Igor Geyn

Appendix A7 most striking graph for me:

2024 brought high voter turnout – but a growing racial gap New data shows that while white turnout has spiked, turnout among Black and other non-white Americans has stagnated.

In recent years, white turnout has spiked. But turnout among Black and other non-white Americans has stagnated. @devincaughey.bsky.social, Bernard Fraga, @rpgriffin.bsky.social & I have a summary in @goodauth.bsky.social of our work on turnout in U.S. elections. goodauthority.org/news/2024-br...

Genuinely useful academic contribution! UCLA has a "cluster" sequence teaching the music/history/politics of the 1960s, and I've used Billboard charts in a bunch of teaching material.

Now there's music to go with it. Good on you, Wouter!

It's possible that the almost-certainly-short-term deployment of federal agents/NG is going to abate crime in D.C. (I'm skeptical), but it seems--at a minimum--a good idea to also consider the many research-backed ideas presented by @jenniferdoleac.bsky.social and others.

youtu.be/BbLDpIXnNkk?...

drop your best book recs 📚💙

Cross-posting to offset some bad karma (posting to X) with good karma.

I wrote up a quick tweet thread covering a super-interesting AEJ: EP paper on natural disasters and special interest pandering, which is forthcoming in the same edition as my paper with Daniel Firoozi.

x.com/GeynIgor/sta...

38 states have legalized sports betting, but little is known about the financial, social, and behavioral impacts.

@arnoldventures.bsky.social is committed to building the evidence base with our newest RFP.

LOIs due 9/15 and details here: www.arnoldventures.org/causal-resea...

I noticed only because I update the @calmatters.org Trump lawsuit tracker, but the URL for the FEMA memo from April that cancelled $4.5B in disaster-prevention grants is now dead. The multi-state suit linked to this: www.fema.gov/press-releas.... It's a 404 error. But it lives on the Wayback Machine

What are some good things to read to learn more about production approaches to causal inference--for example in tech--for someone who's mostly been exposed to one-off analyses a la academic papers?

one last post on international students -- public opinion is not in the administration's favor on this, and universities should not let them forget it

5 Key Facts About Medicaid and Pregnancy | KFF This brief examines Medicaid’s pregnancy and postpartum coverage and its support for strengthening and improving maternal health outcomes.

Medicaid is the primary payer for maternity care in the U.S. It finances about 4 in 10 (41%) births nationally — nearly half in rural communities (47%).

Our new brief covers more facts you may find surprising.

*me, at age 20, looking up from an econometrics problem set, calculus homework, or paper about the politics of the Seljuk Empire*

"Yes, the single most important question for me right now is learning about freedom and liberty, things of which I know nothing and have no reference for."

Our community must take this issue very seriously!

ideally, we'd post these publicly:
raw_no_pii.csv
cleaning.R
clean.rds
analysis.R

but destroy or archive privately:
raw.csv
remove_pii.R

(was glad to see in this thread political science apparently does better than other fields but still)

Do Tuition Subsidies Raise Political Participation? (Forthcoming Article) - Civic externalities motivate education expenditures, but estimates of the civic returns to large-scale education subsidies are scarce. We use 16 million financial aid applicati...

Forthcoming in AEJ: Economic Policy: "Do Tuition Subsidies Raise Political Participation?" by Daniel Firoozi and Igor Geyn. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

PhD on Metascience

I am hiring a PhD student on the meaningful interpretation of effect sizes as part of my VICI funded project. This is a 4 year paid position in a welcoming and collaborative environment. Find out more or apply at www.tue.nl/werken-bij-t...

#edresearch #education research friends—the CRDC website has a (seemingly) random smattering data on its website. What I've been able to find is excellent, but many years missing.

Does anyone know where I might the missing years? Many thanks!

civilrightsdata.ed.gov/data

position_jitter()

position_jitter_ellipse()

position_sunflower()

position_circlepack()

New visualization tool alert!

The vayr package version 1.0.0 is now on CRAN.

