Richard

It's official, the Santa Claus Rally didn't happen this year. Is it a piece of useless trivia or a stern warning of things to come? #stockmarket #investing

A Disappearing Seasonal Factor A long-term soft spot on the stock market's calendar would be useful to know about. But only if it is really there. Also this week, a potential bearish engulfing candle appears.

The last week of November is traditionally bullish, but beware a possible bearish candlestick pattern on the monthly charts! Covered in this week's Prime Wave. #trading #investing
prime.swingex.com/p/seasonal-f...

Which ones look best to you for 2026 and/or which ones seem most vulnerable?

I get the feeling that the reaction to this news will be more telling than the news itself. Do people think Burry is foolish? If so, he may end up being proven correct.

With a possible delayed reaction, the S&P 500 usually falls after the index goes into triple digits.

Is the #stockmarket primed for a fall? The NAAIM exposure index has reached 100.83 and previous (post-COVID) excursions over 100 were not exactly bullish. Whether you are #trading or #investing, beware!

The stock market gods didn't grant your wish. Down 3% pre-market. Still see it as a short?

Zooming Out: Where to go when you don't know where to go prime.swingex.com/p/zooming-out #stocks #finance

The Swingex Index has turned solidly negative. A minus 4 means the #stockmarket could get a little rocky for the next few days/weeks. If you are #trading, it is time to get conservative or even go short if you dare. You can see the index here: www.swingex.com/indicator/to...

People on TV are talking about the #stockmarket going down like we are in a bear market. It is still higher than it was a week ago. 🙄

High Beta And Low Volatility Not On Speaking Terms What happens when "high beta" stocks go up and "low volatility" stocks go down? Also, a newbie trader's search for a trading system.

Low vol and high vol stocks can't agree on which way to go. Who will win? prime.swingex.com/p/too-high-b... #stockmarket #trading

I bought shares of Planet Labs (PL) two months ago for exactly $5 and then sold recently for $9.45. Despite the great trade, I am still feeling seller's remorse. What, if anything, does this say about the #stockmarket?

Well $PL was trending on Monday after a favorable earnings report and commentary. #stocks

American stock exchanges now have more listings for ETFs than individual operating companies. The #EU prevents its residents from buying American ETFs to protect its inferior financial services industry. So its bloated sales/mgmt fees for you, Europe! #Protectionism for everyone!

I wonder what the ratio of trades to people was back then.

The last 8 days for #NVDA have been: Up-Down-Up-Down-Up-Down-Up-Down. Volume always higher on the Down day than on the Up day that preceded it. Probably not just bad luck that the stock cracked yesterday and closed below its 20 day avg for the first time since April. #technicalanalysis #stockmarket

Deporting bearish traders! Only a very stable genius could have thought of that!

One year of TSLA, with Bollinger band width at lowest point in a long time.

Nobody ever confuses #TSLA with a dull, quiet stock. But it has actually been funneling itself into a triangle pattern. Which way it will leave the triangle is a matter of opinion (and bias). #stockmarket #technicalanalysis

What a Plus 7 on the Swingex Index means A +7 is bullish, but how bullish? Here we take a look at the market's prospects when the Swingex Index gives us a reading of 7.

What a Plus 7 on the Swingex Index means for the #stockmarket.
prime.swingex.com/p/seven

In July alone, the market cap of NVIDIA increased by the equivalent of 5 Starbuckses. And we're not talking about individual locations. #stockmarket #nvda #sbux

Last week there were two data points giving opposite signals. NAAIM exposure index starting to run a little hot, but OTOH a curious spike in equity put/call ratio. So far Israel/Iran is overriding both of them. #stockmarket #technicalanalysis

Beyond Meat (BYND) just printed a Rising Three Methods chart pattern over the past 5 days. #TechnicalAnalysis probably doesn't work, but if it did it would be a bullish sign for $BYND. #Trading

With all the #TACO talk, I decided to look at how some taco stocks have done since the April 2 #tariffs announcement:

$CMG: -4.4%
$LOCO: -6.6%
$YUM: -8.8%

YUM owns Taco Bell as well as some non-taco chains.

You might have heard, #NVDA is reporting earnings this week.

- Their actual earnings for last quarter don't matter
- Management's comments/forecasts matter a little
- The market's reaction to it all is the most important thing

Don't worry about what the market "should" do. Just watch what happens.

As the great statesman #DaveChappelle said back in 2017: I wanna wear Nikes, I don't wanna make 'em! #tariffs

Yesterday was the third-best day ever for the S&P 500 $SPX. You sometimes see hypotheticals where people say "If you had only invested in the 5 best days of the year..." or "If you had only missed the 5 worst days...". In reality, the best days and worst days are tightly comingled. #stockmarket

Lost in all the tariff talk, the weekly NAAIM index was just published. At 49.37 it is the lowest since the autumn of 2023. #sentiment #stockmarket

Been watching $SPHB for a sign the market might run a bit more. Point of interest is $82.75 which corresponds to the closes yesterday and Monday, and the doji outside the Bollinger bands a couple weeks ago. A close clearly above that area would be nice. #trading #stockmarket

CNN Fear and Greed Index stuck in Extreme Fear level

Here's a good example of why traders are so flummoxed right now. It's so rare to be stuck in "Extreme Fear" for days on end. #trading #stockmarket

Will be interesting to see the AAII survey tomorrow. Usually it is taken as a contrarian indicator but it is not necessarily the case during super-negative times. In 1990 + 2022 the public (AAII members) turned very bearish months ahead of the market bottom. #trading #stockmarket

Moderna ($MRNA) was over $400 at peak vaccination and $125 as recently as last July. Now $34. Countless people have called a bottom in this stock all the way down. When it finally happens it will likely be a W bottom, so no need to rush in or guess. #stockmarket #trading