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Public opinion + politics: data, analysis, commentary. In your inbox each morning: https://opiniontoday.substack.com/

3,314 Followers  |  1,404 Following  |  8,110 Posts  |  Joined: 26.08.2023
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Posts by Opinion Today (@opiniontoday.bsky.social)

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Texas primaries raise GOP alarm about Latino voters Strong Democratic turnout last week in heavily Latino parts of Texas has some Republicans fearing they will struggle to maintain the coalition Trump built in 2024.

Texas primaries raise GOP alarm about Latino voters.
(Washington Post-unlocked)
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

09.03.2026 05:41 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Two issues are weighing on American voters’ minds more than others: inflation and the cost of living, and threats to democracy. Each was named by 26%. When voters’ top two issues were combined, 48% chose inflation and costs, 36% chose threats to democracy.
(NBC News)
www.nbcnews.com/politics/202...

09.03.2026 04:34 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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In the U.S. and other countries, fewer people now say it’s necessary to believe in God to be moral
(Pew Research Center).
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

09.03.2026 02:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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War with Iran spreading economic damage far beyond oil and gas markets The conflict has hit Europe and Asia harder than the United States, with rising shipping costs and energy prices.

War with Iran spreading economic damage far beyond oil and gas markets: The conflict has hit Europe and Asia harder than the United States, with rising shipping costs and energy prices.
(@davidjlynch.bsky.social, Washington Post-unlocked)
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

09.03.2026 02:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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5 ways oil prices at $100 a barrel could hit your wallet Here's a closer look at how high oil prices can trickle down and raise your everyday costs.

5 ways oil prices at $100 a barrel could hit your wallet
finance.yahoo.com/personal-fin...

09.03.2026 01:50 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Long-Feared Persian Gulf Oil Squeeze Is Upon Us Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has ground to a virtual halt, unleashing the most severe energy crisis since the 1970s.

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has ground to a virtual halt, unleashing the most severe energy crisis since the 1970s and threatening the global economy.
(WSJ-unlocked)
www.wsj.com/world/middle...

09.03.2026 01:48 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump’s β€˜roaring’ economy meets a rough start to 2026: What the latest numbers show President Donald Trump promised that 2026 would be a bumper year for economic growth. Instead it's kicked off with job losses, rising gasoline prices and more uncertainty about America’s future.

President Trump promised that 2026 would be a bumper year for economic growth, but instead it has kicked off with job losses, rising gasoline prices and more uncertainty about America’s future.
apnews.com/article/trum...

09.03.2026 00:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Comes Under Pressure to Address Gas Prices, Iran War Strategy Some Republicans warn that Americans have a limited tolerance for pain at the gasoline pump.

Trump Comes Under Pressure to Address Gas Prices, Iran War Strategy: Some Republicans warn that Americans have a limited tolerance for pain at the gasoline pump
www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

09.03.2026 00:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Across a number of polls, the Iran strikes are facing limited support and notable, but not overwhelming, opposition β€” Clifford Young, Ipsos.
(@ipsosus.bsky.social / @gelliottmorris.com)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

09.03.2026 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Mind the Gaps: Global Attitudes Toward Gender Equality in 2026 Ipsos' International Women's Day survey finds some men and women not seeing eye to eye on gender equality issues.

Ipsos' International Women's Day survey finds some men and women not seeing eye to eye on gender equality issues.
www.ipsos.com/en-us/intern...

09.03.2026 00:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Americans are living for the weekend: Vast majorities like Saturday and Sunday while Mondays are divisive.
(Jamie Ballard, YouGov)
yougov.com/en-us/articl...

09.03.2026 00:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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Gallup Ends Presidential Approval Polling After 88 Yearsβ€”Likely Because a President Disapproved Gallup's extensive database had allowed journalists to compare approval ratings among all presidents since Franklin D. Roosevelt at various stages of their tenure.

The Gallup Poll announced this month it would no longer measure presidential approval. The truth is, with all the other polls that exist today, hardly anyone seems to notice. Except, perhaps, the president of the United States.
(David W. Moore, @fairmediawatch.bsky.social)
fair.org/home/why-gal...

08.03.2026 23:50 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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If time changes were to be eliminated, more Americans would prefer Permanent Daylight Saving Time, with its later sunrises and sunsets, than Permanent Standard Time's earlier sunrises and sunsets.
(@alxrh.bsky.social, YouGov)
yougov.com/en-us/articl...