It contains position adjustments for ggplot2 that help with overplotting in pleasing ways. My favorite is position_sunflower().

- install.packages("vayr")
- alexandercoppock.com/vayr

#rstats #ggplot2 #dataviz

we have now posted the 2024 Cooperative Election Study common content dataset to the @harvarddataverse.bsky.social! data from 60,000 American adults interviewed before & after the election. thanks to @today.yougov.com & Caroline Soler for getting this data produced & posted doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

Regrettably, not a single question about union status, especially given the large contrast in satisfaction between older and younger workers.

Perhaps more precisely: What quality does the American worker perceive from these reshored jobs?

Blue-collar workers are less satisfied at work, less attached to their jobs than other U.S. workers Among blue-collar workers, 43% say they feel extremely or very satisfied with their jobs; by comparison, 53% of other workers express this level of satisfaction.

Headline overstates the results a bit (IMO), but still makes you think: of what quality is the typical regained job, if 'Liberation' is somehow able to reshore in some industries?

www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

Really cool new working paper by @cohodes.bsky.social and @camarnzen.bsky.social ! Definitely worth checking out if you’re interested in the intersection of education and political economy.

Title: Both Liberal and Conservative Judges Rule Against Trump Description: A scatter plot showing the rulings of judges against or in favor of Trump, categorized by ideology using the DIME score. The x-axis represents Judge Ideology (DIME Score), ranging from liberal (-1) to conservative (1), and the y-axis represents the case outcome (against or for Trump). • Blue dots represent liberal judges, purple dots represent moderate judges, and red dots represent conservative judges. • Some judges are labeled, including Rudolph Contreras, Lauren King, John Coughenour, and James Emanuel Boasberg on the liberal to moderate side, and Carl Nichols, Richard J. Leon, and Joseph N. Laplante on the conservative side. • A note mentions that Boasberg, though slightly right-leaning, was initially appointed by George W. Bush. • The visualization suggests that judges from both ideological backgrounds ruled against Trump.

1/🧵 Judges across ideological lines are ruling against Trump at strikingly similar rates (84% liberal, 86% centrist, 82% conservative). This isn't partisan opposition to Trump—it's the judiciary functioning as intended by cutting across partisan lines to uphold the Constitution.

If you live in one of the 50 states, you have an important political power that I (a resident of DC) do not: you have a senator. And I'm asking you to take 5 minutes today to use that power to speak up for my family, my city, and our county by calling your senators and asking them to oppose the CR

I'm beginning to put together the summer schedule for the ViCE seminar. If you have a paper related to crime or the criminal justice system that you'd like to present, please email me!

Current & past schedules:
jenniferdoleac.com/vice-seminar/

Buy, Borrow, Die: How Billionaires Legally Avoid Paying Taxes While the Rest of Us Can't A Step-by-Step Guide to How the Ultra-Wealthy Minimize Their Tax Burden While Their Fortunes Multiply

As markets plummet again today from Trump's chaotic economic policies, ask yourself: Why would billionaires back policies that tank their own stock values?

It’s the taxes.

I wrote a step-by-step explainer of how billionaires avoid paying taxes. People are often surprised when I explain it.🧵

Belle and Sebastian's bio on Spotify written as if to set off every DOGE alert known to man.

Student Larissa Griffith pulls cupcakes out of the oven in the kitchen of her dorm at Feather River College, a community college located in Quincy, on Feb. 12, 2025. Photo by Fred Greaves for CalMatters “As a former foster youth, it’s sink or swim... Anything I get, I had to fight for.”  Larissa Griffith, 20, found free housing her first semester, but it came with a catch: She was on call, 24 hours a day, including holidays, at her landlord’s farm. 

Feather River College is still reeling from the 2021 Dixie Fire, which destroyed hundreds of homes. The college is one of many schools that have tried — and failed — to secure state grants to build more student housing. calmatters.org/education/hi...

📝 Adam Echelman
📸 Fred Greaves

Bottom line: The intentional loss of exceptional scientists and other terrific public servants at NOAA leaves our country less safe and more vulnerable.