New article by @jeromed.bsky.social et al., The end of Jihadi Salafism? The religious governance of HTS, the Post-Jihadi rebel ruler in Northern Syria www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
18.05.2025 14:52 — 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0@jeromed.bsky.social
Senior analyst on Jihad and Modern Conflict at International Crisis Group (ICG). Associate at Graduate Institute Geneva. Interested in armed groups. Books on Jihad in Egypt and Syria (openaccess). Forthcoming book on HTS
New article by @jeromed.bsky.social et al., The end of Jihadi Salafism? The religious governance of HTS, the Post-Jihadi rebel ruler in Northern Syria www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
18.05.2025 14:52 — 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0As POTUS meets Syrian President Al-Sharaa, the world asks how an Al-Qaeda affiliated jihadi group evolved into the movement rebuilding Syria post-Assad. Find out how in 'Transformed by the People' by @jeromed.bsky.social & Patrick Haenni. Pre-order here ➡️ tinyurl.com/mr9w9tex
tinyurl.com/4cbrp9de
So excited to see this out. Stathis and I presented a first version of this paper at APSA in 2010.
28.04.2025 15:05 — 👍 42 🔁 6 💬 2 📌 0NEW OP-ED | Syria’s Uncertain New Order
Many are worried about the possibility of a return to a one-party state—much like that of the Assad regime. But many Syrians perceive their new leader, correctly, as a radical pragmatist, writes @jeromed.bsky.social.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Read @jeromed.bsky.social on the factors that will make it more difficult for Syria’s new government to consolidate its hold over the country—and to get all of the country’s constituent groups on board:
13.04.2025 18:49 — 👍 19 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0… Sharaa is seen as a radical pragmatist, willing to make concessions and abandon alliances in pursuit of power.
But it does not seem Syria will again become a one-state autocracy, even if that were an outcome that Shara wanted, @jeromed.bsky.social argues.
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/syrias...
On the nature of the new Syrian government and its challenges www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/syrias... @crisisgroup.org @foreignaffairs.com
11.04.2025 10:44 — 👍 23 🔁 13 💬 0 📌 0NEW Q&A | A Glimmer of Peace in Syria’s North East
An accord between Damascus’s interim government and the Kurdish-led SDF could mark a shift in Syria’s post-Assad transition. Crisis Group experts explain what the deal contains and what it means for the region.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Crisis Group's last briefing on Syria after the downfall of the Assad regime
31.03.2025 10:09 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0@jeromed.bsky.social makes an important point in this @matnashed.bsky.social article: www.aljazeera.com/features/202...
If Damascus can't pay salaries to fighters, then armed groups may end up compensated with territorial fiefdoms from which they farm revenues.
Il y a quelques jours, j'ai rencontré à Jérusalem @Avrumburg ancien président travailliste de la Knesset et activiste de la paix, pour un entretien décapant : « La société israélienne a besoin d’être déradicalisée » www.la-croix.com/a-vif/avraha...
25.03.2025 11:25 — 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0Ils veulent un visage, un monstre qui représenterait l'horreur absolue, ce qui est exactement ce que veut ce criminel
22.03.2025 08:37 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0You'll never guess the answer (the rich people who want to hoard all the money have all the money to hire people)
19.03.2025 05:10 — 👍 94 🔁 16 💬 3 📌 1(2/5) Jerome Drevon (@jeromed.bsky.social): "From Jihad to Politics: How Syrian Jihadis Embraced Politics." Traces the emergence of Jihadi groups in the Syrian war, their dominance, the rejection of global jihad by some groups, and their political transformation. #CRSBookPrize2025
18.03.2025 11:27 — 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0(1/5) We are excited to announce the 2025 CRS Book Prize short list, highlighting exceptional authors in conflict and peace studies: Jerome Drevon, Erica L. Gaston, Anita R. Gohdes, and Adam Lichtenheld. Find more about their work in the upcoming posts.
conflictresearchsociety.org/crs-book-pri...
An image of the cover of the book against a yellow background. The cover is an image of Abu Muhammad al-Jawlani waving, wearing a green top. There is white and yellow lettering that reads 'Transformed by the People: Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham's Road to Power in Syria. Patrick Haenni & Jerome Drevon.'
OUT IN JULY 🗓️
#TransformedByThePeople: #HayatTahrirAlSham’s Road to Power in #Syria by Patrick Haenni and @jeromed.bsky.social is a revelatory account of a reformed Islamist movement’s role in toppling the #Assad regime. #HTS
PRE-ORDER HERE ➡️ tinyurl.com/t3yuvwum
A very rich portrait of Ahmad al-Sharaa @ft.com.web.brid.gy www.ft.com/content/8aa8...
07.03.2025 09:18 — 👍 22 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 1Has Iran lost the Middle East? Not so fast. My new piece arguing that while Iran has taken a major hit, it retains real strength - and Israel and the US are doing everything possible to help it rebuild its regional position.
abuaardvark.substack.com/p/has-iran-l...
📢Job Opening: @icrc.org Adviser on Digital Tech of Warfare (in Kyiv).
Help us analyze and monitor the digitalization of warfare, understand its impact on people, and engage with state and non-state actors.
Unique and important role – do apply
careers.icrc.org/job/Kyiv-%28...
new piece from @delaneysimon.bsky.social, @jeromed.bsky.social & me on UN sanctions on HTS
We breakdown the procedure & politics around the sanctions, arguing that the UNSC should move asap to expand humanitarian exemptions & consider the delisting process
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Key members of Syria’s interim government are under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis. For @crisisgroup.org, @jeromed.bsky.social @mayaungar.bsky.social & I explain why the UN Security Council should consider starting the delisting process
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Can and should HTS be delisted by the UNSC? The continued listing of HTS poses real challenges to Syria's reconstruction, but there are ways to delist the group within a political process focused on security. see www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-... @crisisgroup.org
01.03.2025 08:34 — 👍 11 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 1At this point, yes, they should be
01.03.2025 10:32 — 👍 29 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 0Can and should HTS be delisted by the UNSC? The continued listing of HTS poses real challenges to Syria's reconstruction, but there are ways to delist the group within a political process focused on security. see www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-... @crisisgroup.org
01.03.2025 08:34 — 👍 11 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 1Red herring alert!! They're talking about sending troops after a cease-fire. There is now no cease-fire, & there are no plans to negotiate a cease-fire. US and Russia plan talks about ending the war. That may or may not include cease-fire, but they can't negotiate one without Ukraine anyway. 1/2
18.02.2025 06:55 — 👍 37 🔁 9 💬 2 📌 1Thanks Erik!
11.02.2025 15:02 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0I can’t wait to read this! The fieldwork carried out for this book is just phenomenal, and I am certain the analysis will be bang on as always.
09.02.2025 19:57 — 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0Five years in the making, based on dozens of travel to Idlib under HTS control, multiple interviews with Ahmad al-Sharaa, his closest associates, other factions, ministers, dissidents, opponents, civil society, diplomats, and more
www.hurstpublishers.com/book/transfo...
Five years in the making, based on dozens of travel to Idlib under HTS control, multiple interviews with Ahmad al-Sharaa, his closest associates, other factions, ministers, dissidents, opponents, civil society, diplomats, and more
www.hurstpublishers.com/book/transfo...