08.03.2026 23:42 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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A new national survey conducted by the Manhattan Institute examines today’s Democratic coalition and the tensions shaping the party ahead of the 2026 midterm and 2028 presidential election cycles.
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

08.03.2026 23:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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More Republicans now support β€œstrong leaders” who β€œbend the rules.”
(@johnsides.bsky.social @goodauth.bsky.social)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

08.03.2026 23:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Early polls show doubt about Iran. What comes next?
(Clifford Young, Ipsos)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

08.03.2026 23:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Most Americans say that they are against the U.S. military action in Iran and disapprove of how President Trump is handling it β€” NPR/PBS News/Marist poll.
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

08.03.2026 23:11 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How Talarico Won Texas Democrats With Love, Luck and a Little Restraint

A disciplined campaign that capitalized on viral media, months of organizing and strong outreach to Latino voters helped propel James Talarico to the center of Texas politics.
(@jdavidgoodman.bsky.social, @shanegoldmacher.bsky.social and Reid J. Epstein, NYT-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/u...

08.03.2026 01:11 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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OPINION WEEKEND
Majority of Americans oppose military action in Iran | More Republicans now support β€œstrong leaders” who β€œbend the rules” | Economic Warning Signs Pile Up for Republicans Ahead of Midterms | Analysis of today’s Democratic coalition ... & much more: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

08.03.2026 09:08 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Opinion of Trump’s military actions are malleable - PollsAndVotes Opinion of Trump’s military actions are malleable … but approval of Trump barely budges

Will this new Iran war be a quick success or a prolonged engagement with declining support? By the initial polls, more people oppose the new war than support it, with quite a few undecided. That’s not a position of strength with public opinion.
(@pollsandvotes.bsky.social)
pollsandvotes.com/?p=613

08.03.2026 07:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Wars Often Lose Public Support Over Time. Trump Started This One Without Much.

With the opening of his military assault against Iran, Donald Trump has achieved another distinction: He is the first president in the era of modern polling to take the United States to war without the support of the public.
(@peterbakernyt.bsky.social, NYT-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/06/u...

07.03.2026 23:40 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Economic Warning Signs Pile Up for Republicans Ahead of Midterms

Economic Warning Signs Pile Up for Republicans Ahead of Midterms.
(Reid J. Epstein and @bencasselman.bsky.social, NYT-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/u...

08.03.2026 08:51 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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OPINION WEEKEND
Majority of Americans oppose military action in Iran | More Republicans now support β€œstrong leaders” who β€œbend the rules” | Economic Warning Signs Pile Up for Republicans Ahead of Midterms | Analysis of today’s Democratic coalition ... & much more: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

08.03.2026 09:08 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Economic Warning Signs Pile Up for Republicans Ahead of Midterms

Economic Warning Signs Pile Up for Republicans Ahead of Midterms.
(Reid J. Epstein and @bencasselman.bsky.social, NYT-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/u...

08.03.2026 08:51 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Opinion of Trump’s military actions are malleable - PollsAndVotes Opinion of Trump’s military actions are malleable … but approval of Trump barely budges

Will this new Iran war be a quick success or a prolonged engagement with declining support? By the initial polls, more people oppose the new war than support it, with quite a few undecided. That’s not a position of strength with public opinion.
(@pollsandvotes.bsky.social)
pollsandvotes.com/?p=613

08.03.2026 07:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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War isn't what it once was.
(Nate Silver)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260303-top...

04.03.2026 02:10 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Republic and Its Enemies There can be no compromise on our founding principles of freedom, equality, and fellowship.

The anti-Trump coalition is a negative coalition, defined by what it opposes rather than what it supports. A negative coalition can be an effective source of resistance, but it cannot be the foundation for a durable political order.
(@tompepinsky.com)
www.liberalcurrents.com/the-republic...

04.03.2026 23:51 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Fox News Poll: Socialism gaining ground among voters.
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/opinion-to...

07.03.2026 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How Talarico Won Texas Democrats With Love, Luck and a Little Restraint

A disciplined campaign that capitalized on viral media, months of organizing and strong outreach to Latino voters helped propel James Talarico to the center of Texas politics.
(@jdavidgoodman.bsky.social, @shanegoldmacher.bsky.social and Reid J. Epstein, NYT-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/u...

08.03.2026 01:11 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Wars Often Lose Public Support Over Time. Trump Started This One Without Much.

With the opening of his military assault against Iran, Donald Trump has achieved another distinction: He is the first president in the era of modern polling to take the United States to war without the support of the public.
(@peterbakernyt.bsky.social, NYT-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/06/u...

07.03.2026 23:40 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0