Jerome Drevon's Avatar

Jerome Drevon

@jeromed.bsky.social

Senior analyst on Jihad and Modern Conflict at International Crisis Group (ICG). Associate at Graduate Institute Geneva. Interested in armed groups. Books on Jihad in Egypt and Syria (openaccess). Forthcoming book on HTS

3,833 Followers  |  369 Following  |  82 Posts  |  Joined: 20.09.2023  |  1.9919

Latest posts by jeromed.bsky.social on Bluesky

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The end of Jihadi Salafism? The religious governance of HTS, the Post-Jihadi rebel ruler in Northern Syria Jihadis differentiate themselves from other Muslims by their demand for an Islamic state based on their interpretation of Islamic law as well as their legitimization of violence against Muslim dome...

New article by @jeromed.bsky.social et al., The end of Jihadi Salafism? The religious governance of HTS, the Post-Jihadi rebel ruler in Northern Syria www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

18.05.2025 14:52 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump to Lift Sanctions on Syria and Meet With New President President Trump, on a state visit to Saudi Arabia, said he made the decision after speaking to the Saudi crown prince. The president is trying to drum up Saudi investment in the U.S.

As POTUS meets Syrian President Al-Sharaa, the world asks how an Al-Qaeda affiliated jihadi group evolved into the movement rebuilding Syria post-Assad. Find out how in 'Transformed by the People' by @jeromed.bsky.social & Patrick Haenni. Pre-order here ➡️ tinyurl.com/mr9w9tex

tinyurl.com/4cbrp9de

14.05.2025 08:18 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 1

So excited to see this out. Stathis and I presented a first version of this paper at APSA in 2010.

28.04.2025 15:05 — 👍 42    🔁 6    💬 2    📌 0
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Syria’s Uncertain New Order | Crisis Group Can Shara’s Government Unite a Country Ready to Explode?

NEW OP-ED | Syria’s Uncertain New Order

Many are worried about the possibility of a return to a one-party state—much like that of the Assad regime. But many Syrians perceive their new leader, correctly, as a radical pragmatist, writes @jeromed.bsky.social.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

14.04.2025 15:00 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Syria’s Uncertain New Order Can Shara’s government unite a country ready to explode?

Read @jeromed.bsky.social on the factors that will make it more difficult for Syria’s new government to consolidate its hold over the country—and to get all of the country’s constituent groups on board:

13.04.2025 18:49 — 👍 19    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Syria’s Uncertain New Order Can Shara’s government unite a country ready to explode?

… Sharaa is seen as a radical pragmatist, willing to make concessions and abandon alliances in pursuit of power.

But it does not seem Syria will again become a one-state autocracy, even if that were an outcome that Shara wanted, @jeromed.bsky.social argues.
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/syrias...

11.04.2025 11:05 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Syria’s Uncertain New Order Can Shara’s government unite a country ready to explode?

On the nature of the new Syrian government and its challenges www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/syrias... @crisisgroup.org @foreignaffairs.com

11.04.2025 10:44 — 👍 23    🔁 13    💬 0    📌 0
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A Glimmer of Peace in Syria’s North East | Crisis Group An accord between the interim government in Damascus and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces could mark a turn for the better in the country’s post-Assad transition. In this Q&A, Crisis Group exp...

NEW Q&A | A Glimmer of Peace in Syria’s North East

An accord between Damascus’s interim government and the Kurdish-led SDF could mark a shift in Syria’s post-Assad transition. Crisis Group experts explain what the deal contains and what it means for the region.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

31.03.2025 07:27 — 👍 5    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

Crisis Group's last briefing on Syria after the downfall of the Assad regime

31.03.2025 10:09 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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@jeromed.bsky.social makes an important point in this @matnashed.bsky.social article: www.aljazeera.com/features/202...

If Damascus can't pay salaries to fighters, then armed groups may end up compensated with territorial fiefdoms from which they farm revenues.

27.03.2025 18:47 — 👍 12    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 1
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Avraham Burg : « La société israélienne a besoin d’être déradicalisée » Ancien président travailliste de la Knesset et de l’Agence juive, Avraham (Avrum) Burg est aujourd’hui un activiste de la paix. Analysant la situation, cet observateur critique mais optimiste croit en...

Il y a quelques jours, j'ai rencontré à Jérusalem @Avrumburg ancien président travailliste de la Knesset et activiste de la paix, pour un entretien décapant : « La société israélienne a besoin d’être déradicalisée » www.la-croix.com/a-vif/avraha...

25.03.2025 11:25 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

Ils veulent un visage, un monstre qui représenterait l'horreur absolue, ce qui est exactement ce que veut ce criminel

22.03.2025 08:37 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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I’m a recent Stem grad. Here’s why the right is winning us over Corporations started wooing my friends as soon as college began. It’s time for the left to reimagine its relationship with tech

You'll never guess the answer (the rich people who want to hoard all the money have all the money to hire people)

19.03.2025 05:10 — 👍 94    🔁 16    💬 3    📌 1

(2/5) Jerome Drevon (@jeromed.bsky.social): "From Jihad to Politics: How Syrian Jihadis Embraced Politics." Traces the emergence of Jihadi groups in the Syrian war, their dominance, the rejection of global jihad by some groups, and their political transformation. #CRSBookPrize2025

18.03.2025 11:27 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
CRS Book Prize 2025 short list is announced! - CRS CRS Book Prize 2025 short list is announced!

