Sebastian Jungkunz

Sebastian Jungkunz

@sjungkunz.bsky.social

Post-Doc at Uni Bonn and Uni Bamberg. Political Behavior | Populism | Extremism | Quantitative Methods https://sites.google.com/view/sebastianjungkunz/

145 Followers 219 Following 18 Posts Joined Nov 2024
3 months ago
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A week ago, we - the PerFair project - celebrated the successful data collection among 7th graders in Germany 🎉funded by @excinequality.bsky.social! 🙏 to a bunch of great colleagues from political science and sociology for coming all the way to Konstanz, inspiring comments and impressive talks! 🙏🤓👍

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6 months ago

@markuswagner.bsky.social‬ @na-wehl.bsky.social‬ @sgarritzmann.bsky.social‬ @ainagallego.bsky.social‬ @johanneskiess.bsky.social @noamgidron.bsky.social‬ @steffenmau.bsky.social‬ @littvay.bsky.social‬

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6 months ago

@gertpickel.bsky.social‬ @susipickel.bsky.social‬ @seaytac.bsky.social‬ @thmskrr.bsky.social‬ @nilssteiner.bsky.social‬ @rdassonneville.bsky.social‬ @albertostefanelli.bsky.social‬ @sabrinajmayer.bsky.social‬ @heikogiebler.bsky.social @chrisclaassen.bsky.social‬ @melff.bsky.social‬

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6 months ago

@usociety.bsky.social‬ @aleininger.bsky.social‬ @cwegscheider.bsky.social‬ @macarenaares.bsky.social‬ @chdausgaard.bsky.social‬ @lchristensen.bsky.social‬ @professormpersson.bsky.social‬ @eichhornjan.bsky.social‬ @mportosg.bsky.social‬ @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social‬ @ackermannk.bsky.social

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6 months ago

This could be of interest for: @johnholbein1.bsky.social @bcastanho.bsky.social‬ @eliasdinas.bsky.social‬ @ggalbacete.bsky.social‬ @wurthmann.bsky.social‬ @hannawass.bsky.social‬ @bryonyhoskins.bsky.social‬ @hlaht.bsky.social‬ @janierola.net‬ @anjaneundorf.bsky.social‬ @kunkakom.bsky.social‬

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6 months ago

Sequence analysis helps distinguish temporary apathy from lasting disengagement, revealing whether political involvement is stable or precarious. Looking beyond short-term fluctuations puts trajectories in perspective, showing that delayed engagement can be very different from permanent withdrawal.

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6 months ago

Sequence analysis is rarely used in political science so far and we extensively discuss its advantages and empirical application. Conventional methods either look at states (cross-sections), differences between time-points (fixed-effects), or mean development across time (growth curve models).

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6 months ago

Finally, we show that parental (education and political interest) and individual level predictors (education, vocational training, social participation) predict the pathways to political involvement of adolescents.

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6 months ago

Importantly, we find that these patterns already exist at an even younger age (age 11-15). This uncovers an underexplored section of adolescents who were involved in politics at the age of 11/12 but lost interest again by the age of 14/15 (so called “teen apathy”).

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6 months ago
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We then cluster these sequences into four typologies: stable apathy, stable involvement, late involvement, and independents.

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6 months ago
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In this paper, we use sequence analyses to identify prevailing trajectories of political involvement (and apathy) from adolescence to young adulthood in Germany and the United Kingdom. This figure shows the fluctuation of political apathy and involvement between age 17-25.

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6 months ago
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Pathways to politics: a sequence analysis of political apathy and involvement Understanding inequality in political involvement is a core goal of political science. Previous research has examined specific life-course influences, but there is limited knowledge about the diver...

New paper out in @wepsocial.bsky.social‬: Pathways to politics: a sequence analysis of political apathy and involvement (open access)
doi.org/10.1080/0140...

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8 months ago

Check your mail.

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8 months ago

IN NEW ISSUE: The US 2020 Elections - @sjungkunz.bsky.social, @robfahey.net & A Hino investigate the dynamics of political violence justification & its connection with populist attitudes & conspiracy beliefs: buff.ly/6JplH9f

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social #ECRs @sagepub.com

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11 months ago
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We crowdsourced 85 teams to indep. computationally reproduce results from a single study in randomized conditions. Reproducibility:

• depends heavily on the transparency of materials
• high (~95%) for same sign/sig, but low (btw. 48-77% depending on transparency) when requiring within 0.1 effects

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1 year ago
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The relationship between economic hardship and political violence is the focus on this note by @sjungkunz.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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1 year ago

This study suggests that the income gap in political participation cannot be fully understood without accounting for life cycle processes and genetic background.

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1 year ago

Family fixed-effects models among early adults further show no significant effect of income differences on political interest after controlling for family background and genetic influences.

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1 year ago

While 30–40% of the total variance in political interest of twin adolescents (age 10–18) can be attributed to genetic influences, a gene–environment interaction model shows that this share is much lower among poor compared to rich families.

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1 year ago

This study investigates whether high parental income creates an enhancing environment that increases the influence of genetic dispositions on political interest using the German TwinLife study (2014–2020, age 10–29, n = 6,174).

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1 year ago
Parental income moderates the influence of genetic dispositions on political interest in adolescents | Politics and the Life Sciences | Cambridge Core Parental income moderates the influence of genetic dispositions on political interest in adolescents

New Paper out in Politics and the Life Sciences (@cambridgeuppolisci.bsky.social): “Parental income moderates the influence of genetic dispositions on political interest in adolescents” (doi.org/10.1017/pls....).

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1 year ago
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【Waseda University Podcasts: Rigorous Research, Real Impact】Democratic Backsliding and the Role of Populism Waseda University released the third episode, “Democratic Backsliding and the Role of Populism”, of its English language podcast series “Rig...

I've been interviewing researchers from various departments at Waseda for our university podcast series, and my first episode, with Prof. Marisa Kellam, was published last week. Hopefully my dulcet tones are more soothing than the grim topic of democratic backsliding.
www.waseda.jp/top/en/news/...

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1 year ago

@robfahey.net

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1 year ago

The US 2020 Elections - @sjungkunz.bsky.social, Robert A Fahey & Airo Hino investigate the dynamics of political violence justification & its connection with populist attitudes & conspiracy beliefs: https://buff.ly/3ZidmeI

@uoypolitics.bsky.social #ECRs

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1 year ago

Inspired by @dtoshkov.bsky.social and the upcoming conference abstract season, types of EPSA papers

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