Annie Duke

Annie Duke's AMA for Maven Course: Make Better Decisions Ask Me Anything! Event Timing: Thursday, April 3, 2025; 6:00 PM ET Event Address: A Zoom link will be sent to registrants Course Dates: April 28-May 15

Join me tonight on Zoom for an "ask me anything."

I'm so excited for my next live, 3-week cohort-based course on Making Better Decisions with Maven from April 28- May 15. If you have any Qs about the course-please come and ask!

Register here! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Thanks to the @forbes.com Expert Panel for including #ThinkingInBets in their article on "20 Resources To Hone Your Leadership Skills" as "a game-changer for decision making under uncertainty."

www.forbes.com/councils/for...

h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership

Running for Change: Support Bay Cove Human Services Hi everyone.The last few years have been a long journey. While in prison I became a runner. When I found out last year that I had been denied a hearing by the Supreme Court and might have to go back t...

Sharing this cause for a good friend, today. Donate if you can!
www.givengain.com/project/char...

Opinion | Finally, something is puncturing conspiracy theories Researchers have long struggled to combat conspiracy theories. Artificial Intelligence offers hope.

Fascinating, from @annieduke.com

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

One thing to learn from Thinking in Bets by @annieduke.com is how every product-related decision is a bet.

Building a feature, defining experiments, scoping MVP, you name it.

What follows, in the vast majority of cases, smaller bet will be smarter.

In other words: build less.

“When we finally quit, we realize we should have done it long ago.” ~ @annieduke.com

It always surprises me in how many contexts it stands true.

Pulling a plug on a new product idea? Check.
Finally, letting an underperformed go? Check.
Heck, my marriage... Check.

Critical Thinking skills are sorely lacking in the West.

Probabilistic resources:
alliancefordecisioneducation.org
@annieduke.com book "Quit"
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (David Spiegelhalter 2025)
Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions (Gerd Gigerenzer)

Did you know former pro poker player ♠️ @annieduke.com has her PhD in #CognitivePsychology & writes about #DecisionScience? I'm so pumped to read her books! 🤩📚🔖 www.today.com/video/annie-...

Author & Poker Champion Annie Duke winning bets: decision science in venture capital

Decision-making in venture capital is filled with cognitive traps.

I had a fascinating conversation with @aurenh.bsky.social about loss aversion, mental accounting, and knowing when to trust your gut.

Check out our full discussion on World of DaaS: www.worldofdaas.com/p/annie-duke

Opinion | Should you take the Musk buyout? Here’s a test. How to decide whether the “deferred resignation” offer makes sense for you.

"I am not in the business of telling people what to decide, but in helping people with how to decide," @annieduke.com writes.

"That is what I did this week when two government workers (independently) sought me out for help." wapo.st/4jJg0mW

Episode 035: Your Future Self Will Thank You with Bina Venkataraman Annie Duke speaks with journalist and author Bina Venkataraman about the barriers to making long-term decisions.

You don’t want to miss my conversation with journalist & author Bina Venkatarama on this week’s episode of The Decision Education Podcast! We explore the difficulty of delaying gratification, the power of gamification, & more. Listen now!

alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

The highest compliment from someone who disagrees with you is not “You were right.” It’s “You made me think.”

Good arguments help us recognize complexity where we once saw simplicity.

The ultimate purpose of debate is not to produce consensus. It’s to promote critical thinking.

Opinion | Should you take the Musk buyout? Here’s a test. How to decide whether the “deferred resignation” offer makes sense for you.

There are currently 2.3 million people working for the federal government who have until Feb. 6 to decide whether to take a “deferred resignation” offer.

So, if you're one of them, should you take it Let's discuss. My latest in the @washingtonpost.com.
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...

Opinion | Should you accept a ‘deferred resignation’ offer? Annie Duke takes your questions. This live chat with readers will begin at 2 p.m. ET on Feb. 4. Submit your questions.

Join me tomorrow at 2 p.m. ET for a live chat online with @washingtonpost.com.

Are you a federal worker considering whether to accept a "deferred resignation" offer? Join the chat and let's discuss. #WhenToQuit

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Episode 034: The Systems That Shape Us with Seth Godin Annie Duke and Seth Godin, renowned author, entrepreneur, and marketing expert, explore the role of systems in shaping our choices.

I had a fabulous time talking to author and entrepreneur @sethgodin.bsky.social for the latest episode of The Decision Education Podcast. We covered how both social identities and systems shape our behavior—and ways we can reclaim our agency. Tune in! alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

This is an excellent book that I really wish I'd been able to read 40 years ago.