(1/5) We are excited to announce the 2025 CRS Book Prize short list, highlighting exceptional authors in conflict and peace studies: Jerome Drevon, Erica L. Gaston, Anita R. Gohdes, and Adam Lichtenheld. Find more about their work in the upcoming posts.

conflictresearchsociety.org/crs-book-pri...

18.03.2025 11:27 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 1
An image of the cover of the book against a yellow background. The cover is an image of Abu Muhammad al-Jawlani waving, wearing a green top. There is white and yellow lettering that reads 'Transformed by the People: Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham's Road to Power in Syria. Patrick Haenni & Jerome Drevon.'

An image of the cover of the book against a yellow background. The cover is an image of Abu Muhammad al-Jawlani waving, wearing a green top. There is white and yellow lettering that reads 'Transformed by the People: Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham's Road to Power in Syria. Patrick Haenni & Jerome Drevon.'

OUT IN JULY 🗓️

#TransformedByThePeople: #HayatTahrirAlSham’s Road to Power in #Syria by Patrick Haenni and @jeromed.bsky.social is a revelatory account of a reformed Islamist movement’s role in toppling the #Assad regime. #HTS

PRE-ORDER HERE ➡️ tinyurl.com/t3yuvwum

10.03.2025 10:45 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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The secret history of Syria’s new leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa Is the man once known as Abu Mohammad al-Jolani intent on moderating or a brutal strongman?

A very rich portrait of Ahmad al-Sharaa @ft.com.web.brid.gy www.ft.com/content/8aa8...

07.03.2025 09:18 — 👍 22    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 1
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Has Iran lost the Middle East? Not so fast. Plus this week's review of great new research in the MENA Academy!

Has Iran lost the Middle East? Not so fast. My new piece arguing that while Iran has taken a major hit, it retains real strength - and Israel and the US are doing everything possible to help it rebuild its regional position.

abuaardvark.substack.com/p/has-iran-l...

04.03.2025 14:54 — 👍 24    🔁 10    💬 1    📌 0
Digital Technologies of Warfare Adviser Digital Technologies of Warfare Adviser

📢Job Opening: @icrc.org Adviser on Digital Tech of Warfare (in Kyiv).

Help us analyze and monitor the digitalization of warfare, understand its impact on people, and engage with state and non-state actors.

Unique and important role – do apply

careers.icrc.org/job/Kyiv-%28...

04.03.2025 10:24 — 👍 11    🔁 13    💬 1    📌 0
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Rethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders | Crisis Group Key members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis and hampering reconstruction. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why the UN Sec...

new piece from @delaneysimon.bsky.social, @jeromed.bsky.social & me on UN sanctions on HTS

We breakdown the procedure & politics around the sanctions, arguing that the UNSC should move asap to expand humanitarian exemptions & consider the delisting process

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

03.03.2025 18:01 — 👍 3    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Rethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders | Crisis Group Key members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis and hampering reconstruction. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why the UN Sec...

Key members of Syria’s interim government are under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis. For @crisisgroup.org, @jeromed.bsky.social @mayaungar.bsky.social & I explain why the UN Security Council should consider starting the delisting process
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

03.03.2025 11:01 — 👍 7    🔁 8    💬 0    📌 0
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Rethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders | Crisis Group Key members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis and hampering reconstruction. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why the UN Sec...

Can and should HTS be delisted by the UNSC? The continued listing of HTS poses real challenges to Syria's reconstruction, but there are ways to delist the group within a political process focused on security. see www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-... @crisisgroup.org

01.03.2025 08:34 — 👍 11    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 1

At this point, yes, they should be

01.03.2025 10:32 — 👍 29    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0
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Rethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders | Crisis Group Key members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis and hampering reconstruction. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why the UN Sec...

Can and should HTS be delisted by the UNSC? The continued listing of HTS poses real challenges to Syria's reconstruction, but there are ways to delist the group within a political process focused on security. see www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-... @crisisgroup.org

01.03.2025 08:34 — 👍 11    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 1

Red herring alert!! They're talking about sending troops after a cease-fire. There is now no cease-fire, & there are no plans to negotiate a cease-fire. US and Russia plan talks about ending the war. That may or may not include cease-fire, but they can't negotiate one without Ukraine anyway. 1/2

18.02.2025 06:55 — 👍 37    🔁 9    💬 2    📌 1

Thanks Erik!

11.02.2025 15:02 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I can’t wait to read this! The fieldwork carried out for this book is just phenomenal, and I am certain the analysis will be bang on as always.

09.02.2025 19:57 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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Five years in the making, based on dozens of travel to Idlib under HTS control, multiple interviews with Ahmad al-Sharaa, his closest associates, other factions, ministers, dissidents, opponents, civil society, diplomats, and more
www.hurstpublishers.com/book/transfo...

09.02.2025 15:30 — 👍 115    🔁 37    💬 4    📌 3
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Five years in the making, based on dozens of travel to Idlib under HTS control, multiple interviews with Ahmad al-Sharaa, his closest associates, other factions, ministers, dissidents, opponents, civil society, diplomats, and more
www.hurstpublishers.com/book/transfo...

09.02.2025 15:30 — 👍 115    🔁 37    💬 4    📌 3

@jeromed is following 18 prominent accounts