault ruptured on July 20th in a M7.4, and last August in a M7.1.

30.07.2025 04:05 β€” πŸ‘ 177    πŸ” 92    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 9

Si voleu info de qualitat en temes de terratrΓ¨mols estigueu atentes a aquest compte πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡ i a @earthjay.bsky.social

30.07.2025 05:01 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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the California Geological Survey has prepared a survey to gather your observations from the M8.8 Kamchatka, Russia Tsunami

If you have been able to make any observations of the tsunami or of the evidence left behind by tsunami, we want your information:

survey123.arcgis.com/share/76979d...

30.07.2025 16:58 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 33    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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#EarthquakeReport for M8.8 #Earthquake offshore of #Kamchatka #Russia

tied 8th largest magnitude temblor instrumentally recorded
@USGS_Quakes finite fault slip model 8+ meters slip
similar to 1952 M9

learn about tectonics here: earthjay.com?p=12053

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...

30.07.2025 08:56 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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#EarthquakeReport for M8.8 #Earthquake offshore of #Kamchatka #Russia

been busy responding and still doing that
aftershock pattern matches 1952 M9 rupture patch
'24 and 20 July '25 foreshocks

see report to learn more about 1952:
earthjay.com?p=12053

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...

30.07.2025 08:25 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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EPA Set to Unravel US Authority to Regulate Greenhouse Gases The Trump administration is set to announce its plans to abolish the US government’s authority to regulate greenhouse gases, threatening to strike a deep blow at Washington’s ability to fight climate ...

This is bad. Very very bad.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

29.07.2025 13:11 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 0

Good news! Though I must say the endless,β€˜whose opaque whims are determining policy today’ roulette is just exhausting.

29.07.2025 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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Near full locking on the shallow megathrust of the central Cascadia subduction zone revealed by GNSS-Acoustic The Cascadia subduction zone represents a seismic hazard to the Pacific Northwest region of North America, yet the state of fault locking near the def…

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

29.07.2025 02:27 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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#EarthquakeReport for M 6.9 #Earthquake offshore of #MacquarieIslands #NewZealand

Reverse (Compressional) earthquake mechanism
Possibly a small local tsunami? See tsunami.gov

Tectonic background in 2016 report: earthjay.com?p=3736

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...

28.07.2025 22:39 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€œSermon on the ’Mount” (South Park Season 27 Episode 1) South Park kicks off Season 27 by putting Trump in bed with Satan. Not a joke. They literally animated Trump naked, mocked his body, and had Satan whisper insults in his ear. This isn’t satireβ€”it’s po

rumble.com/v6wm188-sout...

Whole episode here

24.07.2025 15:13 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2
Disaster movies debunked the science behind the cine

Disaster movies debunked the science behind the cine

Your breast on stress why Kendrick Lamar was right

Your breast on stress why Kendrick Lamar was right

Shit happens and it’s full of microbes

Shit happens and it’s full of microbes

If you thought sex in the city was steamy wait until you hear about sex in the sea. The love life of fishes revealed.

If you thought sex in the city was steamy wait until you hear about sex in the sea. The love life of fishes revealed.

If you’re in the San Diego area come and join us for Nerd Nite Tomorrow - July 24! sandiego.nerdnite.com

23.07.2025 16:53 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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#EarthquakeReport for M7.4 #Earthquake offshore of #Kamchatka #Russia

potent ongoing sequence
interface megathrust subduction earthquake
edge of 1952 slip patch
report forthcoming

see '24 report for tectonic background
earthjay.com?p=12053

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...

23.07.2025 05:04 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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www.glerl.noaa.gov/blog/2025/07...

22.07.2025 15:20 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The GorDAS Distributed Acoustic Sensing Experiment Above the Cascadia Locked Zone and Subducted Gorda Slab #SRL βš’οΈ

A year’s worth of DAS data from above the subducting Gorda slab in Cascadia shows promise for earthquake early warning purposes.

pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/arti...

22.07.2025 15:03 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Immigrants generally commit fewer crimes than US citizens

They’re also extremely productive-and therefore helpful to the economy

So by attacking immigrants who had no criminal record Trump was directly harming America

Which leaves one question-why do it

One response seems fairly obvious

Racism

22.07.2025 03:03 β€” πŸ‘ 600    πŸ” 286    πŸ’¬ 37    πŸ“Œ 7
Map of the study area, showing the location of the Queen Charlotte Fault (QCF) in relation to the Pacific (PAC), North America (NA), Yakutat (YAK), Explorer (EXP) and Juan De Fuca (JdF) tectonic plates. Credit: Brandl et. al., Science Advances

Map of the study area, showing the location of the Queen Charlotte Fault (QCF) in relation to the Pacific (PAC), North America (NA), Yakutat (YAK), Explorer (EXP) and Juan De Fuca (JdF) tectonic plates. Credit: Brandl et. al., Science Advances

New study by LDEO postdoc Collin Brandl & colleagues reveals first detailed images of newly developing subduction zone off coast of British Columbia’s Haida Gwaii archipelago, with data collected during a 2021 cruise on Lamont's R/V Marcus G. Langseth. Learn more: lamont.columbia.edu/news/seismic...

22.07.2025 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2

i bet you all are exhausted. i know i am and none of these were really actionable.

21.07.2025 23:27 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Earthquake Report: M 7.0 Kamchatka - Jay Patton online I was in the San Francisco Bay area last weekend to see Phil Lesh (the bassist for the Grateful Dead) and many others at the 4th Sunday Daydream at McNears Park along the bay. Phil came down ill so wa...

yes, a handful M4+ foreshocks!

possibly including the 2024 M 7 sequence

earthjay.com?p=12053

21.07.2025 23:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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