Fantastically useful in all sorts of areas of life. Thank you
@annieduke.com

How great leaders make hard decisions Join this live panel hosted by Annie Duke (Decision Strategist & Author) with top leaders from Webflow, Lattice, and Newfront on how they navigate organizational conflict, stand firm on controversial ...

Navigating #uncertainty feels timely. I previously hosted a 30-minute webinar discussing how great leaders make #decisions in times of uncertainty. You're able to re-watch the full discussion here: maven.com/p/41fdd5/how...

Make Better Decisions by Annie Duke on Maven Beat decision paralysis. Master a repeatable process for making better decisions in business and life.

If you find yourself wanting more on this subject, join me in my next live, cohort-based course on how to make better decisions.

In times like now, it is important that we learn to navigate and embrace uncertainty. And that begins with understanding decision science.

maven.com/annie-duke/m...

Philip Tetlock: How to See the Future [The Knowledge Project Ep. #6] Philip Tetlock shares the 15-minute exercise that radically improves forecasting accuracy.

How to See ➡️ the Future.

If making better decisions is something that’s important to you (and I hope it is), make sure to check out Philip Tetlock's interview with @shaneaparrish.bsky.social on #FS's podcast. One of my all-time favorites.

fs.blog/knowledge-pr...

Episode 033: The Neuroscience of Optimism with Dr. Tali Sharot Annie Duke welcomes cognitive neuroscientist Dr. Tali Sharot to explore her groundbreaking research on optimism bias, memory, decision-making, and human behavior.

I had a great conversation with cognitive neuroscientist Dr. Tali Sharot on the latest episode of The #DecisionEducation Podcast! We explore the challenges of updating our beliefs & so much more. Give the episode a listen!

alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

Make Better Decisions by Annie Duke on Maven Beat decision paralysis. Master a repeatable process for making better decisions in business and life.

Excited to share that I'm once again offering my live, 3-week cohort-based course to help you "Make Better Decisions."

If you're looking to improve your decision making abilities in this new year, I hope you consider joining me. Learn more or reserve your spot today.
maven.com/annie-duke/m...

We humans are just not very good at updating our beliefs in the face of new information, 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛 𝑎𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟 𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑙𝑒 𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑢𝑡 ℎ𝑜𝑤 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑤ℎ𝑦 𝑤𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑦 𝑔𝑜𝑜𝑑 𝑎𝑡 𝑢𝑝𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑏𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑓𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑛𝑒𝑤 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛.

My latest Substack #confirmationbias

annieduke.substack.com/p/oops-i-rea...

Opinion | How poker players keep New Year’s resolutions Gamblers know how a bet can change our behavior.

Who wants to make a bet? Thanks @annieduke.com www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Opinion | How poker players keep New Year’s resolutions Gamblers know how a bet can change our behavior.

This piece by @annieduke.com is fun and useful - like her books. If you haven’t read one, start with Thinking in Bets and go from there.

and Happy New Year Annie!
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Thinking of making a New Year’s resolution? You’re in good company. Lots of people use fresh start dates like new year’s to motivate goal pursuit. If Jan 1 gives you a sense that your past failures are history and makes you think big picture about your goals, you may benefit from leaning into it! 🧵

Opinion | How poker players keep New Year’s resolutions Gamblers know how a bet can change our behavior.

Great article to start the new year by @annieduke.com

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Opinion | Why so many people celebrated the death of Brian Thompson What the killing of the UnitedHealth CEO tells us about our morality.

"Even though it is in my area of study, I am still surprised by the extent to which our tribal instincts can rock our moral foundations, as they did in these cases."

@kurtjgray.bsky.social and I discuss the psychology of victimhood and harm in this op-ed. 👇🏻

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Cool graphic from Maven about my year in review and impact of my live, cohort based decision education courses and lessons.

My next live, masterclass for decision education begins Feb 10th, and you can reserve your spot today. Looking forward to a great year ahead!
maven.com/annie-duke?u...

I spoke to Josh Kopelman of First Round, for the latest episode of The #DecisionEducation Podcast! We discussed the importance of making the implicit explicit, the necessity of truth-seeking and humility for effective decision-making, and much more.

alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

Make Better Decisions by Annie Duke on Maven Beat decision paralysis. Master a repeatable process for making better decisions in business and life.

My next live, cohort-based course with Maven is now open for enrollment. ♠️ Classes will be Feb 10—27, 2025.

Use code #BlackFriday when you register to get 25% off course fee: BLACKFRIDAY25. Learn more or register today.
#DecisionScience #MakeBetterDecisions

maven.com/annie-duke/m...