Thibaud Chatel

National League Season 2025-2026 Presentation: One team (ENG/FR/IT) Version française en-dessousExcited for the 2025-2026 edition of the National League?NL Ice Data gets you all the information you need to prepare yourself ahead of the 52 games OF YOUR TEAM.This versi...

🏒📖 Les livres par équipe sont disponibles en français
The ONE TEAM books are available en anglais
Lugano e Ambri-Piotta in italiano ☺️

5 CHF each.

44 pages including the 20 pages on your team and all 24 player cards.

👇👇👇
nlicedata.gumroad.com/l/nl2526onet...

National League Season 2025-2026 Presentation Version française disponibleExcited for the 2025-2026 edition of the National League? Our yearly guide is here for you.NL Ice Data gets you all the information you need to prepare yourself ahead of th...

🏒📖 THE eBook IS HERE 🥳

Guide de la saison 2025-26 Season Guide

- 304 pages with our projections of goals, assists, points, defensive and offensive impact of every player.
- 20 pages per team
- 17 000 words
- 336 players cards !

nlicedata.gumroad.com/l/nl26presen...

Guide de la saison de National League 2025-2026 English version availableImpatient de voir la saison 2025-2026 National League commencer? Pour la seconde année, notre guide de présentation vient vous aider à vous préparer. NL Ice Data vous offre to...

🏒📖Notre 2ème édition du Guide de saison de National League!

- 304 pages avec nos projections de buts, assists et points, d'impact défensif et offensif de chaque joueur
- 20 pages par équipe
- 17'000 mots
- 336 cartes de joueurs
nlicedata.gumroad.com/l/guideseaso...

🏒📖📊 DEMAIN / TOMORROW

Sort notre 2e guide annuel de la saison de National League
2nd annual pre-season guide will be available

Français / English

Standings, players projections, etc.
Over 17 000 words of analysis, 304 pages.
336 player cards

STAY TUNED!

🧐 Il arrive très bientôt...

Sooonnnn...

Projections, player cards, and new stuff...

NHLe for NCAA divisions Should we split the NCAA?

🏒📊 Baby wake up, we just dropped NHLe numbers for NCAA divisions.

Following a chat with @nhlfoley.bsky.social we explored splitting the NCAA by its divisions, here is the result
👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
thibaudchatel.substack.com/p/nhle-for-n...

Yeah? You are using team stats in your model, right?

Il a encore un an de contrat avec Zurich mais pourrait être libéré s’il signe avec Montréal.
Il a eu une autre bonne saison, j’en parle dans un podcast qui sort bientot pour @habseyesontheprize.com

Predicting the World Championships? When it is worth having a worldwide database at hands...

📊🏒 New article (a short one…)

Using our worldwide database of 50 leagues to predict the World Championships

👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻

thibaudchatel.substack.com/p/predicting...

NHLe values updated for 2025.

Using our era-adjusted, full network NHLe model.

Article here: thibaudchatel.substack.com/p/nhle-numbe...

Summing up David Reinbacher's 23-24 season Far from ideal but individual play progressed still

Yeah I wonder…

open.substack.com/pub/thibaudc...

Maybe we shouldn’t do it in the middle of a season.

(Laughing) it’s been ready since…. Just needs a (significant) update

Damning you for all the great ideas we ll need to implement!

We already mentionned Ludvig Johnson was worth a draft pick, he's now considered a 2nd rounder here.

But new player is Jamiro Reber, bursting on the scene in the SHL.
thehockeynews.com/news/2025-nh...

Simon Nemec vs David Jiricek.

What have they done to our boys?

Habs fan.
Kapanen vs Rohrer (1 year younger).

📊🏒 How are teams doing on the power-play? What are the trends?

- Geneva is still 1st, like last season, with the best PP% from our database (since 08/09) and a stable one.
- Lausanne had an incredible start.
- Ajoie has been deadly lately.
- Fribourg slowly but surely getting better.

Pas certains que la AHL soit ben ben attractive pour ce type de joueur. Financièrement et humainement. Sauf si son rêve de NHL est gros comme ça.

The curious case of Charles Édouard D'Astous, who keeps lighting up leagues wherever he goes.

NHL next?

www.eliteprospects.com/player/25597...

🏒🏒 Win Shares 2024-25

Liiga

🏒🏒 Win Shares 2024-25

SHL

🏒🏒 Win Shares 2024-25

AHL

Ludvig Johnson is worth a draft pick.

There I said it.
18 yrs old and not an once of fear on the ice playing big minutes in Swiss NL
www.eliteprospects.com/player/82358...

Très honnêtement pas vu 1 minute mais je ne suis pas surpris de ses performances.
Un excellent gardien de NL en Suisse + son style personnel doit l'amener à bien performer en AHL.
La NHL c'est un autre monde, après 6 matchs c'est trop tôt pour voir.

📖🏒 SEASON 24-25 NL PRESENTATION eBOOK AVAILABLE !

- 289 pages with our projections of goals, assists, points, defensive and offensive impact of every player.
- Projected standings
- 19 pages per team
- 17 000 words
- 307 players cards !
GET IT NOW 👇

nlicedata.gumroad.com/l/nl2025pres...

Adjusting Stats to the Evolution of Scoring around the World. A new era-adjustment technique.

NEW POST
Taking a new approach to era-adjusted scoring stats.
Following 2 principles:
- Each league needs its own adjustment calculations
- We compare the past to today, instead of normalizing history.

Article here: thibaudchatel.substack.com/p/adjusting-...

KHL Win Shares NHLe in my thing went from: 0.73 in 2018 to 0.44 in 2023 0.86 to 0.59 on points NHLe

Getting into it with my Selective Network NHLe, and oh boy... It's crazy to see the top5 leagues going from having an NHLe in the 0.50's if you take the past 10 seasons.... to being in the low 0.40's if you only take the past 5 seasons. How the NHL is pulling away is shocking

Overall,
Still clumsy on board battles.
Got pickpocketed between his skates for Langnau's 2nd goal. Could not do much but did not see the opponent coming.
Much better everywhere else. Looks to be involved a lot, but don't overdo it. Uses his teammates well. Short shifts.